18 May 2026

Last Monday Knockcroghery Handicap

Knockcroghery Handicap · 7f94y

1348-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Knockcroghery Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Thrifty Of Digby (IRE) Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington
    11/1
  2. 9/1
  3. 9/2
Race picker

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Redcar

13:40–16:43 · 7 races

Carlisle

14:00–17:10 · 7 races

Lingfield

14:20–16:57 · 6 races

Roscommon

16:50–20:20 · 8 races

Windsor

17:05–20:10 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 2 NR
Updated 2 days, 23 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Buttermere Ridge silks
Buttermere Ridge Non-Runner
Age 5 · 10-1
0/600-
27
68
5
10-1
SP FCST 33/1
Nothing of any note in her form since early in her career; blinkered now; second reserve.
?
Lust silks
Lust Non-Runner
Age 8 · 8-11
80500-
52
69
8
8-11
SP FCST 33/1
Listed winner in 2022 and rated 102 at his peak; form has slumped dramatically in recent seasons; down to 53 now; third reserve.
2
Free Solo silks
Free Solo
Age 9 · 10-0
80-007
57
75
9
10-0
14/1 17/2 14/1
Has been out of form since C&D win last August; signs of a revival with a prominent showing at the Curragh a fortnight ago.

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Thrifty Of Digby silks
Thrifty Of Digby
Age 5 · 10-0
173-08
54
76
5
10-0
12/1 16/1 10/1
Two wins last year, including over the extended 1m2f on this card; her other success was over 1m at Gowran; two moderate runs this term; trip may not be ideal into the bargain.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Royal Impact silks
Royal Impact
Age 4 · 9-13
4-3145
55
71
4
9-13
11/4 10/3 9/4
Ordinary form in turf maidens; improved for switch to AW; won on handicap debut over 7f at Dundalk in February off 63; doing his best work at the finish when a 7l fourth of 23 at the Curragh in March (soft to heavy); fair fifth of 21 over 6f at the same venue last time (soft); should appreciate this longer trip and better ground.

SR 55 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Go Out silks
Go Out
Age 4 · 9-12
228776
54
72
4
9-12
10/1 7/1 10/1
Maiden has done most of his racing on AW, runner-up three times; fair turf form this term, but needs to find extra.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Famed Again silks
Famed Again
Age 4 · 9-11
0/500-
46
71
4
9-11
33/1 28/1 33/1
Showed ability when fourth of 16 in valuable sales race at Naas as a juvenile; failed to build on that last season; makes handicap debut from a mark 9lb below his initial rating; might be premature to write off.

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Lohengrin silks
Lohengrin
Age 6 · 9-10
610-B0
52
70
6
9-10
50/1
Won a 7f Laytown maiden last September; poor winter form at Dundalk; brought down halfway at Bellewstown on return; big price when in rear over a longer trip at Navan on latest; looks vulnerable off this mark.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Blue Anthem silks
Blue Anthem
Age 4 · 9-8
2-9500
51
72
4
9-8
18/1 20/1 16/1
Three wins for George Boughey (two on AW); signed off with a 6f AW second at Wolverhampton and bought for 21,000gns last October; unplaced in two Dundalk outings and no better than mid-division in two Curragh runs; tongue-toe added now.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Queen Aethelflaed silks
Queen Aethelflaed
Age 4 · 9-8
0132-8
62
69
4
9-8
7/1 15/2 6/1
Won on handicap debut off 6lb lower at Thurles last October; backed that up with a decent third at Leopardstown (7f, heavy) later that month and another solid run at Dundalk (10.5f) in December; disappointing when one of the main fancies at Bellewstown last month.

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Bella Colombia silks
Bella Colombia
Age 5 · 9-6
-26713
62
70
5
9-6
7/1 13/2 7/1
Added a second AW win at Dundalk in March (1m); 0-13 on turf but ran some decent races in defeat in 2024 and competed effectively off this mark when third of 13 over 1m at Limerick last month.

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Irish Rumour silks
Irish Rumour
Age 6 · 9-5
35825-
51
74
6
9-5
10/1 13/2 10/1
Only one win from 28 starts; placed in three of her nine races last year, and lost out by only a nose in an 18-runner contest at Fairyhouse in September; fair chance if she can run to that level on her first outing since a satisfactory Dundalk run in November.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Suerte silks
Suerte
Age 4 · 9-5
0769-7
60
72
4
9-5
50/1 40/1 50/1
Nine-race maiden; unplaced in six starts on turf; hard to make a case for her, though may improve from last month's seasonal debut.

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Tara Na Ri silks
Tara Na Ri
Age 4 · 9-5
9/98-0
55
74
4
9-5
25/1 22/1 25/1
Modest form in maidens; finished near the back on handicap debut at the Curragh; cheekpieces added and Colin Keane sticks with him.

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

15
Zabriskie Point silks
Zabriskie Point
Age 5 · 9-5
8P9835
56
73
5
9-5
9/1 FCST 8/1
Both wins came as a juvenile for Charlie Hills at 5f/7f on different ground types; has plunged in the ratings and profited from a drop in grade when third at Leopardstown on his penultimate start; unplaced favourite at Gowran last time.

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Buttermere Ridge 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
0 Lust 33/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Coral
2 Free Solo 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
3 Thrifty Of Digby 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Royal Impact 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365
5 Go Out 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 Coral
6 Famed Again 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Coral
8 Lohengrin 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
9 Blue Anthem 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
10 Queen Aethelflaed 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 7/1 Bet365
11 Bella Colombia 7/1 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
12 Irish Rumour 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Bet365
13 Suerte 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
14 Tara Na Ri 25/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Coral
15 Zabriskie Point 9/1 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Queen Aethelflaed

Speculative

Queen Aethelflaed owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 Andrew Slattery Andrew Slattery
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bella Colombia

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · W McCreery
✓ Value Signal

Suerte

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ms Sheila Lavery
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
27 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Queen Aethelflaed
45.6 7/1
2 11. Bella Colombia
44.9 7/1
3 4. Royal Impact
44.8 11/4
4 12. Irish Rumour
43.8 10/1
5 15. Zabriskie Point
43.6 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Queen Aethelflaed
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-13
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-8
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 9-6
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

15
Age 5 · 9-5
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 4 · 9-12
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Age 6 · 9-5
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 5 · 10-0
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Age 9 · 10-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 4 · 9-8
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Queen Aethelflaed
Confidence: Medium

Queen Aethelflaed leads the field with SR 62 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Queen Aethelflaed, Bella Colombia, Suerte, Free Solo, Zabriskie Point
Each-way: Bella Colombia Danger: Suerte

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f94y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting