Showed significant improvement in first-time blinkers to win a handicap over an extended 1m at Gowran last October; proved he could handle a sound surface with a follow-up success at Dundalk in November; went up a stone in total but will need further progress to cope with several higher-rated rivals here.
Form last 690011-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR62RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed four times in Britain in 2024, showing a liking for quick ground; modest form over hurdles for this stable last year; after almost 12 months off, produced a much livelier display when third in a Flat maiden at Ballinrobe last month.
Form last 62099/3
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR68RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Filly with a good German pedigree; ran her best race so far when sixth in a 20-runner handicap over 1m5f at Navan in April, beaten only 3l and would have been closer with a clear run; several others have a stronger chance in theory, but perhaps unwise to rule out.
Form last 665-096
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR68RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Frankel filly put in her best effort when third in a heavy ground Gowran fillies' maiden last October over an extended 1m1f; reportedly got upset in the stalls on both handicap starts at Dundalk later in the year; risky in the circumstances.
Form last 667359-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR68RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Slowly away and ran green at Dundalk on her only start at three; made late progress in a 1m maiden at Killarney last month; unexposed filly, open to improvement but others have stronger credentials.
Form last 69-5
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR59RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Three wins in Britain in 2023 at up to 1m; regressive in the last two seasons; produced best run for some time at Dundalk in March when good second over 1m; more recent turf form just about good enough to suggest he can make his presence felt in this grade.
Form last 6-02538
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR75RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Failed to prosper in handicaps after showing decent form at two; had dropped from an initial rating of 85 to 70 by the time of his final start for Charlie Johnston in 2024; gelded now; likely to need after a long absence.
Form last 685659/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR71RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Takes a sharp drop in class having contested a strong 1m6f handicap at the Curragh last week; had previously shown decent form in finishing second in maiden hurdles at Tramore and Killarney; suited by the race conditions, as he was when readily landing a race of this type at Dundalk in March.
Form last 63-4610
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR94RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won over 1m on good ground at Thirsk last summer for James Ferguson; poor form in juvenile hurdles; a race of this type represents his best chance of adding to his tally, judged on his recent Dundalk fourth behind a stablemate of Tyson Fury.
Form last 68109-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR92RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tyson Fury owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/10Denis Gerard HoganJ M Sheridan
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Wolfpack
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Gordon Elliott✓ Value Signal
Peace Walk
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Eamonn O'Connell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Tyson Fury (SR 77, 11/10) is the clear class standout in this field, rating 13 points clear of the next-best Wolfpack (SR 64) and 23 points above the market's second-favourite Merlin The Wizard (SR 54). Carrying 9-13 — actually a pound lighter than top-weights — the weight burden is not prohibitive for the SR advantage. The market has installed him as a strong favourite, reflecting genuine confidence rather than blind drift, and at 9 years old he clearly retains ability given that SR. The form string 3-4610 shows a tenth last time out, but the prior 461 sequence on varied ground suggests he is capable of placing/winning at this level when on song, and this claiming company is notably weak.
Each-way alternative: Wolfpack.
Main danger: Wolfpack — Wolfpack (SR 64, 5/1) is trained by Gordon Elliott — a significant handler for a race of this nature — carries a featherweight 9-3 giving him a 10lb pull on Tyson Fury, and the '4' at the end of his form string suggests he is returning to form after a break, which is dangerous at the current price.