Class 4 10 May 2026

Sunday 10 May Radnor Hills Water Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Radnor Hills Water Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m7f169y

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Radnor Hills Water Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Silvereen (GB) Sam Twiston-Davies · Henry Daly
    6/5
  2. Second Enya (GER)
    11/10F
  3. 17/2
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Race Explorer BETA
Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
First Candidate
Age 6 · 11-9
F5221-
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton
104
121
6
11-9
SP
Irish point winner who built on her early hurdling promise with a comfortable defeat of a subsequent winner at Haydock (1m7f, good; 1-4); she was entitled to win that and she's entitled to win this, even with a penalty.

SR 104 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Bits Ballou
Age 5 · 11-2
986-
Tom Bellamy
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
67
86
5
11-2
28/1
Well behind Silvereen here in March and she fared no better at Newton Abbot when 50-1; couldn't recommend.

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Briery Rose
Age 6 · 11-2
5/85-
David Bass
Henry Daly
75
95
6
11-2
6/1
Well related, being from a family that has served the Daly yard well; however, early indications are that she'll need more time before fulfilling what potential she has.

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dame In Disguise
Age 5 · 11-2
04797-
Charlie Hammond
Max Young
63
82
5
11-2
25/1
Very modest form in bumpers and over hurdles, and she's held by Silvereen; now goes in cheekpieces.

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Enya
Age 4 · 10-10
2344-
Gavin Sheehan
Jamie Snowden
85
98
4
10-10
6/4
Chased home a good horse (who won easily) in a 3yo hurdle at Warwick in November and subsequent efforts, all respectable, have been in good-ground bumpers; tongue-tie added for this return to hurdling and there's probably more to come from her.

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Peace Of Amaron
Age 4 · 10-10
57-
Callum Pritchard
Debra Hamer
79
96
4
10-10
14/1
Not beaten far when fifth of six in a juvenile hurdle on debut but they went steady and she was tailed off here the next time at 66-1; opposable.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Silvereen
Age 4 · 10-10
4773-
Sam Twiston-Davies
Henry Daly
84
99
4
10-10
11/8
She's probably in need of further as she was keeping on when a 5l third over C&D in March (good); still appeals as one of the better alternatives to First Candidate.

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

First Candidate

Speculative

First Candidate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

- Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Silvereen

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/8 · Henry Daly
✓ Value Signal

Bits Ballou

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. First Candidate
57.3 -
2 7. Silvereen
56.3 11/8
3 5. Enya
54.6 6/4
4 3. Briery Rose
49.5 6/1
5 6. Peace Of Amaron
46.1 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
First Candidate
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 4 · 10-10
11/8
J: Sam Twiston-Davies
T: Henry Daly
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 10-10
6/4
J: Gavin Sheehan
T: Jamie Snowden
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-2
6/1
J: David Bass
T: Henry Daly
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 10-10
14/1
J: Callum Pritchard
T: Debra Hamer
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
First Candidate
Confidence: Medium

First Candidate leads the field with SR 104 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist First Candidate, Enya, Silvereen, Peace Of Amaron, Briery Rose
Each-way: Enya Danger: Silvereen

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m7f169y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Ludlow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade