Won two 6f handicaps at Chepstow last June and went close in his hat-trick bid in July (7f); two lesser efforts followed and he returns to action after 252 days on the sidelines.
Form last 611279-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR46RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
C&D win last May (good to firm) remains his only win from 20 starts; he has run two solid races in defeat this year, however, and would seem highly likely to run his race once more.
Form last 6449-27
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR43RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Just one win from 33 starts but he has twice finished second this year (both 6f, AW and good to firm); return to sprinting can help, as should the return of a visor, and he helps form a strong hand for Jim Goldie.
Form last 6205256
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR41RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Slow starts have been a recurring theme since she moved into handicaps but she has hinted that her mark is in range; cheekpieces added and Eireann Cagney is booked, so there can be encouragement for an improved showing tonight.
Form last 6954-35
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR45RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
0-15 but the odd promising effort, including a close second at Newcastle in March (7f); neither of his turf runs this summer suggest he is the answer today.
Form last 6424044
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR42RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Pebble Dash owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (20) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Gary HarrisonMr Louis Burke(7)
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Penny Mountain
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Gary Rutherford✓ Value Signal
Shoptilyoudrop
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Philip Kirby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Mister Sky Blue (SR 33, 3/1) carries 10-11 and sits joint-second in the SR rankings, but crucially commands the strongest market confidence in the field alongside Penny Mountain and Summerstorms Dream — at 3/1 he is the joint-favourite despite not carrying the lightest weight. His form string 449-27 shows a recent improvement to 7th and 2nd, suggesting a horse coming back to form, and at 4 years old he has the potential for further progression that the older rivals (6-7 year olds with flat form lines) lack. Trainer Gemma Tutty's small yard sending one at this price on good ground at Hamilton indicates genuine confidence. In a race where the entire field sits in the sub-120 workmanlike bracket and SR separations are marginal (30-39), weight, market, and recent trajectory become the decisive factors.
Each-way alternative: Summerstorms Dream.
Main danger: Penny Mountain — Penny Mountain (SR 31, 4/1) carries top-weight of 11-2 which is a burden, but shares the joint-favourite tag and trainer Gary Rutherford's yard has clearly targeted this race — the market has not drifted, suggesting stable confidence that could translate into a bold show.