Ballinrobe maiden (1m2f) win last summer sandwiched by two hurdle sucesses, all on good ground; form this spring below-best under both codes however and unproven over this far.
Form last 6183-56
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR79RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Nicely improved on second handicap attempt when enterprisingly-ridden over 1m6f at Gowran last month, green but rallying after being headed to finish a clear second (Quiz Test fourth); good chance he'll get this trip and likely more to offer.
Form last 605-902
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR73RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Sole win came at Cork in 2023; decent form last autumn, including a close third over 1m4f at Galway and second in a 19-runner contest at the Curragh; well-backed on latest of two runs this term when fourth at Gowran (Good Onya Mate second); 5lb claimer now rides but more exposed than that rival.
Form last 6342-94
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR74RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Enjoyed an excellent campaign last season which included two wins at Leopardstown (1m4f/1m5f, good); 1m2f too sharp on return there last month, interesting now upped further in trip here with Keane aboard.
Form last 63121-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR73RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Three-time winner at 1m2f on soft or heavy, latest over two years ago; fair form this season but good bit to find with a couple of these on recent Leopardstown run and remains unproven over this extended trip.
Form last 6047458
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR74RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Off the mark at the 15th attempt in 1m4f Roscommon handicap last month (yielding-to-soft), coming from off the pace; 5lb rise so more needed but respected.
Form last 660-061
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR75RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Very lightly raced 4yo; nicely improved when upped in trip for handicap debut at Cork last month, coming home well into third over extended 1m2f (soft-to-heavy); interesting if he can continue improving at this longer trip.
Form last 680-03
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR74RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Best run yet on latest when upped to 1m4f in Cork handicap in April, coming from good bit back after tardy start when second to an improver (won again next time); half-brother to Irish Cesarewitch winner Puturhandstogether could well improve again now upped further in distance.
Form last 6055-62
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR67RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winning hurdler returned to Flat recently to justify strong market support when hooded first-time in 2m Down Royal handicap under today's rider, beating Sunday's Navan winner Jurality with some authority; hit with 12lb rise but could well play a role.
Form last 68700-1
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR67RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Three-time hurdles winner (also chase winner) is 0-21 on the Flat but went close over this trip at Thurles last autumn off today's mark; can't rule out.
Form last 63330-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR73RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Recent Ballinrobe maiden run was okay but will have to improve a fair bit for this step up in trip to make an impact on second handicap attempt (3lb wrong).
Form last 6007-83
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR68RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Our Lucky Lady owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (27) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4P G FaheyJessica O'Gorman(7)
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Nod Of Approval
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Mrs John Harrington✓ Value Signal
Sioux Grit
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · R P Burns◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Our Lucky Lady (SR 48, 9/4) is the clear market leader and the data supports the confidence: a recent win ('1' as last run in form string 8700-1) confirms current peak form, and carrying just 8-12 means a 12lb weight advantage over top-weight Riyami. P G Fahey is a shrewd operator with handicappers and the market has compressed to 9/4 — the shortest price in the field by a significant margin. Against a field where the second-highest SR is only 53 (Nod Of Approval) and the bulk of the field sits in the SR 41-47 range, the combination of a recent win, light weight, and strong market confidence makes this a convincing case.
Each-way alternative: Nod Of Approval.
Main danger: Nod Of Approval — Nod Of Approval (SR 53, 7/2) carries the highest SR in the field at a relatively light 8-12, and a form string showing a recent '2' last time out suggests she is knocking on the door — if she converts that closing run into a win today, she has the class edge to upset the favourite.
ShortlistOur Lucky Lady, Nod Of Approval, Pass The Buck, Tatum