21 May 2026

Today Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase (Div II)

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase (Div II) · 2m6f160y

648-Hr decs

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Voting open
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
AI rates Cullenwaine Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 hours, 16 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Without Exception silks
Without Exception Non-Runner
Age 7 · 10-8
203P4-
80
75
104
7
10-8
SP 10/1 11/1
Hurdles winner; placed twice from five starts over hurdles last season, with a moderate fourth here when last seen; struggled in two chase runs in 2024.
2
Snow Punt silks
Snow Punt
Age 9 · 11-13
2P223-
99
86
104
9
11-13
13/2 7/2 6/1
Point winner; 0-16 under rules but was beaten only a nose over C&D in March off 95 on heavy before going close at both Clonmel and Down Royal; has to be high on the shortlist.

SR 86 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Stormy Master silks
Stormy Master
Age 12 · 11-4
/0170-
90
66
103
12
11-4
40/1 20/1 33/1
Four-time chase winner; scored at Wexford last summer off 85; well beaten off much lower hurdles mark at Tipperary in October; veteran returns from 227-day absence; may need the run.

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Malton Groove silks
Malton Groove
Age 9 · 11-0
558PP-
86
67
103
9
11-0
20/1 33/1 20/1
Longstanding maiden went close at Wexford last year off 9lb higher but pulled up last two outings; leap of faith required but handicapper is giving him a chance at least.

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

12
Cullenwaine silks
Cullenwaine
Age 8 · 10-2
50502-
74
89
100
8
10-2
7/1 11/1 7/1
Record of 1-19 over fences; lost his form for Philip Rothwell last summer but two of his three runs for this yard full of promise, on latest when runner-up to an easy winner at Tramore; contender.

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
La Tene silks
La Tene
Age 8 · 10-0
7P39F-
72
75
101
8
10-0
14/1 16/1 14/1
Took a step forward over hurdles when third at Clonmel in March (2m3f, soft); well below that over fences at Tramore next time; headway into midfield when falling two out in Kilbeggan hurdle latest.

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Fr Gilligansvoyge silks
Fr Gilligansvoyge
Age 13 · 10-0
56P44-
72
60
95
13
10-0
50/1 50/1 40/1
Just the one success from 68 starts under rules when landing the Bishopscourt Cup at Punchestown in 2023; good fourth in that race last month when sent off 100-1 but up against it here.

SR 60 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Without Exception 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 Bet365
2 Snow Punt 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 Bet365
5 Stormy Master 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365
7 Malton Groove 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 Bet365
12 Cullenwaine 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 12.00 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 12.00 15/2 William Hill
13 La Tene 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365
14 Fr Gilligansvoyge 50/1 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Snow Punt

Speculative

Snow Punt owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Brendan Maurice Walsh Josh Williamson(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cullenwaine

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · David O'Sullivan
✓ Value Signal

Stormy Master

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Ray Hackett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Snow Punt
52.3 13/2
2 12. Cullenwaine
51.6 7/1
3 13. La Tene
45.5 14/1
4 7. Malton Groove
42.1 20/1
5 5. Stormy Master
37.9 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cullenwaine
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 9 · 11-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 8 · 10-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 8 · 10-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 11-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cullenwaine
Confidence: Medium

Cullenwaine leads the field with SR 87 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Cullenwaine, Stormy Master, Malton Groove, Snow Punt, Without Exception
Each-way: Stormy Master Danger: Malton Groove

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m6f160y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Limerick Track and setting