Tote Killarney National Handicap Chase · 3m2f
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
Point and hurdle winner is yet to score over fences but has lots of fine efforts to his name; only beaten 13l in the competitive Topham Chase at Aintree last time; this is a bit easier so has to be on the shortlist even though is unproven over this far.
Won a maiden hurdle here in 2023 and is 1-10 over fences; hasn't had much racing in the last two years but ran two fine races in valuable Cheltenham handicaps last winter; not as good after wind surgery in the Ultima handicap last time; player if at best.
Eight hurdle wins including once at this track; got off the mark over fences in a Kilbeggan beginners' last year before beaten 13l into third in this race; 2lb lower today but can go well fresh so could be involved.
Bumper and hurdle winner won a valuable chase at Punchestown last year over just short of 4m; not as good off higher marks since and unseated there last time; looks the yard's second-string on jockey bookings.
Was third in this race in 2024 when the easy ground went against him; best form since was when runner-up in that year's Paddy Power Chase; hasn't regained his best form since sustaining an injury in the 2025 Fulke Walwyn Chase and needs a revival
Won over fences at Tipperary and Listowel up to 3m last year; struggled off higher marks in softer ground after but could do better back on a sound surface.
Dual hurdle winner is rated 128 in that sphere; hasn't been as good over fences in four starts but best effort came when fourth in a Clonmel novice last time; raced a bit awkwardly then; will need plenty more today.
134-rated hurdler; 1-8 in chases and rated 23lb lower in this sphere but hasn't yet been able to exploit that lower rating in four handicap chase runs for this yard; a bit better in the Killarney National (3m2f, gd-yld) on latest and this is easier; rain fine and can't discount if builds on that for local yard.
A record of 1-29 over fences but has been placed lots of times including at Limerick and Wexford the last twice; needs to do more but shouldn't be far away off an unchanged mark.
Three wins over hurdles when trained in the UK and was Grade 3-placed; below that form in four chase starts for this yard and has to stage a revival.
Course hurdle winner is 1-12 over fences but that came back in 2021; runner-up over fences at Limerick in March but was disappointing over hurdles at Cork since.
Won at Killarney last July off 12lb lower; respectable run in Cork National (3m4f, gd-yld) off 106 (3lb wrong) last November; pulled up back there three weeks later; out of depth in Killarney National on return from break latest; these are calmer waters and could rebound.
Won for the second time over fences when taking a Fairyhouse handicap over 2m5f last time despite jumping right late on; raised 5lb for that in a stronger contest so will have to do more from 1lb out of the handicap.
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.
Happy Jacky owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (81) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
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AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalPoint and hurdle winner is yet to score over fences but has lots of fine efforts to his name; only beaten 13l in the competitive Topham Chase at Aintree last time; this is a bit easier so has to be on the shortlist even though is unproven over this far.
Eight hurdle wins including once at this track; got off the mark over fences in a Kilbeggan beginners' last year before beaten 13l into third in this race; 2lb lower today but can go well fresh so could be involved.
Won a maiden hurdle here in 2023 and is 1-10 over fences; hasn't had much racing in the last two years but ran two fine races in valuable Cheltenham handicaps last winter; not as good after wind surgery in the Ultima handicap last time; player if at best.
Bumper and hurdle winner won a valuable chase at Punchestown last year over just short of 4m; not as good off higher marks since and unseated there last time; looks the yard's second-string on jockey bookings.
Dual hurdle winner is rated 128 in that sphere; hasn't been as good over fences in four starts but best effort came when fourth in a Clonmel novice last time; raced a bit awkwardly then; will need plenty more today.
A record of 1-29 over fences but has been placed lots of times including at Limerick and Wexford the last twice; needs to do more but shouldn't be far away off an unchanged mark.
Was third in this race in 2024 when the easy ground went against him; best form since was when runner-up in that year's Paddy Power Chase; hasn't regained his best form since sustaining an injury in the 2025 Fulke Walwyn Chase and needs a revival
Won over fences at Tipperary and Listowel up to 3m last year; struggled off higher marks in softer ground after but could do better back on a sound surface.
Won at Killarney last July off 12lb lower; respectable run in Cork National (3m4f, gd-yld) off 106 (3lb wrong) last November; pulled up back there three weeks later; out of depth in Killarney National on return from break latest; these are calmer waters and could rebound.
Won for the second time over fences when taking a Fairyhouse handicap over 2m5f last time despite jumping right late on; raised 5lb for that in a stronger contest so will have to do more from 1lb out of the handicap.
Course hurdle winner is 1-12 over fences but that came back in 2021; runner-up over fences at Limerick in March but was disappointing over hurdles at Cork since.