John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I) · 2m1f40y
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Codger's Rock | 20/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Garrick Painter | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Direct Approach | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tuckmill | 20/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Convincing | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 William Hill |
| 6 Masego | 9/1 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Let It Settle | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Dictionary Corner | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Zarushio | 40/1 open 51.00 | 35/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Chesterbaylad | 6/1 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 11 Lunar Landscape | 4/1 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Backinabit | 6/1 open 15.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 13.00 | 5/1 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Crypto Crash | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Avandra | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Surviving Murmansk | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Turlough Abu | 25/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Paymelater | 25/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Owl's Delight | 33/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Convincing owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Masego (SR:91, 13/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 10 points clear of the next-best runners Garrick Painter and Chesterbaylad — and crucially carries only 11-7, a manageable weight for the top SR. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, which is a rare and significant positive in this field where most runners show GoingFit:- or GoingFit:?. The market has nudged in 8%, suggesting some professional interest. The MarkMv:+56 is a concern on paper, but at 4 years of age with a SR 10 points clear of rivals and proven going preference, Masego represents the standout case when multiple signals are weighed together. Each-way alternative: Chesterbaylad. Main danger: Chesterbaylad — Chesterbaylad (SR:81, 11/2) has DistFit:+ confirming proven ability over this trip, posted a recent win in Form:-02741, and carries a light 10-8 — though the Mkt:out32% drift is a concern, the distance record is the strongest in the field and makes it a live each-way threat.