18 May 2026

Last Monday Abbey Hotel Handicap

Abbey Hotel Handicap · 1m4f17y

748-Hr decs

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Voting open
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
AI rates Onyeisi Medium Join free to vote Updated 2 days, 23 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Retro Gal silks
Retro Gal Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-4
77-7
46
62
3
9-4
18/1 FCST 16/1
Never competitive in three maiden outing over 1m; half-sister to 1m2f AW winner and is out of a Nathaniel mare, so good chance this trip will suit; handicap debut and looks yard second-string, but not one to dismiss by any means.
1
Adel silks
Adel
Age 3 · 9-12
667-87
49
72
3
9-12
11/1 11/1 10/1
Ran respectably in Madrid Handicap over 7f on return, weakened over 1m next time but perhaps that came too soon; up in trip and down in grade now, and gets back onto better ground.

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Admiral Will Brown silks
Admiral Will Brown
Age 3 · 9-7
877-
48
68
3
9-7
10/1 14/1 17/2
Beaten around 12l on first two starts, in decent maidens won by Ballydoyle juveniles; has been gelded and steps up in trip for handicap debut; half-brother to 1m4f winner and dam won over 1m6f; trainer had third in Killarney contest involving two of the principals here, so has a line to the form.

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Sea Of Dubka silks
Sea Of Dubka
Age 3 · 9-4
90-834
53
70
3
9-4
6/1 11/2 5/1
Unfancied both handicap starts but has run well; just behind Musashi when third at Dundalk (10.5f) and form of her front-running 2l fourth over this trip at Cork has worked out well; down in grade too.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Captain Con silks
Captain Con
Age 3 · 9-2
0-00
57
75
3
9-2
10/1 11/1 17/2
Quiet runs in maidens and now steps up in trip for handicap debut; by a miler and fair bit of speed on dam's side.

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Onyeisi silks
Onyeisi
Age 3 · 9-2
3-2227
63
75
3
9-2
40/1 11/1 33/1
Busy on AW during the winter for Charlie Johnston, winning over 1m2f and second over this trip; picked up for 14,000gns in February.

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Arizona Star silks
Arizona Star
Age 3 · 9-0
00-3
39
52
3
9-0
66/1 25/1 66/1
Beaten a long way all three starts, including when 400-1 third over 1m2f at the Curragh; handicap debut.

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Wipeawayyourtears silks
Wipeawayyourtears
Age 3 · 8-10
706-2
62
76
3
8-10
13/2 17/2 6/1
Good start in handicap company when keeping on into second on her return at Sligo (10.5f, yielding to soft); mark left alone.

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Retro Gal 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365
1 Adel 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Admiral Will Brown 10/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 17.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Sea Of Dubka 6/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 5/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
8 Captain Con 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
9 Onyeisi 40/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 12.00 40/1 Bet365
10 Arizona Star 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 Bet365
12 Wipeawayyourtears 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Wipeawayyourtears

Speculative

Wipeawayyourtears owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Michael Butler Jack Cleary(5)
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Captain Con

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/1 · Noel Meade
✓ Value Signal

Onyeisi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Karl Thornton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 12. Wipeawayyourtears
46.9 13/2
2 8. Captain Con
42.4 10/1
3 3. Admiral Will Brown
41.5 10/1
4 6. Sea Of Dubka
41.0 6/1
5 1. Adel
38.8 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Onyeisi
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-4
6/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Age 3 · 8-10
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 3 · 9-2
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 3 · 9-12
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Onyeisi
Confidence: Medium

Onyeisi leads the field with SR 63 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Onyeisi, Wipeawayyourtears, Captain Con, Sea Of Dubka, Adel
Each-way: Wipeawayyourtears Danger: Captain Con

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f17y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting