18 May 2026

Last Monday Michael Tiger Lyons Memorial Maiden

Michael Tiger Lyons Memorial Maiden · 1m2f63y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 3 NR
AI rates Karrygrant Medium Join free to vote Updated 2 days, 23 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Grennanstown Lady silks
Grennanstown Lady Non-Runner
Age 5 · 10-2
07
13
32
5
10-2
SP FCST 100/1
Showed little over hurdles last year; well beaten in two Flat starts this term; first reserve.
?
Zelani silks
Zelani Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-7
5
41
58
3
9-7
SP FCST 5/1
Fair fifth over 1m at Navan on debut and improvement on the cards over this longer trip; has almost 5l to find with third-placed Huff'n'puff.
?
Matada silks
Matada Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-7
00
13
28
3
9-7
SP FCST 100/1
Has failed to make the first ten in maidens at Navan and Gowran; second reserve.
1
Believe Again silks
Believe Again
Age 5 · 10-7
30
5
10-7
200/1
Tailed off in a Listowel bumper last September on his only start; safe to rule out.

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
It's Good To Talk silks
It's Good To Talk
Age 5 · 10-7
30
5
10-7
28/1 22/1 28/1
Half-brother to five winners, notably smart Flat performer Raise You and Champion Bumper winner A Dream To Share; has run in two bumpers; second at Naas on debut, failed to shine at the Punchestown festival.

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Galileo Springs silks
Galileo Springs
Age 6 · 10-2
32
6
10-2
28/1 22/1 28/1
Placed in three of her four bumper starts, including a fine effort behind the useful Carrigmoornaspruce; winner over hurdles on yielding ground at Killarney last autumn; younger rivals preferred.

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
African Affair silks
African Affair
Age 3 · 9-7
0-0
28
44
3
9-7
200/1
No apparent chance judged on his first two starts; well held by Huff'n'puff on Naas run.

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Changing Lanes silks
Changing Lanes
Age 3 · 9-7
3
47
63
3
9-7
9/2 6/1 4/1
E125,000 yearling; improvement on the cards after a respectable debut over 1m4f at Dundalk, third of seven after running prominently throughout; stable in terrific form.

SR 47 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Gaelic Drills silks
Gaelic Drills
Age 3 · 9-7
54
52
70
3
9-7
9/1 11/1 17/2
Two runs of roughly the same standard at Leopardstown and Cork; needs to find more.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Garryowen Green silks
Garryowen Green
Age 3 · 9-7
0-9
13
28
3
9-7
200/1
Towards the back at Dundalk last December; no better at Limerick last month; tongue-tie.

SR 13 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Huff'n'puff silks
Huff'n'puff
Age 3 · 9-7
6-35
56
73
3
9-7
10/3 5/1 3/1
Showed promise when keeping on from off the pace in a 1m Curragh maiden last October; confirmed maiden-winning potential with third placing over 1m at Navan on seasonal debut; faded late into fifth over 1m2f at the same venue last time; has much the same chance as Karrygrant on official and RPR figures.

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Karrygrant silks
Karrygrant
Age 3 · 9-7
2-32
59
72
3
9-7
15/8 2/1 7/4
Promising second on Leopardstown debut last October (7f, yielding to soft); raced keenly and in front over 1f out when run out of things late on at Navan (1m2f, heavy), finishing third; collared late over 1m at Bellewstown last time; stays well despite a pedigree more geared to shorter distances.

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Solar Jet silks
Solar Jet
Age 3 · 9-7
37
3
9-7
66/1 50/1 66/1
Eighth foal; half-brother to winners Rainbow Jet (10.4f; RPR 78) and Ice Jet (2m3f hurdle); dam unraced half-sister to useful 5f/6f winner Came From The Dark.

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Noble Honour silks
Noble Honour
Age 3 · 9-2
2-
57
71
3
9-2
5/2 32/17 5/2
Mixed signals from the form of her Gowran second last September; winner Ice Dancer has not trained on, third-placed Mixed Feelings has won a maiden but was well beaten when raised in class; one for the shortlist despite reservations.

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Grennanstown Lady 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 Bet365
0 Zelani 6/1 5/1 5/1 11/2 11/2 6/1 Bet365
0 Matada 100/1 125/1 125/1 125/1 125/1 125/1 Coral
1 Believe Again 200/1 200/1 200/1 250/1 open 201.00 200/1 250/1 William Hill
2 It's Good To Talk 28/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Coral
3 Galileo Springs 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 Coral
4 African Affair 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 Bet365
6 Changing Lanes 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
8 Gaelic Drills 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Garryowen Green 200/1 200/1 200/1 250/1 open 201.00 200/1 250/1 William Hill
10 Huff'n'puff 10/3 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 10/3 Bet365
11 Karrygrant 15/8 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.25 15/8 Bet365
12 Solar Jet 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
14 Noble Honour 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Karrygrant

Speculative

Karrygrant owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 J P Murtagh Ben Coen
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Noble Honour

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Mrs John Harrington
✓ Value Signal

Galileo Springs

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Martin Brassil
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Karrygrant
46.1 15/8
2 14. Noble Honour
45.2 5/2
3 10. Huff'n'puff
44.1 10/3
4 6. Changing Lanes
42.6 9/2
5 8. Gaelic Drills
40.5 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Karrygrant
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 3 · 9-7
15/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 9-2
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-7
10/3
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Karrygrant
Confidence: Medium

Karrygrant leads the field with SR 59 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Karrygrant, Noble Honour, Huff'n'puff, Gaelic Drills, Changing Lanes
Each-way: Noble Honour Danger: Huff'n'puff

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f63y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting