Saturday 19 September 2026 Newbury
6 Pick Six vs The Fox Stack six. Beat the head tipster.7 races 89 runners First off 13:02
Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3) ✓ Result
Open
1
-11448
Ryan Moore
24%
Clive Cox
17%
109
107
8
9-3
12/1
7/1
12/1
Diligent Harry shaped well in two wins in his last five starts, and he has experience over today's trip and going, with our rating of 116 marking him the pick of the field; the concern is 84 days off the track.
AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
2
141201
Lemos De Souza
11%
100
101
4
9-3
12/1
16/1
11/1
Ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Naana's Sparkle faces a stiff ask, yet his recent form does include three wins in his last six starts — the latest a victory last time out — and he has run over today's trip and going before, which at least removes any unknown.
AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
3
-81410
Callum Rodriguez
20%
Clive Cox
17%
108
119
4
9-3
3/1
7/2
11/4
Redorange has winning form in recent starts, scoring a winner two starts back and a winner four starts back, but he was unplaced last time out and carries 129 lb from stall 2; he has run over today's trip and going, though his consistency remains the query.
AI verdict
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
4
1-3007
Clive Cox
17%
104
96
5
9-3
11/1
17/2
11/1
Shagraan showed his quality with a win and a third in recent starts, and has experience of today's distance and going to call upon; the main concern is a run of unplaced efforts since, combined with 77 days off the track.
AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
5
-60424
Rossa Ryan
18%
Ralph Beckett
19%
112
118
5
9-3
9/4
2/1
9/4
Placed second two starts back, Starlust returns on a quick six-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour, and his 115 rating suggests he merits respect at 129 lb from stall nine, even if a win has so far eluded him in recent starts.
AI verdict
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
6
730028
Luke Morris
12%
James Owen
18%
107
89
3
9-2
18/1
11/1
18/1
Winless in his last six starts, Aspect Island does hold a second two runs back on his CV, though unplaced efforts either side of that temper expectations; has run over today's trip and going before, and 50 days fresh is workable, but a mark of 107 and draw ten make him a tough sell from seventh in the ratings.
AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
7
-10703
Shane Gray
15%
Kevin Ryan
12%
108
98
3
9-2
10/1
7/1
10/1
Third last time out is promising, but Dickensian has been inconsistent in recent starts, mixing a win five runs back with two unplaced efforts in between; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 128 lb from stall one, and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround.
AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
8
1-2218
Kieran Shoemark
14%
Ed Walker
16%
89
77
3
9-2
22/1
25/1
22/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and drawn in stall 11, Hallo Spaceboy faces a stiff ask, though he does bring winning form — a victory two starts back — and has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
9
150500
Connor Beasley
13%
Edward Bethell
17%
101
75
6
9-0
33/1
FCST
28/1
Azure Angel won one in her last six starts and arrives 29 days fresh, with experience of today's distance and going in her favour, but unplaced runs dominate her recent form and a rating of 99 ranked eighth of eleven suggests she faces a stiff ask here.
AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
10
0-9025
Cieren Fallon
18%
William Haggas
23%
105
107
4
9-0
13/2
7/1
6/1
Placed two starts back, First Instinct brings solid recent form into this, and her experience over today's trip and going is a clear asset at 126 lb from stall five; the risk is that she remains winless in her last five starts.
AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
11
542731
Jack Nicholls(3)
12%
K. R. Burke
20%
97
100
3
8-13
14/1
12/1
14/1
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Miss Yechance faces a stiff ask on ratings, and her recent form is patchy — seventh and fourth among her last six starts hardly inspires confidence — though she did land a win last time out and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) ✓ Result
Open
1
-22652
Colin Keane
16%
Olly Murphy
23%
105
84
6
9-12
14/1
13/2
14/1
Roaring Legend has been placed twice in his last five starts, including a second last time out, and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating putting him right in contention — the main concern is a 71-day absence leaving his fitness on trust.
AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
2
-46040
William Buick
25%
Andrew Balding
18%
104
89
4
9-11
8/1
8/1
7/1
Furthur ranks as the highest-rated runner in the field and has experience of today's trip and going, making him a leading threat at 137 lb; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
3
1531-7
Rob Hornby
12%
Andrew Balding
18%
102
58
4
9-9
SP
20/1
28/1
Fantasy World won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but that seventh last time out is a concern, and carrying 135 lb against a competitive field leaves him needing to bounce back sharply.
AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
4
160662
Callum Rodriguez
20%
Hamad Al Jehani
20%
102
99
5
9-9
3/1
7/2
11/4
French Duke shaped well last time out when finishing second, and with that run freshening him up nicely over 29 days, he arrives in good nick; he has run over today's trip and going before, and the 135 lb burden is the main query.
AI verdict
SR 99 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
5
20-206
Rossa Ryan
18%
Alan King
16%
97
92
6
9-4
5/1
4/1
9/2
Insanity arrives 42 days between runs and winless in his last five starts, though a second three starts back hints at ability; carrying 130 lb on today's distance and going is familiar ground, but he must prove he can build on that placed effort.
AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
6
6-5000
Finley Marsh
14%
Richard Hughes
15%
94
82
4
9-1
12/1
14/1
11/1
Winless in his last five starts and drawn from a cold yard hitting at just 5% recently, Circus of Rome faces an uphill task, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a fresh 28-day break carrying 127 lb.
AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
7
077070
Charles Bishop
10%
Ian Williams
11%
94
67
7
9-1
28/1
18/1
22/1
Real Dream has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 104 puts him notably ahead of his official mark — a compelling angle suggesting he is better than recent form implies; the risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
8
0-8110
Sean Levey
13%
Faye Bramley
15%
92
85
4
8-13
14/1
FCST
12/1
Ranked last on our figures and his speed rating gives little encouragement, Explode does at least bring back-to-back wins from two and three starts back to the table, though an unplaced run last time suggests that sequence may already have stalled.
AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
9
251141
Ryan Moore
24%
90
99
5
8-11
10/3
10/3
11/4
Ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Primo Lara faces a stiff ask against this field, yet his record in recent starts shows genuine ability — a winner last time out and three wins in his last six — and he has run over today's going before.
AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
10
243425
Ray Dawson
14%
Jonathan Portman
13%
86
81
4
8-7
15/2
10/1
6/1
Winless in his last six starts, though a second two starts back shows he retains ability, and having run over today's trip and going are useful ticks; the 119 lb burden and a ranking of eighth of twelve make life hard for Bulletin here.
AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
11
-78875
Ian Williams
11%
84
63
7
8-5
22/1
28/1
22/1
Winless in his last five starts, with a sequence of 5th, 7th, 8th, 8th, and 7th that makes Oneforthegutter hard to fancy ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after a reasonable 21-day break.
AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
12
120542
Richard Hannon
12%
88
84
3
8-2
10/1
7/1
9/1
Pearl River is second last time out, but that solitary win in his last six starts combined with a ranking of ninth of twelve on our figures makes him a tough sell here, though he does have experience of today's distance and going to call upon.
AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) (In Honour Of Ian Balding) ✓ Result
Open
1
1111
Connor Beasley
13%
Michael Dods
12%
110
122
2
9-6
5/4
11/10
6/5
Arapaho Gold arrives on the back of four consecutive wins and, with experience over today's trip and a 29-day break since his last run, he looks the one to beat from stall two carrying 132 lb.
AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
2
222257
Rossa Ryan
18%
Hugo Palmer
13%
105
90
2
9-3
18/1
10/1
18/1
Adaay of Scarlett has rattled up four runner-up finishes in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going, making him a live threat from stall six off 129 lb; the main risk is his seventh last time out suggesting he may be coming off the boil.
AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
3
1494
Jamie Spencer
12%
Richard Hannon
12%
102
87
2
9-3
25/1
16/1
22/1
Cut A Dash won one start back in recent form and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with his 129 lb burden from stall seven the factor to watch as he bids to recapture that winning thread.
AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
4
117
Shane Gray
15%
Kevin Ryan
12%
91
78
2
9-3
66/1
40/1
66/1
Back-to-back wins two and three starts back give Matteo strong recent claims, though he was well beaten last time out; has run over today's trip and going, and 129 lb from stall one is the key unknown.
AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
5
417676
Ray Dawson
14%
Oli Rix
10%
95
68
2
9-3
66/1
50/1
66/1
A winner five starts back, Mr Macartney has since posted a string of sixth and seventh-place finishes, and ranked seventh of eight on our figures he is hard to fancy here; he has run over today's trip and going, and stall three gives him a neutral pitch.
AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
6
1213
William Buick
25%
Charlie Appleby
33%
104
113
2
9-3
3/1
4/1
5/2
Nabati arrives on the back of a fine run of form — third last time out, though a winner two starts back, and he carries 129 lb from stall 5; his experience over today's trip and going helps, but our rating of 96 suggests he may be held on merit against the top-ranked rivals.
AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
7
1910
Callum Rodriguez
20%
K. R. Burke
20%
90
76
2
9-3
20/1
66/1
18/1
Ranked last of eight on our figures and with an unplaced run latest, Revels is hard to fancy despite two wins in his last four starts; he has run over today's distance and going before, and he returns after 30 days.
AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
8
1953
Colin Keane
16%
Andrew Balding
18%
103
114
2
9-0
11/4
2/1
9/4
Jolivette shaped well with a third last time out, and a winner four starts back, she has winning form in the book; experience over today's trip and going suits, though carrying 126 lb from stall eight is the factor to watch.
AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Dubai Duty Free Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) ✓ Result
Open
1
5-6320
Andrew Mullen
10%
Iain Jardine
12%
103
86
6
9-12
14/1
FCST
12/1
Paddy The Squire ran a fine second two starts back and a third three starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and our ratings rank him top of this field — the main concern is a trainer who is 1/26 in the last 14 days.
AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
2
3/212-
Andrew Balding
18%
98
75
7
9-7
40/1
12/1
33/1
Old Harrovian shaped with plenty of credit last time out with a second, and boasts a win two starts back alongside further placed efforts in recent starts, suggesting a consistent profile; the concern is a 519-day absence, which represents a significant fitness query on his return.
AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
3
0-2437
Callum Rodriguez
20%
Owen Burrows
21%
95
81
4
9-4
18/1
14/1
16/1
Winless in her last five starts, Merveilleux Lapin does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a third two starts back shows she can find the frame; however, a seventh last time out and 130 lb from stall 12 are the checks against her.
AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
4
/42-29
William Carver
10%
Jamie Osborne
12%
93
80
5
9-2
25/1
FCST
16/1
Theory of Tides has finished second twice in his last four starts but is yet to win, and 57 days off the track is a potential concern; he has run over today's trip and going before, and his rating of 97 offers some encouragement from stall 10 off 128 lb.
AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
5
-81323
Sean Levey
13%
Richard Hannon
12%
93
105
5
9-2
9/2
7/2
4/1
Consistent and lively in recent starts, Boyfriend arrives here on the back of consecutive placed efforts and a win four starts back, carrying 128 lb from stall 6 off an official mark of 93; the chief concern is whether he can convert his placed form into victory on the day.
AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
6
133002
Ryan Moore
24%
97
92
3
9-1
6/1
FCST
11/2
Balzac has struggled for consistency in recent starts, with just one win in his last six and a runner-up finish last time out after two unplaced efforts, and our figures rank him well down the field; draw one and experience over today's trip and going offer slim positives, but he remains hard to fancy on these ratings.
AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
7
051888
Rob Hornby
12%
David Evans
13%
92
70
6
9-1
40/1
33/1
28/1
King's Code has finished eighth in three consecutive starts and, ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, it is very hard to make a case for him here, despite a win four starts back offering a glimmer of past ability; he has distance and going experience, but the weight of recent evidence is firmly against him.
AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
8
704287
William Buick
25%
90
87
5
8-13
17/2
10/1
15/2
Winless in his last six starts, Mr Swivell does at least boast a second three starts back to suggest ability remains, and he has run over today's trip and going before; however, consecutive seventh and eighth placings since then are hard to ignore from stall 13 off 125 lb.
AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
9
904103
Jamie Spencer
12%
Richard Hannon
12%
89
99
4
8-12
15/2
7/1
15/2
Third last time out, and a winner three starts back, Stem arrives in good shape on 21 days' rest and has run over today's trip and going, with his rating of 102 giving him a lively chance from stall 4 off 124 lb.
AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
10
-81594
Rossa Ryan
18%
Ralph Beckett
19%
93
96
3
8-11
13/2
7/1
13/2
Gonna Fly showed he can win in recent starts, landing a victory four starts back, but a ninth two starts back and a fourth last time out suggest inconsistency; he has run over today's trip and going, and 123 lb from stall three gives him a workable profile.
AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
11
11-495
Connor Beasley
13%
Edward Bethell
17%
93
99
3
8-11
11/2
7/1
9/2
Fifth last time out and ninth two starts back are the blemishes on Capall Rasa's card, though a winner on two of his last five starts shows ability worth respecting; the 93-day break is the key unknown heading into this.
AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
12
0-5047
Kieran Shoemark
14%
Ed Walker
16%
87
63
9
8-10
50/1
22/1
50/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Fantasy Believer is a hard one to fancy, with a trainer hitting just one from 41 runners in the past fortnight; experience over today's trip and going offers slim comfort.
AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
13
-17221
Luke Morris
12%
85
96
4
8-8
9/2
4/1
9/2
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and carrying 120 lb, Almekarem faces a stiff task on paper, though he arrives in decent heart having won last time out and shown consistency — second in two of his last five starts — and he has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Pump Technology Metro Rod Partnership Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race) ✓ Result
Open
2
16
Ryan Moore
24%
Richard Hughes
15%
92
92
2
9-8
4/1
5/2
4/1
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
3
—
Jamie Spencer
12%
Brian Meehan
9%
—
147
2
9-4
5/1
13/2
9/2
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
4
09
—
123
2
9-4
100/1
100/1
80/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
5
—
Ray Dawson
14%
Harry Charlton
16%
—
125
2
9-4
22/1
25/1
20/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
6
—
Sean Levey
13%
Harry Charlton
16%
—
122
2
9-4
25/1
22/1
25/1
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
7
—
Cieren Fallon
18%
William Haggas
23%
—
144
2
9-4
15/2
8/1
7/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
8
2
Kieran Shoemark
14%
Ed Walker
16%
—
156
2
9-4
4/5
18/13
8/11
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
9
86
Daniel Muscutt
14%
Ralph Beckett
19%
—
122
2
9-4
25/1
25/1
22/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
10
6
Finley Marsh
14%
Richard Hughes
15%
—
122
2
9-4
66/1
33/1
50/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
11
64
Jack Nicholls(3)
12%
Heather Main
12%
—
123
2
9-4
150/1
150/1
125/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
12
—
Callum Rodriguez
20%
Owen Burrows
21%
—
143
2
9-4
8/1
7/1
8/1
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
13
6
Andrew Mullen
10%
Charles Hills
14%
—
121
2
9-4
50/1
40/1
50/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 121 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
14
5
Charles Bishop
10%
—
145
2
9-4
7/1
9/1
13/2
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
15
—
Rossa Ryan
18%
Clive Cox
17%
—
132
2
9-4
14/1
11/1
14/1
SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
16
6
Luke Morris
12%
Alan King
16%
—
123
2
9-4
40/1
FCST
33/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
17
6
Rob Hornby
12%
—
125
2
8-13
40/1
25/1
40/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Conundrum Consulting Handicap Stakes ✓ Result
Open
1
21/204
Callum Rodriguez
20%
Hamad Al Jehani
20%
95
92
5
10-0
5/1
11/1
4/1
SR 92 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
2
377929
Luke Morris
12%
94
70
6
9-13
22/1
25/1
18/1
Havana Pusey is winless in her last six starts, though a second two runs back shows she retains ability; a ninth last time out is harder to forgive, and 139 lb from stall 18 adds to her task, despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
3
509392
William Carver
10%
Jamie Osborne
12%
93
84
4
9-12
12/1
8/1
11/1
Placed twice in his last four starts, including a second last time out, The Fingal Raven arrives here on a sharp 14-day turnaround with distance and going experience to call upon; the chief concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
4
001060
Jamie Spencer
12%
Richard Hannon
12%
92
81
7
9-11
16/1
22/1
12/1
Witch Hunter has run on this distance and going combination and retains clear claims at a rating of 97, making him a leading danger here off 137 lb; the risk is that his recent record shows only one win in his last six starts.
AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
5
902133
Ryan Moore
24%
Ian Williams
11%
90
101
6
9-9
4/1
FCST
7/2
Third last time out and placed in consecutive recent starts, Aalto arrives here on a sharp 15-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour; he carries 135 lb from stall one, though his rating of 92 places him mid-pack in a deep field of 19.
AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
6
-32005
Charles Bishop
10%
Emma Lavelle
18%
89
67
4
9-8
33/1
Winless in her last five starts, Silver Ghost showed ability with a third and a second in recent outings but has gone off the boil since, and 134 lb from stall 15 gives her plenty to overcome, even if today's trip and conditions are familiar.
AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
7
554066
Georgia Dobie
10%
89
67
4
9-8
22/1
22/1
20/1
Betty Clover is winless in her last six starts, yet her rating of 101 — highest in the field — and experience over today's trip and going mark her as a genuine threat from stall 19 on a quick 16-day turnaround; the main concern is a trainer operating at just 3% over the past fortnight.
AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
8
10922-
Kieran Shoemark
14%
Oliver Cole
11%
92
70
3
9-8
28/1
20/1
25/1
Consecutive runner-up finishes last time out and two starts back give American Gulf a solid recent profile, though a 352-day absence is a significant query and he steps back up having finished ninth three starts back, with 134 lb from stall 16 adding further test.
AI verdict
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
9
916008
88
62
4
9-7
28/1
33/1
25/1
Morte Point won one from six in recent starts and his current form figures make grim reading, with four successive below-par efforts since that victory; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 133 lb from stall 14, and his speed rating of 82 leaves him with ground to find on the ranked figures.
AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
10
100376
Cieren Fallon
18%
Ed Dunlop
12%
88
65
7
9-7
22/1
25/1
20/1
Sterling Knight showed a glimpse of ability with a win six starts back and a third three starts back, but his last two outings have brought only sixth and seventh, giving his recent form a downward look; has run over today's distance and going, and 36 days off may have freshened him.
AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
12
571400
George Baker
10%
88
63
6
9-7
50/1
33/1
40/1
Desert Cop won four starts back but has managed only a fourth and two unplaced efforts since, and ranked 14th of 19 on our figures he faces a stiff task; 40 days off at least means he arrives fresh, and he has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
13
3-115
Ray Dawson
14%
Roger Varian
20%
90
95
3
9-6
SP
8/1
15/2
Ranked 18 of 19 on our figures, Anyasi faces a stiff ask under 132 lb, and a fifth last time out does little to inspire confidence, though he has run over today's trip and going before and boasts two wins in his last four starts.
AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
14
244115
Jack Nicholls(3)
12%
Iain Jardine
12%
87
92
5
9-6
17/2
11/1
17/2
Ranked 17 of 19 on our figures and carrying 132 lb, Jonny Concrete is difficult to fancy despite two wins in his last six starts, with a fifth last time out doing little to inspire confidence; a struggling trainer at 4% over the past fortnight compounds the concern, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
15
-12241
Tom Dascombe
12%
88
92
3
9-4
10/1
7/1
10/1
Marcellinus won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid claims, though 43 days off the track introduces a fitness query and carrying 130 lb from stall six tests his resolve against stronger company.
AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
16
227521
David O'Meara
13%
85
84
4
9-4
12/1
9/1
11/1
Won last time out and arrives here in decent nick after just 18 days, but he carries 130 lb from stall 17 and faces a deep field as the 12th-ranked of 19 on our assessment; has run over today's trip and going, though the weight could blunt his recent momentum.
AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
17
215161
Daniel Muscutt
14%
James Fanshawe
18%
87
91
3
9-3
17/2
7/1
17/2
Ranked well down the field on our figures and drawn in stall 11, Mr Writer faces a stiff ask at these weights, carrying 129 lb; in his favour, he has winning form in his last six starts and has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
18
311278
Finley Marsh
14%
Richard Hughes
15%
86
94
3
9-2
8/1
6/1
7/1
Ranked a lowly 16th of 19 on our figures, Startled's back-to-back wins in his last six starts offer some hope, but consecutive eighth and seventh-placed finishes since make him hard to fancy, even with distance and going experience to call on.
AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
19
315791
Sean Levey
13%
Richard Hannon
12%
85
81
3
9-1
12/1
8/1
12/1
Ranked last of 19 on our figures, Assaranca faces a stiff task, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has experience over today's trip and going, making her profile not entirely without merit.
AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
20
-70035
Rossa Ryan
18%
Clive Cox
17%
83
72
3
8-13
16/1
16/1
14/1
Winless in his last five starts, Shaman Champion nonetheless showed a hint of form when third two runs back, and has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 125 lb from stall 20, the gap between his official mark of 83 and a rating of 94 may offer some encouragement.
AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap Stakes ✓ Result
Open
1
-71131
Daniel Muscutt
14%
James Fanshawe
18%
87
90
3
9-11
11/4
2/1
11/4
Drymee arrives on the back of a win 22 days ago and has run over today's trip and going, but his speed rating of 82 gives pause, and carrying 137 lb from stall 3 makes life no easier for a horse ranked sixth of ten.
AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
2
-43351
Sean Levey
13%
Tom Ward
11%
85
92
3
9-9
11/10
3/2
5/6
Abundant arrives on the back of a recent win and has experience of today's distance and going, making him a genuine threat from stall eight carrying 135 lb; the main risk is whether he can reproduce that form after a 24-day absence.
AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
3
-88517
Ray Dawson
14%
Roger Varian
20%
84
66
3
9-8
10/1
11/1
8/1
Landed a win two starts back but has since disappointed with a seventh, and while he has run over today's distance and going before, carrying 134 lb from stall two makes further progress hard to predict.
AI verdict
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
4
-32265
Ryan Moore
24%
84
87
3
9-8
SP
2/1
5/2
Placed three times in his last five starts, Storming Point brings solid recent consistency and a 5 lb pull between his official mark and our rating of 89, making him a genuine threat from stall 7 at a well-judged 29 days since his last run, though the trainer's current 0-from-21 run of form is a concern.
AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
5
-97420
Kieran Shoemark
14%
Ed Walker
16%
84
72
3
9-8
11/1
10/1
17/2
Astrazar returns after 29 days, has run over today's trip and going, and rates highest in the field on our figures; yet to land a win in his last five starts and with the trainer hitting just 2%, he needs the form to click.
AI verdict
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
6
-16200
82
55
3
9-6
50/1
FCST
28/1
Back To Me arrives here on the back of experience over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back gives him a solid form platform; he carries 132 lb, and two consecutive unplaced runs since will need addressing.
AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
7
13
Rossa Ryan
18%
Clive Cox
17%
81
72
3
9-5
9/1
11/1
15/2
Placed third last time out and a winner two starts back, Crossbar brings solid recent form to this, though a 96-day absence is the main query; he has run over today's trip and carries 131 lb from stall four.
AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
8
-40300
Charles Bishop
10%
Ian Williams
11%
77
56
3
9-1
18/1
18/1
14/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Aqua Bear faces a stiff task here; the third came three starts back, but two unplaced efforts since and a 51-day absence make him hard to fancy, despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
9
3-332
Jamie Spencer
12%
Richard Hannon
12%
76
63
3
9-0
18/1
14/1
11/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Aura Champagne faces a stiff ask here, though she has been placed in all four of those outings and has experience over today's trip and going to call upon.
AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
10
-31079
Denis Coakley
11%
69
53
3
8-7
50/1
28/1
50/1
Beaten in each of his last three starts and ranked bottom two on our figures, Starlight Sami makes it hard to build a case, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a win four starts back shows he can find the line.
AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.