Class 4 11 May 2026

Monday 11 May Conferences And Events At Southwell Racecourse Maiden Hurdle (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Qual) (GBB)

Conferences And Events At Southwell Racecourse Maiden Hurdle (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Qual) (GBB) · 1m7f182y

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Conferences And Events At Southwell Racecourse Maiden Hurdle (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Qual) (GBB)

Confirmed
  1. Winner King's Scholar (IRE) Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy
    7/2
  2. 4/9F
  3. 50/1
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Race Explorer BETA
Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
King's Scholar
Age 5 · 11-4
4-
Sean Bowen
Olly Murphy
108
111
5
11-4
4/1
Three Flat wins for Ed Walker (1m4f/1m5f) and was consistent until getting too high in the weights; never got seriously involved under a patient ride at Ludlow but that run was promising; now tongue tied.

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Louis Veron
Age 5 · 11-4
2-
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton
114
111
5
11-4
4/5
£72,000 3yo; went close in a 2m novice at Chepstow in October (good to soft) and that form reads well through the first and third horses; every chance.

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Sense Of Reason
Age 5 · 11-4
4472-
Tom Cannon
Charlie Fellowes
112
116
5
11-4
13/2
1m2f winner; positives to take from three of his four runs over hurdles, last time chasing home an odds-on Olly Murphy runner; thereabouts.

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
White Riot
Age 6 · 11-4
21/3P-
Liam Harrison
Fergal O'Brien
101
108
6
11-4
11/1
Good-ground bumper winner; not performed to the same level in two runs over hurdles but he's since had wind surgery.

SR 101 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Provision
Age 4 · 10-12
5-
James Best
Barry Brennan
75
99
4
10-12
33/1
Outclassed in a useful juvenile hurdle at Christmas; third of eight on the AW last month but that was a 1m6f Class 5 handicap.

SR 75 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Willow Edge
Age 7 · 10-11
7-
Tom Bellamy
Richard Phillips
75
98
7
10-11
100/1
Also hooded for debut at Stratford (good) and at odds of 50-1 she faded late on after making the running.

SR 75 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Louis Veron

Live signal

Louis Veron owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sense Of Reason

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Charlie Fellowes
✓ Value Signal

Willow Edge

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Richard Phillips
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Louis Veron
64.1 4/5
2 3. Sense Of Reason
61.3 13/2
3 1. King's Scholar
57.7 4/1
4 4. White Riot
54.3 11/1
5 7. Willow Edge
38.3 100/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Louis Veron
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 11-4
4/5
J: Harry Skelton
T: Dan Skelton
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 11-4
4/1
J: Sean Bowen
T: Olly Murphy
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-4
13/2
J: Tom Cannon
T: Charlie Fellowes
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-4
11/1
J: Liam Harrison
T: Fergal O'Brien
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Louis Veron
Confidence: Medium

Louis Veron leads the field with SR 114 and is trading at 4/5. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-4 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Louis Veron, Sense Of Reason, King's Scholar, White Riot, Provision
Each-way: Sense Of Reason Danger: King's Scholar

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m7f182y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Southwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade