9 May 2026

Saturday 9 May Declan Landy Fencing Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Declan Landy Fencing Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 5f205y

1548-Hr decs

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Race Explorer BETA
Voting open
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Join free to vote Updated 1 week, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Gavoo silks
Gavoo
Age 3 · 9-11
0351-4
89
93
3
9-11
13/2
2
Pass Me If You Can
Age 3 · 9-12
64-1
Wayne Lordan
Miss Natalia Lupini
87
3
9-12
14/1
Three AW runs at Dundalk over the winter; won well over 5f last time, and trainer never underestimated, but opening mark looks stiff.

Three AW runs at Dundalk over the winter; won well over 5f last time, and trainer never underestimated, but opening mark looks stiff.

3
Ocean's Breath
Age 3 · 9-11
24-1
Colin Keane
G M Lyons
88
3
9-11
7/2
Was still a bit weak physically when twice showing promise at Navan last year; odds-on for the second time when readily beating subsequent winner in AW maiden over 6f last month.

Was still a bit weak physically when twice showing promise at Navan last year; odds-on for the second time when readily beating subsequent winner in AW maiden over 6f last month.

4
Nakamura silks
Nakamura
Age 3 · 9-6
114-87
84
94
3
9-6
25/1
5
Chicago Pope
Age 3 · 9-9
2501-2
Ben Coen
J P Murtagh
88
3
9-9
5/1
Beat the debuting Michael's Well in C&D maiden (yielding) in October and second over 5f on testing ground at Cork on return, having led both times.

Beat the debuting Michael's Well in C&D maiden (yielding) in October and second over 5f on testing ground at Cork on return, having led both times.

6
Michael's Well
Age 3 · 9-9
21-6
Chris Hayes
Eddie & Patrick Harty
91
3
9-9
12/1
Made 125,000gns at the breeeze-ups; second to Chicago Pope here on debut, went one better at Navan with odds-on Ocean's Breath only fourth; big drifter in market when poor at Cork on comeback, but capable of much better; has only encountered easy ground thus far.

Made 125,000gns at the breeeze-ups; second to Chicago Pope here on debut, went one better at Navan with odds-on Ocean's Breath only fourth; big drifter in market when poor at Cork on comeback, but capable of much better; has only encountered easy ground thus far.

8
Tahcawin
Age 3 · 9-2
610-52
101
3
9-2
8/1
8
Sovereign Cry
Age 3 · 9-7
021-
Dylan Browne McMonagle
Daniel James Murphy
88
3
9-7
13/2
Made 58,000 at the breeze-ups; progressive at Dundalk in early winter; too keen when unplaced favourite on debut, caught late by more experienced Gavoo over 6f (they meet on same terms here) and then got up close home to beat 82-rated filly over 5f; expected to be a stronger model this year and champion jockey aboard for handicap debut; good claims if not too fizzy after five months off.

Made 58,000 at the breeze-ups; progressive at Dundalk in early winter; too keen when unplaced favourite on debut, caught late by more experienced Gavoo over 6f (they meet on same terms here) and then got up close home to beat 82-rated filly over 5f; expected to be a stronger model this year and champion jockey aboard for handicap debut; good claims if not too fizzy after five months off.

9
Dawn Romance
Age 3 · 9-4
2210-6
Jamie Powell
M D O'Callaghan
86
3
9-4
28/1
C&D good-ground maiden winner in August on third start; well beaten in pair of stakes races since, including at Cork last weekend.

C&D good-ground maiden winner in August on third start; well beaten in pair of stakes races since, including at Cork last weekend.

9
Treasured Royal silks
Treasured Royal
Age 3 · 9-0
160-03
94
3
9-0
20/1
Navan maiden winner last September (6f, good); no impact in listed company at Dundalk and Newmarket next twice; back on song with 1.25l third of 14 in premier handicap at Naas latest (6f, good); just 1lb higher now; forecast rain a concern.

Navan maiden winner last September (6f, good); no impact in listed company at Dundalk and Newmarket next twice; back on song with 1.25l third of 14 in premier handicap at Naas latest (6f, good); just 1lb higher now; forecast rain a concern.

10
Midnight Dusk
Age 3 · 9-0
61-335
89
3
9-0
11/1
Won 2yo AW maiden (6f) on debut for this yard in December; stayed on well for a 2l fifth of 14 on handicap debut at Naas latest (6f, good) in first-time cheekpieces (retained); eased 1lb and will be doing best work at the finish dropped back to 5f.

Won 2yo AW maiden (6f) on debut for this yard in December; stayed on well for a 2l fifth of 14 on handicap debut at Naas latest (6f, good) in first-time cheekpieces (retained); eased 1lb and will be doing best work at the finish dropped back to 5f.

10
Joyful Tidings silks
Joyful Tidings
Age 3 · 8-11
57-750
94
3
8-11
14/1
Tipperary maiden winner last season (5f, yielding); not far behind a few of these when fifth at Naas on penultimate (6f, good); held by stablemate Treasure Royal in 6f premier handicap back there on latest; drop to 5f and easier ground a plus; not discounted.

Tipperary maiden winner last season (5f, yielding); not far behind a few of these when fifth at Naas on penultimate (6f, good); held by stablemate Treasure Royal in 6f premier handicap back there on latest; drop to 5f and easier ground a plus; not discounted.

11
Real Encounter
Age 3 · 9-4
44-21
Shane Foley
Mrs John Harrington
93
3
9-4
17/2
Debuted on turf and ran fine, solid AW form since; mark left untouched after ultimately snug maiden win over 5f last month, but she was pushed along at halfway then and stiff 6f here will likely suit better.

Debuted on turf and ran fine, solid AW form since; mark left untouched after ultimately snug maiden win over 5f last month, but she was pushed along at halfway then and stiff 6f here will likely suit better.

12
White Smoke
Age 3 · 9-3
2254-9
W J Lee
M C Grassick
90
3
9-3
33/1
Been a bit disappointing since finishing runner-up in pair of Curragh maidens over 6f; handicap debut.

Been a bit disappointing since finishing runner-up in pair of Curragh maidens over 6f; handicap debut.

15
Jp's Express
Age 3 · 8-12
56-6
Wesley Joyce(3)
Michael Mulvany
84
3
8-12
50/1
Just okay runs in 7f maidens last year and well held over same trip on return; handicap debut.

Just okay runs in 7f maidens last year and well held over same trip on return; handicap debut.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ocean's Breath

Speculative

Ocean's Breath owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 G M Lyons Colin Keane
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tahcawin

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · Joseph G Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Nakamura

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · J P Murtagh
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Ocean's Breath
56.6 7/2
2 8. Tahcawin
56.6 8/1
3 2. Gavoo
56.5 13/2
4 8. Sovereign Cry
54.8 13/2
5 5. Chicago Pope
53.0 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-11
7/2
J: Colin Keane
T: G M Lyons
🐾

Was still a bit weak physically when twice showing promise at Navan last year; odds-on for the second time when readily beating subsequent winner in AW maiden over 6f last month.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
5/1
J: Ben Coen
T: J P Murtagh
🐾

Beat the debuting Michael's Well in C&D maiden (yielding) in October and second over 5f on testing ground at Cork on return, having led both times.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
13/2
🐾
8
Age 3 · 9-7
13/2
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle
T: Daniel James Murphy
🐾

Made 58,000 at the breeze-ups; progressive at Dundalk in early winter; too keen when unplaced favourite on debut, caught late by more experienced Gavoo over 6f (they meet on same terms here) and then got up close home to beat 82-rated filly over 5f; expected to be a stronger model this year and champion jockey aboard for handicap debut; good claims if not too fizzy after five months off.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
8/1
🐾
11
Age 3 · 9-4
17/2
J: Shane Foley
T: Mrs John Harrington
🐾

Debuted on turf and ran fine, solid AW form since; mark left untouched after ultimately snug maiden win over 5f last month, but she was pushed along at halfway then and stiff 6f here will likely suit better.

10
Age 3 · 9-0
11/1
🐾

Won 2yo AW maiden (6f) on debut for this yard in December; stayed on well for a 2l fifth of 14 on handicap debut at Naas latest (6f, good) in first-time cheekpieces (retained); eased 1lb and will be doing best work at the finish dropped back to 5f.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
J: Chris Hayes
T: Eddie & Patrick Harty
🐾

Made 125,000gns at the breeeze-ups; second to Chicago Pope here on debut, went one better at Navan with odds-on Ocean's Breath only fourth; big drifter in market when poor at Cork on comeback, but capable of much better; has only encountered easy ground thus far.

2
Age 3 · 9-12
14/1
J: Wayne Lordan
T: Miss Natalia Lupini
🐾

Three AW runs at Dundalk over the winter; won well over 5f last time, and trainer never underestimated, but opening mark looks stiff.

10
Age 3 · 8-11
14/1
🐾

Tipperary maiden winner last season (5f, yielding); not far behind a few of these when fifth at Naas on penultimate (6f, good); held by stablemate Treasure Royal in 6f premier handicap back there on latest; drop to 5f and easier ground a plus; not discounted.

9
Age 3 · 9-0
20/1
🐾

Navan maiden winner last September (6f, good); no impact in listed company at Dundalk and Newmarket next twice; back on song with 1.25l third of 14 in premier handicap at Naas latest (6f, good); just 1lb higher now; forecast rain a concern.

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f205y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting