9 May 2026

Saturday 9 May #Matchbooklovesracing Irish EBF Maiden

#Matchbooklovesracing Irish EBF Maiden · 5f

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Race Explorer BETA
Voting open
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Join free to vote Updated 1 week, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Abletai
Age 2 · 9-7
8
W J Lee
M C Grassick
41
2
9-7
50/1
Betrayed inexperience when too keen and fading into last of 8 over 6f here on debut; drop in trip a plus but may need a bit more time.

Betrayed inexperience when too keen and fading into last of 8 over 6f here on debut; drop in trip a plus but may need a bit more time.

2
Carry The Flag
Age 2 · 9-7
2
Wayne Lordan
A P O'Brien
84
2
9-7
2/5
Pleasing effort on debut at the Curragh (5f, soft), beaten 1.25l into second and the third has since run well in Listed company; pedigree suggests improvement will be forthcoming on quicker ground; leading chance for top yard.

Pleasing effort on debut at the Curragh (5f, soft), beaten 1.25l into second and the third has since run well in Listed company; pedigree suggests improvement will be forthcoming on quicker ground; leading chance for top yard.

4
Ocean Club
Age 2 · 9-7
0
Donagh O'Connor
Robson De Aguiar
24
2
9-7
12/1
Failed to fire on debut in the Brocklesby at Doncaster (5f, gd-sft) when a 14-1 shot; given a 42-day break since and returns with yard in flying form; by Persian Force so could improve plenty for this faster ground; not dismissed.

Failed to fire on debut in the Brocklesby at Doncaster (5f, gd-sft) when a 14-1 shot; given a 42-day break since and returns with yard in flying form; by Persian Force so could improve plenty for this faster ground; not dismissed.

5
Mr Montauk silks
Mr Montauk
Age 2 · 9-2
57
64
2
9-2
9/1
With a top yard but has failed to fire in a pair of 5f maidens at Naas; beaten 12.5l when last of seven there on latest; others hold more pressing claims.

With a top yard but has failed to fire in a pair of 5f maidens at Naas; beaten 12.5l when last of seven there on latest; others hold more pressing claims.

5
Santorini Storm
Age 2 · 9-7
76
Seamie Heffernan
J P Murtagh
46
2
9-7
50/1
Soundly beaten in 5f maidens at the Curragh (sft-hvy) and at Cork (soft); not easy to make a case for on the back of those tame efforts.

Soundly beaten in 5f maidens at the Curragh (sft-hvy) and at Cork (soft); not easy to make a case for on the back of those tame efforts.

6
Sun Goddess
Age 2 · 9-2
Jack Cleary(5)
A P O'Brien
2
9-2
11/2
Sioux Nation filly; 120,000GBP yearling; dam unraced half-sister to winners Scream Blue Murder (6f Group 3), Pilgrims Rest (1m2f/1m3f) and Gibraltar Blue (South African 7f/1m Group 2), out of 1m Listed winner; second runner for top yard and looks second-string on rider arrangements.

Sioux Nation filly; 120,000GBP yearling; dam unraced half-sister to winners Scream Blue Murder (6f Group 3), Pilgrims Rest (1m2f/1m3f) and Gibraltar Blue (South African 7f/1m Group 2), out of 1m Listed winner; second runner for top yard and looks second-string on rider arrangements.

7
Woodlawn Lily
Age 2 · 9-2
4
Ben Coen
J P Murtagh
71
2
9-2
9/1
Space Blues filly produced something to build on with 2l fourth behind subsequent easy Listed winner Velozee on debut at Cork (5f, soft) when an unconsidered 25-1 shot; big chance if she acts on quicker ground (not certain on breeding).

Space Blues filly produced something to build on with 2l fourth behind subsequent easy Listed winner Velozee on debut at Cork (5f, soft) when an unconsidered 25-1 shot; big chance if she acts on quicker ground (not certain on breeding).

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sun Goddess

Live signal

Sun Goddess owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Balanced lens leaned on market confidence (75) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 A P O'Brien Jack Cleary(5)
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Carry The Flag

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/5 · A P O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Abletai

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · M C Grassick
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating No data
No data
⚖ Weight 38% +0.0 pts

No SR / RPR / TS data on the winner — its weight has been redistributed across the other signals.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +26.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +7.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +9.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +9.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +6.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Sun Goddess
60.4 11/2
2 2. Carry The Flag
54.8 2/5
3 7. Woodlawn Lily
47.7 9/1
4 5. Mr Montauk
43.5 9/1
5 4. Ocean Club
33.9 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-7
2/5
J: Wayne Lordan
T: A P O'Brien
🐾

Pleasing effort on debut at the Curragh (5f, soft), beaten 1.25l into second and the third has since run well in Listed company; pedigree suggests improvement will be forthcoming on quicker ground; leading chance for top yard.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
11/2
J: Jack Cleary(5)
T: A P O'Brien
🐾

Sioux Nation filly; 120,000GBP yearling; dam unraced half-sister to winners Scream Blue Murder (6f Group 3), Pilgrims Rest (1m2f/1m3f) and Gibraltar Blue (South African 7f/1m Group 2), out of 1m Listed winner; second runner for top yard and looks second-string on rider arrangements.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
9/1
🐾

With a top yard but has failed to fire in a pair of 5f maidens at Naas; beaten 12.5l when last of seven there on latest; others hold more pressing claims.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
9/1
J: Ben Coen
T: J P Murtagh
🐾

Space Blues filly produced something to build on with 2l fourth behind subsequent easy Listed winner Velozee on debut at Cork (5f, soft) when an unconsidered 25-1 shot; big chance if she acts on quicker ground (not certain on breeding).

4
Age 2 · 9-7
12/1
J: Donagh O'Connor
T: Robson De Aguiar
🐾

Failed to fire on debut in the Brocklesby at Doncaster (5f, gd-sft) when a 14-1 shot; given a 42-day break since and returns with yard in flying form; by Persian Force so could improve plenty for this faster ground; not dismissed.

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting