Turkish Jockey Club Handicap · 1m7f0y
SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Friary Road | 13/2 | — | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Trubshaw | 5/1 open 6.50 | — | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Party Dress | 4/1 | — | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tatum | 9/4 | — | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 | 5/2 Coral |
| 5 Jr Mahon | 33/1 | — | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Jurality | 9/2 open 4.50 | — | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 7/2 | 5/1 Coral |
| 7 Miss Gitana | 20/1 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Stone Rulya | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Folly Beach | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Party Dress owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Trubshaw (SR:72, 5/1, Wgt:10-0) shares the top SR in the field alongside Tatum and Jurality but carries only 10-0 — a manageable burden — and is trained by Henry De Bromhead (14% career strike rate, the best in this field). The GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's Good ground well, which matters when several rivals show GoingFit:- or GoingFit:~. His form string 641-80 requires context: the '0' last time is concerning but he had 89 days off, suggesting connections are freshening him up for a specific target, and the tongue-tie has been replaced with a hood (HG:p) — a deliberate equipment change pointing to a planned run. Running off a mark +7 above last win is a headwind, but De Bromhead's 14% strike rate with a well-held favourite (Tatum) drifting in the market makes Trubshaw the value call at 5/1. Each-way alternative: Jurality. Main danger: Tatum — Tatum (SR:71, 9/4) is the joint top-rated horse on a lighter mark with no MarkMv penalty shown and has the second-best trainer strike rate (Noel Meade 13%), making it the obvious market favourite despite its 5% drift — if the drift is noise rather than signal, it remains the most dangerous rival.