Three course wins last year; off the mark on turf when winning an apprentice race at Goodwood on Friday (1m, good to soft); unpenalised today and holds obvious claims despite a wide stall.
Form last 64-4041
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR88RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Promising second in a Wolverhampton novice (8.6f) last January but he's struggled in both subsequent runs, including on handicap debut at Sandown (1m, soft) last August; still unexposed but he has plenty to prove after another absence; hooded first time.
Form last 67/279-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR82RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
C&D win last summer; best effort for some time when getting up late to beat Havana Touch by a nose at Lingfield six weeks ago (7f, AW); a 2lb rise shouldn't prevent another prominent showing.
Form last 643-421
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR87RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
She hasn't looked ahead of the handicapper following her small-field novice win at Southwell last September; dropping down the weights but arrives with plenty to prove; fifth 7.21 Brighton Tuesday.
Form last 60-6655
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR85RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
12-race maiden; had a near miss dropped into Class 5 company at Lingfield in April (1m2f); fair run on turf last month despite finishing last of the four runners; each-way shout.
Form last 6790824
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR89RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Justified favouritism in a C&D handicap in April off 5lb lower; beaten a nose at Lingfield later that month and then met trouble in running at Ripon last week; should remain competitive.
Form last 6892126
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR86RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
1m turf win last September off 4lb lower; in and out since, often conceding ground at the start, but Ryan Kavanagh takes off a valuable 5lb; below his best in one Kempton appearance.
Form last 67035-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR86RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
C&D winner; arrives in form, winning easily over 7f at Lingfield (good ground); solid third at Brighton 12 days ago and returning to 1m is no issue; this is a step up in class though.
Form last 6606413
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR85RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Billy Mill owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2Rod MillmanSaffie Osborne
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Silca Bay
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Eve Johnson Houghton✓ Value Signal
Hour By Hour
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Adam Kirby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Havana Touch (SR 69, 11/2) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Bold Suitor but carries a meaningfully lighter weight at 9-1 versus Bold Suitor's 9-5 — a 4lb advantage that matters on an AW mile. The form string 892126 shows a consistent upward trajectory culminating in a recent win (rightmost digit 6 aside, the '2' and '1' in the sequence confirm competitive finishing), and at 11/2 the market is broadly confident without the price being dangerously short. John Butler is an active yard and the 5yo profile fits a horse potentially still improving. The weight-SR combination is the most favourable in the field: joint-best ability, lightest of the two co-leaders by 4lb.
Each-way alternative: Bold Suitor.
Main danger: Bold Suitor — Bold Suitor (SR 69, 9/1) matches Havana Touch on the highest SR in the field, is a 9yo who presumably handles AW surfaces well given his trainer's profile, and the form 43-421 shows a recent win — the only concern is the 4lb weight concession to Havana Touch, but if that gap is less significant on good-to-soft AW conditions he is the most likely spoiler.
ShortlistHavana Touch, Bold Suitor, Silca Bay, I Am Me