Class 4 21 May 2026

Today attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race) · 7f14y

648-Hr decs

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  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Parioca Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 hours, 16 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sea Idol silks
Sea Idol
Age 2 · 9-7
134
2
9-7
11/1 6/1 11/1
75,000gns gelded son of Sea The Moon; first foal of an unraced half-sister to 9.5f winner Sultanov Swing; stable can ready them but a watching brief is the percentage call with its first timers.

SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Choreography silks
Choreography
Age 2 · 9-5
142
2
9-5
5/1 11/4 5/1
40,000gns half-brother to winners Citronnade (1m3f/1m4f; RPR 98) and Ardenlee Star (6f-1m including 2yo/US dirt; 83); dam 1m-1m4f winner (including US; 90); one to note in the market.

SR 142 backed by market confidence at 5/1 — a genuine contender.

3
Crown Ranger silks
Crown Ranger
Age 2 · 9-5
152
2
9-5
11/8 11/4 5/4
58,000euros son of Camelot who is the first foal of 5f-7f maiden (RPR 67); the stable had a 2yo win easily over this trip at Lingfield on Monday so market confidence behind this one would look significant.

SR 152 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.

4
Guadalevin silks
Guadalevin
Age 2 · 9-2
150
2
9-2
3/1 4/1 11/4
60,000gns half-sister to winners Crema Inglesa (1m-1m2f; RPR 90), Hilts (1m2f-12.4f; 85), Point In Time (1m4f including AW; 84), Abbey Actress (1m2f/1m3f; 84) and Creme Chantilly (1m AW including 2yo; 75); dam 1m2f winner (97); the stable's 2yos have been going well, particularly on AW, so she rates a likely type, all the more so if backed.

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Cash Cove silks
Cash Cove
Age 2 · 8-11
142
2
8-11
17/2 9/2 17/2
36,000gns half-sister to winners By The Book (Group-placed 7f-1m4f including 2yo/AW; RPR 112) and Cash Out (1m including AW/France; 97); dam unraced half-sister to 1m1f Group 2 winner Lord Admiral; makes appeal on breeding for a trainer who got off the mark with 2yos in 2026 at Ripon on Sunday.

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Parioca silks
Parioca
Age 2 · 8-8
143
2
8-8
10/1 15/2 10/1
15,000gns daughter of Cotai Glory and the first foal of a once-raced (finished last)) half-sister to three winners; wears cheekpieces on debut; other make greater paper appeal.

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sea Idol 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 Bet365
2 Choreography 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 Bet365
3 Crown Ranger 11/8 open 4.00 11/8 open 3.75 11/8 open 3.75 5/4 open 3.75 11/8 open 3.75 11/8 Bet365
4 Guadalevin 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 Bet365
5 Cash Cove 17/2 open 5.50 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 Bet365
6 Parioca 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Guadalevin

High conviction

Guadalevin owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Charlie Fellowes Paddy Bradley
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Crown Ranger

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/8 · Marco Botti
✓ Value Signal

Parioca

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Jack Morland
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
83 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Guadalevin
72.7 3/1
2 3. Crown Ranger
69.0 11/8
3 2. Choreography
66.6 5/1
4 5. Cash Cove
64.7 17/2
5 6. Parioca
64.5 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Parioca
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-5
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

SR 152 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 150 🐾

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-5
5/1
★★★★☆ SR 142 🐾

SR 142 backed by market confidence at 5/1 — a genuine contender.

5
Age 2 · 8-11
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 8-8
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 134 🐾

SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Parioca
Confidence: Medium

Parioca leads the field with SR 133 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Parioca, Cash Cove, Guadalevin, Choreography, Crown Ranger
Each-way: Cash Cove Danger: Guadalevin

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade