Won Irish maiden point in April last year; stepped up from her hurdles debut to open her account in this sphere at Perth (2m4f, good) in April; carries a 7lb penalty but is the one to beat.
Form last 61/421-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR113RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Promising efforts when finishing third in her two runs over hurdles, over 2m at Chepstow and Warwick; looks sure to be suited by this step up in trip and shouldn't be far away.
Form last 6533-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR112RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Showing steady improvement with each run, latest when runner-up on her handicap debut at Newton Abbot (2m2f, good) four weeks ago; looks sure to be suited by this step up in trip and holds claims.
Form last 656-22
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR109RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed bumper at Stratford (2m, soft) in March; fell at the first flight on her hurdles debut at Newton Abbot (2m1f, good; 4-1) two weeks ago; steps up in trip and should run well provided that fall hasn't left a mark.
Form last 6812-F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Evening Tess owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Dan SkeltonHarry Skelton
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Frenati
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
17/2 · Anthony Honeyball✓ Value Signal
Maria Mes
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Jamie Snowden◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Viscountess Nelson (SR 92, 10/11) carries top-weight at 11-9 but commands strong market confidence as the Nicky Henderson-trained favourite, and her form string of 1/421- shows she has won over hurdles previously. Despite a blank last run, Henderson runners returning from a break in mares' novice company at this level frequently improve, and the SR of 92 — nominally the highest in the field — combined with the market's decisive support at near-evens points to an expected dominant performance. Evening Tess (SR 88, 5/2) is the key market rival but carries only 10-10 and her 56-22 form line shows consistent placed efforts rather than a win, making Viscountess Nelson the more credible winning proposition at this class. The weight differential of 13lb over Evening Tess is notable on good ground but the SR gap is narrow, so market confidence is the decisive tiebreaker here.
Each-way alternative: Evening Tess.
Main danger: Evening Tess — Evening Tess (SR 88, 5/2) has run four times over hurdles with two recent placed efforts (22 at the end of her form string), carries a lighter burden of 10-10 versus Viscountess Nelson's 11-9, and Dan Skelton has her primed to go one better at this class on good ground.