John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div II) · 2m1f40y
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 86 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mc Swagger | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Tropical Twist | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Premier Rogue | 6/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 Coral |
| 4 Kome Dans Un Reve | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Laurie Blue | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Ladbrokes |
| 6 Syosset | 3/1 open 3.75 | 11/4 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 11/4 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Colin's Friend | 9/4 open 8.00 | 2/1 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 7.50 | 9/4 open 7.50 | 15/8 open 7.50 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 8 Kashel Spring | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Grennanstown Lady | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Frontier Rose | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Centaq | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Cinnabar Moth | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Vairue | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Lucky This Time | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Doyen Og | 9/1 open 21.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 19.00 | 8/1 open 19.00 | 8/1 open 19.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Xquise | 40/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Sonna Lady | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Colin's Friend owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Syosset (SR:97, 2/1) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 11 SR points clear of Tropical Twist and 15+ clear of most rivals — and crucially carries only 11-6, the joint-lowest weight among the top-SR horses, giving a real lbs advantage over the heavier-burdened contenders. GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits, and a market move of 22% in (Mkt:in22%) represents serious money arriving with purpose. The 0-3223 form string shows consistent placed efforts in recent starts, indicating a horse building into winning form. Trainer John McConnell's 3% strike rate is a concern, but the combination of dominant SR, proven going preference, strong market confidence, and favourable weight makes this the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Premier Rogue. Main danger: Tropical Twist — Tropical Twist (SR:86, 8/1) has Gordon Elliott and Jack Kennedy (19% strike rate) in a yard that targets these summer handicaps, and an 8 on the form string last time is a recent competitive effort, though the 39% market drift and MarkMv:+7 are genuine negatives that keep it off the top spot.