Class 5 21 May 2026

Today Early Bird Handicap

Early Bird Handicap · 6f

948-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Early Bird Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner There's A Chance (IRE) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan
    100/30F
  2. Second Woolisle (GB)
    7/1
  3. 16/1
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14:00–17:13 · 7 races

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17:23–21:00 · 8 races

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17:57–21:00 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 2 NR
Updated 13 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Explosive Finnish silks
Explosive Finnish Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-5
543-33
71
69
3
9-5
SP
He's run with credit in third this spring in his first two handicaps, at Southwell (6f, AW) then Beverley (5f, good to soft; unraced on softer); kept on nicely last time and the return to 6f could be the right move.
?
Obsidian Verse silks
Obsidian Verse Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-3
845-81
69
70
82
3
9-3
SP
Took a step forward when winning at Southwell (6f, AW) three weeks ago on his second handicap start; he needs to transfer that improvement back to turf but his dam is from a family his Newmarket trainer has done extremely well with, and he could have plenty more to offer.
1
Stoneacre Joe silks
Stoneacre Joe
Age 3 · 9-9
9-22
75
78
82
3
9-9
13/2 9/2 6/1
All three starts over 6f on fast ground; left sole 2yo run well behind when runner-up on both outings this spring, most recently at Ayr where he was the only one to give the odds-on winner a race; his dam was useful (best form on soft going) and he has potential off his opening mark.

SR 78 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
There's A Chance silks
There's A Chance
Age 3 · 9-9
4187-3
75
86
78
3
9-9
9/2 7/1 4/1
Won on nursery debut at Hamilton (6f, good) last July; yet to kick on from that but her reappearance third at Newcastle (6f, AW) three weeks ago gives her something to build on and she's not ruled out.

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Woolisle silks
Woolisle
Age 3 · 9-7
43621-
73
84
79
3
9-7
9/2 5/2 9/2
Progressive during last year's eight-race campaign, finishing second in a nursery at Nottingham (6f, heavy) last October and going one better there (5f, soft) six days later; reappears with conditions in her favour; chance.

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
From The Hip silks
From The Hip
Age 3 · 9-7
33811-
73
81
79
3
9-7
9/1 5/1 9/1
Off the mark at the fifth attempt in a maiden at Chelmsford (6f, AW) last October and followed up in Kempton nursery (6f, AW); showed promise on soft ground last September; possible player if fully tuned up for comeback.

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Showtown silks
Showtown
Age 3 · 9-7
223-20
73
85
81
3
9-7
5/1 7/1 9/2
Made it 0-6 when disappointing favourite in first-time cheekpieces (retained) on recent handicap debut at Beverley (5f, good to soft); it's hard to be confident on the back of that but he was runner-up three times previously and is effective on soft ground, so it's too soon to write him off.

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Magistery silks
Magistery
Age 3 · 9-6
26150-
72
54
75
3
9-6
28/1 18/1 25/1
2yo campaign ended with heavy defeats in a nursery and Listed race; however, she won a soft-ground 6f nursery at Carlisle last September and could be a contender if getting her career back on track following a break.

SR 54 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Hvar silks
Hvar
Age 3 · 9-6
541-00
72
54
76
3
9-6
50/1 33/1 50/1
6f AW novice winner last October for Ralph Beckett; a market check is advised but he's been beaten a long way in handicaps this spring on his first two starts for this yard.

SR 54 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Guernsey Angel silks
Guernsey Angel
Age 3 · 9-5
1-6456
71
64
77
3
9-5
14/1 12/1 14/1
Two 5f AW nursery wins in the final third of last year; however, she's been unplaced over 5f on her four starts this year and the return to 6f doesn't appear to be an obvious plus.

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

12
Harlequin Bay silks
Harlequin Bay
Age 3 · 9-4
522-3
70
77
79
3
9-4
12/1 18/1 12/1
Runner-up in two maidens at Newcastle (5f/6f, AW) towards end of last year; below his best at Wolverhampton (6f, AW) in February when last seen but goes handicapping with his yard in good form and could be in the mix.

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Explosive Finnish
0 Obsidian Verse
1 Stoneacre Joe 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 Bet365
3 There's A Chance 9/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.00 5/1 Coral
4 Woolisle 9/2 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.50 9/2 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 Coral
5 From The Hip 9/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 Coral
6 Showtown 5/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 11/2 Coral
7 Magistery 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Hvar 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
10 Guernsey Angel 14/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral
12 Harlequin Bay 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

There's A Chance

Speculative

There's A Chance owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Kevin Ryan Shane Gray
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Woolisle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Heather Main
✓ Value Signal

Magistery

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Michael Dods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. There's A Chance
54.0 9/2
2 4. Woolisle
53.4 9/2
3 6. Showtown
52.9 5/1
4 5. From The Hip
51.0 9/1
5 1. Stoneacre Joe
49.7 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
From The Hip
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-5
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
From The Hip
Confidence: Medium

From The Hip leads the field with SR 73 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist From The Hip, Harlequin Bay, Woolisle, Showtown, Hvar
Each-way: Harlequin Bay Danger: Woolisle

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Haydock Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade