Kelly Bros Handicap Hurdle · 2m1f
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
Five hurdle wins came on goodish ground at 2m-2m4; last success came when 10l in front at Kelso last May; not at his best at Stratford next time, nor on the Flat at Galway when last seen; has won after a break before.
Flat winner got his third hurdles win under this rider at Navan in September (2m, yielding) off 9lb lower; 1l behind Wholelotofbusiness when fourth at Down Royal in November (worse off at weights now); another positive effort when second back at Navan (2m, soft to heavy) when last seen in November.
Bought for 40,000euros after winning a French hurdle race on very soft in October 2024; returned from a 519-day absence with a positive runner-up finish at Wexford (2m, soft) despite being unfancied in the market (11-1); could step forward now but has never raced on this better ground.
One of two for trainer; in decent form in the second half of last year, placing three times before gaining a C&D novice hurdle win (yielding); another positive effort when placed at Down Royal next time (2m1f, yielding) off 1lb lower; may come on for moderate return at Cork last time (2m3f, yielding).
Won a bumper and maiden hurdle over 2m for Willie Mullins in an interrupted career; form for current yard over hurdles and Flat suggests he needs to find a fair bit of improvement.
Won back-to-back handicaps at Cork (2m1f, good) and Tipperary (2m, good to yielding) in August/October; tailed off in a Punchestown novice handicap next time (2m1f, soft to heavy); not too bad at Cork last month when eighth of 19 (2m3f, yielding); could build on that and this ground is what he wants.
One of two for trainer; C&D maiden winner here last summer (good) and added a second hurdles win at Listowel (2m, good to yielding) next time when vanquishing Paul's Dream into a 3.25l second; form dropped off in three subsequent runs, including here; break needs to have done him good; remains 6lb above last winning mark.
Added second hurdles win when victorious at Fairyhouse in October (2m, yielding) off 7lb lower; not done with when departing at the second last at Cheltenham but unseen since tailed off at Navan (2m4f, soft to heavy) in November; ground should suit.
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.
Becasse owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalBought for 40,000euros after winning a French hurdle race on very soft in October 2024; returned from a 519-day absence with a positive runner-up finish at Wexford (2m, soft) despite being unfancied in the market (11-1); could step forward now but has never raced on this better ground.
Flat winner got his third hurdles win under this rider at Navan in September (2m, yielding) off 9lb lower; 1l behind Wholelotofbusiness when fourth at Down Royal in November (worse off at weights now); another positive effort when second back at Navan (2m, soft to heavy) when last seen in November.
Won back-to-back handicaps at Cork (2m1f, good) and Tipperary (2m, good to yielding) in August/October; tailed off in a Punchestown novice handicap next time (2m1f, soft to heavy); not too bad at Cork last month when eighth of 19 (2m3f, yielding); could build on that and this ground is what he wants.
One of two for trainer; in decent form in the second half of last year, placing three times before gaining a C&D novice hurdle win (yielding); another positive effort when placed at Down Royal next time (2m1f, yielding) off 1lb lower; may come on for moderate return at Cork last time (2m3f, yielding).
Added second hurdles win when victorious at Fairyhouse in October (2m, yielding) off 7lb lower; not done with when departing at the second last at Cheltenham but unseen since tailed off at Navan (2m4f, soft to heavy) in November; ground should suit.
One of two for trainer; C&D maiden winner here last summer (good) and added a second hurdles win at Listowel (2m, good to yielding) next time when vanquishing Paul's Dream into a 3.25l second; form dropped off in three subsequent runs, including here; break needs to have done him good; remains 6lb above last winning mark.
Five hurdle wins came on goodish ground at 2m-2m4; last success came when 10l in front at Kelso last May; not at his best at Stratford next time, nor on the Flat at Galway when last seen; has won after a break before.