Winless in her last five starts, Tanjen nevertheless catches the eye on her overall profile — she has run over today's trip and going before, and at 135 lb from stall one, her rating of 69 gives her claims against this field on conditions that suit.
Form last 6-59775
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR69RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hurt You Never arrives in strong form having finished second last time out, and her experience over today's trip and going bolsters her claims under 135 lb — the main worry is that she has been winless in her last six starts.
Form last 6985592
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR64RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cotai Starlight won two starts back but was only fourth last time out, and her speed figure of 56 lags behind the principals; she has run over today's trip and returns on a quick turnaround, so fitness isn't the concern — consistency is.
Form last 6-35814
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR61RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, with two unplaced efforts sandwiched around a seventh and a ninth, Hvar faces a stiff task at the foot of our rankings; he has run over today's trip and going, and 36 days off may have freshened him, but it is hard to make a strong case.
Form last 6-00709
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR61RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Never Dark catches the eye as the top-rated runner in this field, and he steps out again in good order just ten days after his last outing, with experience over today's trip and conditions in his favour; the concern is he has been winless in his last five starts and must convert that profile into a result.
Form last 687-667
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR69RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ukiyo shaped with promise when third three starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going keeps her firmly in the mix; the concern is a run just three days ago, which may leave her short of peak freshness.
Form last 6020384
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
65SR62RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Yet to win in his last five starts, South Shore Island nonetheless brings consistent placing form — second last time out and third three starts back — and has experience of today's trip and going; the 124 lb burden and a rating of 49 are the limiting factors here.
Form last 675-342
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR62RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Summerstorms Dream has finished sixth in each of her two most recent outings, though a second three starts back offers a crumb of comfort; a struggling trainer, just three days since her last run, makes her hard to fancy.
Form last 6577266
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR46RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hurt You Never owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Adrian NichollsMatthew Lloyd Slater
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ukiyo
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Andrew Kinirons✓ Value Signal
Cotai Starlight
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
9/1 · Katie Scott◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ukiyo (SR 65, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a very manageable 9-2, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over Tanjen and Hurt You Never on identical SR. The market move of 32% inward is the strongest steaming signal in the field and in a small Class 6 apprentice heat, that degree of support deserves serious weight. GoingFit:~ indicates moderate comfort on good-to-soft rather than a negative, and ClassMv:= means connections know exactly what they are entering. The only concern is jockey Geerdharry's 2% career strike rate, but the strength of the market move suggests the trainer is confident regardless.
Each-way alternative: Hurt You Never.
Main danger: Hurt You Never — Course:W4P4 is an exceptional course record for Hamilton that outweighs the GoingFit:- concern, MarkMv:-15 means it is running off a significantly dropped mark, and at 7/2 the market has not fully punished the drift as much as the 20% out movement might suggest.
ShortlistUkiyo, Hurt You Never, Never Dark, Tanjen