Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 3m58y
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
Back hurdling (from chasing) in a first-time visor when an excellent second of 22 at Aintree (3m, good to soft) four weeks ago, always prominent; back up 2lb but a serious each-way player.
Won by a neck in this race (good) last year off 1lb lower, having been third in it the year before; 33-1 sixth at Aintree last month suggested he's working his way back to that level, so has to be considered seriously.
3m hat-trick in 2025 started with a success over hurdles at Aintree (good) in April before two chase wins late in the year; three marked backward steps over fences since but he's well handicapped on best chase efforts.
Regular winner, including of ten-runner C&D race (good) last month when he travelled up smoothly to lead two out before answering some serious questions; raised another 5lb but highly respected after that career best.
Consistent sort but she's won just once (a maiden last January) from 13 starts; rallied into a remote second here (good) last time, so perhaps a first attempt beyond that 2m5f will help the cause.
Back with Nicky Henderson last season and showed he retained a chunk of ability on first two starts, latterly when seventh of 24 in the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham (3m, good); made the running at Aintree (22-1) four weeks ago but ended pulled up; remains well handicapped on old form but there's been no win since January 2023.
Irish point winner who comfortably accounted for a subsequent Grade 2 novice winner in maiden at Doncaster (2m5f, good to soft) in November; had wind surgery soon afterwards and came a satisfactory second of four in novice here (2m5f, good) on last month's return; the longer trip is an appealing option for this unexposed handicap debutant.
Inconsistent chaser who's saved his best for Cheltenham in 2025 and 2026, including a win (his only handicap success) in January 2025 and third at the Festival this March; both were over an extended 2m4f and he's shown his form only once from seven attempts under rules over 3m+; not the percentage call.
Inconsistent and only 1-18 under rules; placed twice from four starts over C&D, including when third to Serious Chat on latest start, but there appear to be more potent options among his rivals.
First four hurdle wins came in the month of May, before he took a four-runner race at Taunton (3m, good) last month; 5lb higher in today's much more competitive affair but that was his first attempt over this far and he might have more to offer as a stayer; first visor replaces cheekpieces.
Hurdles form (handicap winner over 2m4f-3m1f) does not look quite good enough in this higher grade and the form of his winning chase debut at Cartmel last July has been followed by heavy defeats in both starts since (ridden by this 10lb claimer on latest); others preferred.
Had one wind operation last November and another this March; surged back from a lean spell with 5l win at Plumpton (3m1f, good) three weeks ago on a rare run in cheekpieces, which are retained, but today's 7lb higher mark in a warm race demands a career best.
Won four on the trot in July-October 2024 at about 2m4f, culminating in a Grade 2 novice event; long absence before three runs this year, easily best of those last time and that display gave some encouragement for this longer trip, but jumping was sketchy and cheekpieces are now applied.
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.
Tranquil Sea owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (80) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalHad one wind operation last November and another this March; surged back from a lean spell with 5l win at Plumpton (3m1f, good) three weeks ago on a rare run in cheekpieces, which are retained, but today's 7lb higher mark in a warm race demands a career best.
Consistent sort but she's won just once (a maiden last January) from 13 starts; rallied into a remote second here (good) last time, so perhaps a first attempt beyond that 2m5f will help the cause.
Irish point winner who comfortably accounted for a subsequent Grade 2 novice winner in maiden at Doncaster (2m5f, good to soft) in November; had wind surgery soon afterwards and came a satisfactory second of four in novice here (2m5f, good) on last month's return; the longer trip is an appealing option for this unexposed handicap debutant.
Inconsistent and only 1-18 under rules; placed twice from four starts over C&D, including when third to Serious Chat on latest start, but there appear to be more potent options among his rivals.
Back hurdling (from chasing) in a first-time visor when an excellent second of 22 at Aintree (3m, good to soft) four weeks ago, always prominent; back up 2lb but a serious each-way player.
Won by a neck in this race (good) last year off 1lb lower, having been third in it the year before; 33-1 sixth at Aintree last month suggested he's working his way back to that level, so has to be considered seriously.
Regular winner, including of ten-runner C&D race (good) last month when he travelled up smoothly to lead two out before answering some serious questions; raised another 5lb but highly respected after that career best.
Back with Nicky Henderson last season and showed he retained a chunk of ability on first two starts, latterly when seventh of 24 in the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham (3m, good); made the running at Aintree (22-1) four weeks ago but ended pulled up; remains well handicapped on old form but there's been no win since January 2023.
First four hurdle wins came in the month of May, before he took a four-runner race at Taunton (3m, good) last month; 5lb higher in today's much more competitive affair but that was his first attempt over this far and he might have more to offer as a stayer; first visor replaces cheekpieces.
Won four on the trot in July-October 2024 at about 2m4f, culminating in a Grade 2 novice event; long absence before three runs this year, easily best of those last time and that display gave some encouragement for this longer trip, but jumping was sketchy and cheekpieces are now applied.
3m hat-trick in 2025 started with a success over hurdles at Aintree (good) in April before two chase wins late in the year; three marked backward steps over fences since but he's well handicapped on best chase efforts.
