Class 4 9 May 2026

Saturday 9 May William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 7f

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Assaranca (IRE) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon
    7/1
  2. 11/2
  3. 5/4F
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Big race Sat 23 May William Hill Temple Stakes (Group 2) Haydock · 15:30

Haydock

12:45–16:15 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Dagger Strike
Age 3 · 9-11
1-2227
Hollie Doyle
Archie Watson
84
3
9-11
9/1
Gelded and well backed when making all on handicap debut at Newcastle in December; runner-up on his next three starts but form dipped at Southwell (also 7f, AW) towards the end of March; having just his second go on turf and could be well drawn to attack.

Gelded and well backed when making all on handicap debut at Newcastle in December; runner-up on his next three starts but form dipped at Southwell (also 7f, AW) towards the end of March; having just his second go on turf and could be well drawn to attack.

3
Mystic Moment
Age 3 · 9-11
5337-6
David Probert
Neil Mulholland
82
3
9-11
14/1
Useful filly for Eve Johnson Houghton, readily made all in Epsom maiden (7f, good; Assaranca 4l second) in July; transferred to Neil Mulholland (same owners) but it was a low-key start when last of six in conditions race at Kempton (1m, AW) on her comeback in March; needs to put that behind her on this handicap debut.

Useful filly for Eve Johnson Houghton, readily made all in Epsom maiden (7f, good; Assaranca 4l second) in July; transferred to Neil Mulholland (same owners) but it was a low-key start when last of six in conditions race at Kempton (1m, AW) on her comeback in March; needs to put that behind her on this handicap debut.

4
Hardy's Hero
Age 3 · 9-10
7115-2
Tom Marquand
William Haggas
90
3
9-10
6/4
Maiden and novice winner (6f, good to firm/good) last summer who was a shade disappointing when fifth of ten on handicap debut at Newbury (good to soft) in September; subsequently gelded and his neck second of 13 at Newmarket (also 7f, good) was much more like it on his comeback last month; mixed messages have come out of that race but still commands plenty of respect.

Maiden and novice winner (6f, good to firm/good) last summer who was a shade disappointing when fifth of ten on handicap debut at Newbury (good to soft) in September; subsequently gelded and his neck second of 13 at Newmarket (also 7f, good) was much more like it on his comeback last month; mixed messages have come out of that race but still commands plenty of respect.

5
Oracle Mission
Age 3 · 9-9
31-
Pierre-Louis Jamin
Harry Eustace
83
3
9-9
9/1
Good start when third on AW here (7f) in November and didn't need to improve to beat 11 others returned to that C&D the following month; interesting to see blinkers go on for this handicap/turf debut but still of clear interest on his reappearance.

Good start when third on AW here (7f) in November and didn't need to improve to beat 11 others returned to that C&D the following month; interesting to see blinkers go on for this handicap/turf debut but still of clear interest on his reappearance.

5
Fresh Fade silks
Fresh Fade
Age 3 · 9-9
6045-6
80
89
3
9-9
25/1
6
Mr Writer
Age 3 · 9-6
2562-4
Daniel Muscutt
James Fanshawe
82
3
9-6
15/2
Promise in his qualifying runs; pulled hard when disappointing on handicap debut at Doncaster (good to soft) in September and raced freely when fourth in Wolverhampton novice (also 7f, AW) on his reappearance three weeks ago; now makes second handicap start and needs to settle if he's going to fulfill his potential.

Promise in his qualifying runs; pulled hard when disappointing on handicap debut at Doncaster (good to soft) in September and raced freely when fourth in Wolverhampton novice (also 7f, AW) on his reappearance three weeks ago; now makes second handicap start and needs to settle if he's going to fulfill his potential.

8
Assaranca
Age 3 · 8-13
716-63
Joe Leavy
Richard Hannon
88
3
8-13
17/2
Made all at Nottingham in October under Joe Leavy and she stepped up on her seasonal return when third of six at Epsom (also 8.5f, good) 11 days ago; could be dangerous if she grabs the stands' rail.

Made all at Nottingham in October under Joe Leavy and she stepped up on her seasonal return when third of six at Epsom (also 8.5f, good) 11 days ago; could be dangerous if she grabs the stands' rail.

14
French Affair silks
French Affair
Age 3 · 9-4
24-254
75
88
3
9-4
4/1

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hardy's Hero

Speculative

Hardy's Hero owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 William Haggas Tom Marquand
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

French Affair

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Richard Hannon
✓ Value Signal

Fresh Fade

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Michael Attwater
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Hardy's Hero
57.2 6/4
2 14. French Affair
52.8 4/1
3 2. Dagger Strike
50.8 9/1
4 5. Oracle Mission
49.6 9/1
5 8. Assaranca
49.1 17/2
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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-10
6/4
J: Tom Marquand
T: William Haggas
🐾

Maiden and novice winner (6f, good to firm/good) last summer who was a shade disappointing when fifth of ten on handicap debut at Newbury (good to soft) in September; subsequently gelded and his neck second of 13 at Newmarket (also 7f, good) was much more like it on his comeback last month; mixed messages have come out of that race but still commands plenty of respect.

14
Age 3 · 9-4
4/1
🐾
6
Age 3 · 9-6
15/2
J: Daniel Muscutt
T: James Fanshawe
🐾

Promise in his qualifying runs; pulled hard when disappointing on handicap debut at Doncaster (good to soft) in September and raced freely when fourth in Wolverhampton novice (also 7f, AW) on his reappearance three weeks ago; now makes second handicap start and needs to settle if he's going to fulfill his potential.

8
Age 3 · 8-13
17/2
J: Joe Leavy
T: Richard Hannon
🐾

Made all at Nottingham in October under Joe Leavy and she stepped up on her seasonal return when third of six at Epsom (also 8.5f, good) 11 days ago; could be dangerous if she grabs the stands' rail.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
9/1
J: Hollie Doyle
T: Archie Watson
🐾

Gelded and well backed when making all on handicap debut at Newcastle in December; runner-up on his next three starts but form dipped at Southwell (also 7f, AW) towards the end of March; having just his second go on turf and could be well drawn to attack.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
9/1
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin
T: Harry Eustace
🐾

Good start when third on AW here (7f) in November and didn't need to improve to beat 11 others returned to that C&D the following month; interesting to see blinkers go on for this handicap/turf debut but still of clear interest on his reappearance.

3
Age 3 · 9-11
14/1
J: David Probert
T: Neil Mulholland
🐾

Useful filly for Eve Johnson Houghton, readily made all in Epsom maiden (7f, good; Assaranca 4l second) in July; transferred to Neil Mulholland (same owners) but it was a low-key start when last of six in conditions race at Kempton (1m, AW) on her comeback in March; needs to put that behind her on this handicap debut.

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Lingfield Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade