Ebony Maw arrives here on the back of a win last time out, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating puts him as a leading player in this field; the main risk is whether 138 lb blunts that recent winning momentum.
Form last 69-7431
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
58SR59RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Patrick Street won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but three days is a tight turnaround and his inconsistent recent record — a ninth and an unplaced run among his last six — gives pause at 138 lb.
Form last 6509151
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
57SR54RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Mr Withington nevertheless holds the highest rating in this field and has experience over today's trip and conditions — the concern is that his recent form shows a consistent tendency to finish mid-to-rear, making a revival hard to guarantee.
Form last 668-764
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR60RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts, Game Management nonetheless appeals as a genuine threat here — he has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 59 puts him firmly among the principals. The main concern is just one day's recovery since his last outing.
Form last 6/987-4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR59RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Satyress won last time out to give her recent form a timely boost, but four starts before that yielded just two fourths, and 49 days on the sidelines adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, though the weight of 133 lb is no help.
Form last 6476-41
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR52RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and unplaced most recently, Spirit Of Nature returns just one day after his latest outing, which is an obvious concern; a struggling trainer strike-rate of 4% and a ranking of eighth of nine on our figures make him hard to fancy, despite having run over today's trip and going.
Form last 6348-70
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR47RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of nine on our figures, Storm On Jura faces a stiff task — her trainer is badly out of form at 2/51 in the last 14 days, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns quickly off just three days' rest.
Form last 6096480
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR46RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Falaise Blanc at least shows a mix of placed efforts — third last time out, and seconds three, four, and six starts back — but a 3-day turnaround and a lowly official mark of 46 make him a tough sell as the seventh-ranked runner of nine.
Form last 6242273
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR52RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fairydale shaped with promise when second last time out, and she has experience over today's trip and going to call on. Winless in her last five starts, but stepping back up in fitness after 20 days and carrying 126 lb, she appeals on profile.
Form last 6-63842
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR56RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Patrick Street owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Andrew KinironsYudish Geerdharry(7)
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Satyress
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Harriet Bethell✓ Value Signal
Storm On Jura
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
18/1 · Jim Goldie◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Patrick Street (SR:57, 3/1) is the most compelling selection on multiple converging signals. The 33% market shortening since opening is the strongest market move in the field and in a modest Class 6 sprint of ability it demands respect — money is clearly going this way for a reason. His form string 509151 shows two recent wins and a sharp return to form, he ran only 3 days ago suggesting connections are confident he can bounce quickly, and his GoingFit:~ on today's good-to-soft is acceptable rather than a concern. At equal class (ClassMv:=) and same mark as last win (MarkMv:=), there is no penalty to absorb, and his 9-12 weight is shared with Ebony Maw but Patrick Street's SR of 57 delivers the same raw ability at that weight with far more compelling recent momentum.
Each-way alternative: Falaise Blanc.
Main danger: Ebony Maw — Ebony Maw (SR:58, 4/1) is the joint-top rated horse in the field, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), holds course form (W0P1 at Hamilton), carries P J McDonald who has solid career numbers (15%, 519 runners), and the Whillans yard at 13% strike rate is booking their #1 jockey for this runner — all pointing to this being Whillans' intended winner over stablemate Mr Withington.