21 May 2026

Today Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase (Div I)

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase (Div I) · 2m6f160y

1248-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Haydock

14:00–17:13 · 7 races

Catterick

14:10–17:27 · 7 races

Musselburgh

14:20–17:35 · 7 races

Limerick

16:43–20:18 · 8 races

Southwell (AW)

17:23–21:00 · 8 races

Chepstow

17:30–20:40 · 7 races

Chelmsford (AW)

17:57–21:00 · 7 races

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Voting open
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Likable Chancer Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 hours, 15 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jukebox Johnny silks
Jukebox Johnny
Age 6 · 12-0
945P7-
100
87
6
12-0
10/3 5/1 3/1
Best run over hurdles when 10l fourth in Cork handicap (2m4f, soft to heavy) in December; disappointing effort at Down Royal last month; runner-up on sole point outing so could improve on his chase bow; new headgear; stable in form.

SR 87 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Ferdia silks
Ferdia
Age 10 · 11-6
8PPP9-
92
53
102
10
11-6
80/1 50/1 80/1
Has shown nothing in seven starts since returning from over three years off the track; look elsewhere.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

3
Reve Inoui silks
Reve Inoui
Age 8 · 11-5
/PP54-
91
74
101
8
11-5
9/1 13/2 9/1
Point winner returned from a long absence with two poor hurdle runs; however, much better in two chase outings since and would be no surprise if he went close off a falling mark.

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

4
Royal Time silks
Royal Time
Age 7 · 11-5
0537U-
91
84
104
7
11-5
9/1 12/1 9/1
Hurdles winner at Naas in December 2024; good effort on his fourth chase start at Down Royal in January (2m5f, yielding to soft) when third of 11 off this mark; tried 3m2f on latest but unseated rider when backpedalling; new headgear.

SR 84 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Another Challenge silks
Another Challenge
Age 6 · 11-0
/4982-
86
82
96
6
11-0
15/2 5/1 7/1
Took a while to find his feet but best effort yet when second of 15 at Down Royal's Christmas meeting (20.5f, good to yielding), keeping on well in closing stages; finished in front of Royal Time that day; big player after a break from 4lb higher.

SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Another Ocana silks
Another Ocana
Age 9 · 10-12
82453-
84
84
98
9
10-12
8/1 5/1 15/2
Both career wins at Limerick; went close here over hurdles in February; solid third of 12 in Tramore handicap chase last month (21.5f, good to yielding); in the hunt for the places back at his favourite venue.

SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Three Tribes silks
Three Tribes
Age 9 · 10-8
/80P1-
80
53
9
10-8
40/1 16/1 40/1
Never a factor in seven hurdle starts under rules; narrow winner of Ballysteen point-to-point last month; handicap chase debut.

SR 53 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Hakensack silks
Hakensack
Age 7 · 10-7
83269-
79
86
80
7
10-7
7/2 11/2 7/2
Disappointed at Thurles on final run for James Hannon but definite player judged on his second and third placings over hurdles at Limerick/Cork in December; 0-6 in points; stable/chase debut.

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Zolpharine silks
Zolpharine
Age 8 · 10-5
87505-
77
91
114
8
10-5
7/1
Second runner for yard; 1-17 over hurdles and extended record to 0-22 over fences on latest at Tramore (2m), jumping mistakes proving costly but beaten only 4l; longer trip not an issue.

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Likable Chancer silks
Likable Chancer
Age 12 · 10-1
833P5-
73
79
109
12
10-1
14/1 15/2 12/1
Winless in 31 attempts hurdling; 3-35 over fences, with two of those at Tramore; flopped when well fancied for course handicap hurdle in February; fair fifth over fences at Tramore last month.

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Eddies Pride silks
Eddies Pride
Age 12 · 10-0
700PP-
72
56
103
12
10-0
80/1 50/1 80/1
Both chase wins have been over further and hasn't won in over two years; impossible task at weights in veterans' handicap at this course when last seen but still hard to make a case for.

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

14
Tuff Days silks
Tuff Days
Age 9 · 10-0
P86U2-
72
74
99
9
10-0
14/1 9/1 12/1
Record of 0-31 under rules; best of three point runs of late when runner-up at Dromahane last month; talented claimer rode a winner for the yard last month so a market check is advised nonetheless.

SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jukebox Johnny 10/3 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 10/3 Bet365
2 Ferdia 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
3 Reve Inoui 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
4 Royal Time 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
6 Another Challenge 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 Bet365
7 Another Ocana 8/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 8/1 Bet365
9 Three Tribes 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 Bet365
10 Hakensack 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 Bet365
11 Zolpharine 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 Bet365
12 Likable Chancer 14/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 Bet365
13 Eddies Pride 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
14 Tuff Days 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Zolpharine

Speculative

Zolpharine owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 John Patrick Ryan Daniel King
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jukebox Johnny

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Henry De Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

Three Tribes

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Barry T Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Zolpharine
56.5 7/1
2 1. Jukebox Johnny
55.8 10/3
3 4. Royal Time
53.7 9/1
4 10. Hakensack
52.5 7/2
5 7. Another Ocana
50.5 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Likable Chancer
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 12-0
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 7 · 10-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 8 · 10-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 11-0
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 10-12
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 8 · 11-5
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

4
Age 7 · 11-5
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 12 · 10-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 9 · 10-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Likable Chancer
Confidence: Medium

Likable Chancer leads the field with SR 96 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-1 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Likable Chancer, Zolpharine, Tuff Days, Eddies Pride, Another Ocana
Each-way: Zolpharine Danger: Tuff Days

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m6f160y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Limerick Track and setting