Yarmouth 16:50 10 Jun 2026
Class 4 10 Jun 2026

Today Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Handicap

Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Handicap · 1m3y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Sprightly Dance Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 2 hours, 30 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Advancing silks
Advancing
Age 4 · 9-9
441006
85
72
96
4
9-9
11/1 FCST 10/1
All three of his wins have been on the AW, the most recent at Kempton (1m) in March off 4lb lower; never a threat when sixth at Windsor (1m, good to firm) 16 days ago and he was well beaten on soft ground last year.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Bella Perla silks
Bella Perla
Age 4 · 9-9
9113-9
85
79
95
4
9-9
16/1 12/1 14/1
Won a maiden at Southwell (7f, AW) and two 1m handicaps at Lingfield (AW) last year when trained by the Crisfords; drops in grade having failed to beat a rival home on her stable debut at Ascot (1m, good) 32 days ago and has a bit to prove on turf.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cavolo Nero silks
Cavolo Nero
Age 4 · 9-9
43-234
85
72
98
4
9-9
4/1 4/1 7/2
Won twice as a 3yo, including a handicap at Goodwood (1m, good) last May; placed on his first two starts this year (1m/1m2f) but below his best when held in fourth at Haydock (1m2f, good to firm) 46 days ago; drops back in trip with blinkers now tried.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sprightly Dance silks
Sprightly Dance
Age 3 · 9-9
214-
85
75
98
3
9-9
2/1 FCST 7/4
Made a promising debut here on good ground in October and built on that when winning comfortably at Wolverhampton (9.5f, AW) next time; disappointing at Chelmsford (1m2f, AW) 196 days ago, weakening late after racing freely, but she may settle better over this shorter trip; interesting on her handicap debut.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Carron silks
Carron
Age 4 · 9-9
-36108
85
73
96
4
9-9
17/2 13/2 8/1
Made it 3-4 on the AW when winning at Newcastle (1m, AW) in March but below that level in two starts on turf since, including when last of his group of five at Newmarket (1m; first-time cheekpieces) 39 days ago; cheekpieces discarded.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Mythical Guest silks
Mythical Guest
Age 6 · 9-8
4823-0
84
72
97
6
9-8
14/1 FCST 12/1
Disappointing on reappearance at Newmarket (1m, good; reported to have stopped quickly) 57 days ago and both wins came over 1m2f on good to firm in 2024 (one here); however, he did post some good efforts last season (including on soft) and may be able to put his comeback run well behind him.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Percival silks
Percival
Age 2 · 9-8
1/45-0
84
68
94
2
9-8
20/1 FCST 18/1
Heavy-ground winner over 1m2f at Saint-Cloud in November 2024 but tailed off in a 1m4f handicap there on his final start for Andre Fabre 87 days ago; has since been purchased for 12,000gns and drops to 1m with a hood applied on his stable debut; watch the market.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Padua silks
Padua
Age 4 · 9-5
/5414-
81
73
95
4
9-5
13/2 11/2 6/1
Can race freely, just as he did when making all at Haydock (7f, good) last summer; didn't get away with it at Sandown (7f, good) 307 days ago and he's since been gelded; tongue-tie is removed and he needs to settling better now stepping back up in trip on his reappearance.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Renewal silks
Renewal
Age 4 · 9-4
/322-0
80
73
97
4
9-4
10/1 FCST 9/1
Record of 4232 in novice/maiden events and ran well when second of 12 on her handicap debut at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) in October; however, she failed to beat a rival home at Thirsk (1m) on her reappearance and needs to take a big step forward from that effort.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Where's Freddy silks
Where's Freddy
Age 6 · 9-3
3830-0
79
72
100
6
9-3
18/1 FCST 16/1
All three wins on turf have been on the Newmarket July course (7f/1m) but he has been placed in two of his three starts over this C&D, including on soft; never featured on his reappearance 25 days ago and needs to build on that.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Gorgeous Mr George silks
Gorgeous Mr George
Age 4 · 8-13
228-88
75
73
100
4
8-13
11/1 17/2 9/1
Won three times here last year (good to soft/good to firm), the most recent coming over C&D off a 10lb lower mark than today's; eighth in both starts since returning from a 182-day break and better is needed.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Advancing 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 10/1 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
2 Bella Perla 16/1 14/1 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
3 Cavolo Nero 4/1 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
4 Sprightly Dance 2/1 2/1 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 3.00 15/8 open 2.75 9/4 William Hill
5 Carron 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 17/2 Bet365
6 Mythical Guest 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 12/1 14/1 Bet365
7 Percival 20/1 18/1 18/1 20/1 18/1 20/1 Bet365
8 Padua 13/2 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 William Hill
9 Renewal 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 9/1 10/1 Bet365
10 Where's Freddy 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365
11 Gorgeous Mr George 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sprightly Dance

Speculative

Sprightly Dance owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Roger Varian Jack Mitchell
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Carron

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

17/2 · George Boughey
✓ Value Signal

Where's Freddy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Stuart Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Sprightly Dance
55.4 2/1
2 5. Carron
49.6 17/2
3 11. Gorgeous Mr George
48.1 11/1
4 3. Cavolo Nero
48.1 4/1
5 8. Padua
47.6 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sprightly Dance
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-9
2/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-5
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-9
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-4
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 8-13
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 9-3
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 2 · 9-8
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sprightly Dance
Confidence: Medium

Sprightly Dance (SR 75, 2/1) carries the joint-highest weight of 9-9 but is the only 3-year-old in the field, and at this trip on Good to Soft the age allowance is a genuine asset — effectively racing off a lighter comparative burden. The form string 214- shows a win and a runner-up at this level, the most consistent recent sequence in the field, and Roger Varian's yard consistently places 3-year-olds accurately in mile-plus handicaps. Market confidence is strong at 2/1 with no obvious drift, suggesting stable confidence. No horse in the field carries an SR meaningfully above 79, making this a compressed field where Varian's professionalism and the horse's upward form trajectory are the clearest edges. Each-way alternative: Padua. Main danger: Cavolo Nero — Cavolo Nero (SR 72, 4/1) has a consistent 43-234 form string showing progressive placing at this level for James Ferguson, and the market has him as the clear second-favourite, suggesting stable confidence he handles Good to Soft ground over this trip.

Shortlist Sprightly Dance, Cavolo Nero, Padua
Each-way: Padua Danger: Cavolo Nero

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m3y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Yarmouth Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade