Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes · 1m3f104y
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Maith Mar Or | 8/1 open 9.50 | — | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 17/2 | 17/2 Betfred |
| 2 Gretna Dreams | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Coral |
| 3 Mr Bollinger | 6/1 open 8.50 | — | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Caraway | 10/11 open 1.73 | — | 5/6 open 1.53 | 5/6 open 1.53 | 10/11 open 1.53 | 4/7 open 1.53 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 5 Twilight Guest | 8/1 open 10.00 | — | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Betfred |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Caraway owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mr Bollinger (SR:64, 6/1, 9-7) offers the best combination of a competitive Saturday Rating, favourable weight, and a market that has dramatically shortened 25% — meaningful money in a 5-runner Class 6 field. Trained by Michael Bell with Billy Loughnane aboard (18% career strike rate from 1,624 rides — the strongest jockey stat in the race), he drops a class and carries the lightest weight among the top-rated runners. His form of 6-4-8-4 is modest but he is a 3-year-old with unexplored distance potential (DistFit:?), and the class drop combined with the significant market move suggests connections expect improvement at this trip and on this ground. Each-way alternative: Caraway. Main danger: Caraway — Caraway (SR:70, 10/11) is the highest-rated runner and ran only yesterday suggesting peak fitness, but the DistFit:- flag is a genuine red flag at 1m3f104y and the 15% market drift from odds-on is a significant warning that connections or punters have doubts about his stamina at this trip.