Class 4 11 May 2026

Monday 11 May Fitzdares Telephone & Text Betting Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Fitzdares Telephone & Text Betting Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) · 1m2f

1448-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Fitzdares Telephone & Text Betting Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fighter's Spirit (IRE) Oisin Orr · Saeed bin Suroor
    8/11F
  2. 4/1
  3. 100/30
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Big race Sat 23 May William Hill Temple Stakes (Group 2) Haydock · 15:30

Catterick

14:30–17:00 · 6 races

Southwell

14:42–17:47 · 7 races

Killarney

16:35–20:07 · 8 races

Roscommon

16:53–20:23 · 8 races

Windsor

17:12–20:17 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30–21:00 · 6 races

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Race Explorer BETA
Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Clough
Age 4 · 10-0
80
Ray Dawson
Dylan Cunha
11
4
10-0
300/1
Poor form in two runs last month (1m, good to soft and 7f, good); up in trip with plenty to prove.

SR 0 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 300/1.

2
Fighter's Spirit
Age 3 · 9-4
1
Oisin Orr
Saeed bin Suroor
61
78
3
9-4
SP
Overcame evident inexperience to make a winning debut in a 1m2f maiden at Beverley (good ground) 18 days ago, a run that can be marked up given he came from a long way back in a steadily-run race; 7lb worse off with the runner-up Cape Fear today but he is open to further progress.

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.

4
Battle Hymn
Age 3 · 9-1
4
Charles Bishop
David Simcock
53
62
3
9-1
12/1
Strong in the betting prior to his Wolverhampton debut in March (9.4f) but he was readily outpointed when the pace increased; clearly thought capable of better and interesting to see if his backers return.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

5
Cape Fear
Age 3 · 9-1
5-32
Jason Watson
Andrew Balding
83
79
3
9-1
7/2
Improved with each of his three starts, most recently picked off by Fighter's Spirit in the dying strides at Beverley 18 days ago (1m2f, good); 7lb better off today for half a length but he isn't guaranteed to turn the tables on his less-exposed rival.

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
My Mate Roger
Age 3 · 9-1
2-2
David Egan
Tom Clover
83
78
3
9-1
11/4
Promising 2yo debut at Kempton in December (1m) and found only the subsequent Dee Stakes runner-up Generic too strong at Yarmouth last month (1m, good); steps up in trip with improvement possible but he is by Blue Point so stamina is not assured.

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Barak Warrior silks
Barak Warrior
Age 3 · 9-2
77
37
62
3
9-2
40/1
Only seventh in both runs (1m2f) and looks likely to find better opportunities in handicaps shortly.

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Probation
Age 3 · 8-13
3
Kieran Shoemark
Kevin Philippart De Foy
58
67
3
8-13
14/1
Ran green when third of six in a Wolverhampton novice (9.4f; Battle Hymn fourth) in March; can do better but he needs to.

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Relentless Hero
Age 3 · 8-13
4-
Callum Hutchinson
Andrew Balding
54
65
3
8-13
14/1
Not seen to best effect in a 7f Kempton maiden nine months ago but shaped with clear promise; gelded since; longer trip should be in his favour but he will need to improve to take this; stable also run Cape Fear.

SR 54 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Seraglio Point
Age 3 · 8-13
6
Jason Hart
Hughie Morrison
36
60
3
8-13
33/1
Looked a longer-term prospect when finishing in midfield in a 1m maiden at Lingfield (AW) 13 days ago; the longer trip is a plus and he is open to improvement.

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Long Reign
Age 3 · 8-11
0
Ashley Lewis(5)
Marcus Tregoning
34
3
8-11
150/1
125-1 when tailed off in a 1m maiden at Newbury last month; not easily recommended.

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.

11
Mister Pretentious
Age 3 · 8-11
00-
Jack Dace(5)
Luke Dace
13
33
3
8-11
300/1
Well beaten in two 1m runs last autumn; no appeal.

SR 13 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 300/1.

12
Sax Avoidance
Age 3 · 8-8
Edward Greatrex
Charlie Pike
36
3
8-8
80/1
20,000euros foal, 25,000euros yearling; fourth foal of an 8.5f AW winner in France; she will need to be useful to make a winning debut.

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

13
Billingsgate Gold
Age 3 · 8-6
060
Marco Ghiani
Stuart Williams
13
31
3
8-6
250/1
Huge prices and well beaten in three AW starts this year (1m-1m2f); the addition of cheekpieces isn't enough to tempt.

SR 13 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 250/1.

14
Mokata
Age 3 · 8-6
06
Tyler Heard
Adam Kirby
33
52
3
8-6
250/1
Low-level form in two runs this spring (1m and 1m2f); minor handicaps beckon.

SR 33 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

My Mate Roger

Speculative

My Mate Roger owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Tom Clover David Egan
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cape Fear

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Sax Avoidance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Charlie Pike
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +1.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. My Mate Roger
53.2 11/4
2 5. Cape Fear
52.0 7/2
3 8. Relentless Hero
43.3 14/1
4 2. Fighter's Spirit
41.2 evn
5 7. Probation
40.9 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Cape Fear
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-1
11/4
J: David Egan
T: Tom Clover
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-1
7/2
J: Jason Watson
T: Andrew Balding
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-1
12/1
J: Charles Bishop
T: David Simcock
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

7
Age 3 · 8-13
14/1
J: Kieran Shoemark
T: Kevin Philippart De Foy
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 8-13
14/1
J: Callum Hutchinson
T: Andrew Balding
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cape Fear
Confidence: Medium

Cape Fear leads the field with SR 83 and is trading at 7/2. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-1 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Cape Fear, My Mate Roger, Fighter's Spirit, Probation, Relentless Hero
Each-way: My Mate Roger Danger: Fighter's Spirit

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Windsor Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade