10 May 2026

Sunday 10 May Sean Murphy Plant Hire Ltd. Rated Novice Hurdle

Sean Murphy Plant Hire Ltd. Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m1f65y

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Sean Murphy Plant Hire Ltd. Rated Novice Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Moon Mission (GB) Tiernan Power Roche · P J Rothwell
    12/1
  2. 12/1
  3. 5/2F
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Race Explorer BETA
Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Royal Soldier Non-Runner
Age 6 · 11-3
541F-P
Keith Donoghue
Mrs Gillian Callaghan
113
135
6
11-3
4/1
Won on handicap debut at Gowran (2m, heavy) in March; hit with a double whammy over 2m4f at Fairyhouse last month, came down at the last when narrowly in front, and got a 5lb hike for his troubles.
2
Le Roi Du Livet
Age 5 · 11-8
40347-
Brian Hayes
Philip Fenton
105
129
5
11-8
17/2
Touched off in a bumper in the autumn; by far his best maiden hurdle run was when 100-1 third at Naas in January (2m3f, heavy), winner ran well at Cheltenham, second and fourth won maidens next time; hasn't come close to that form since.

SR 105 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Blue Train
Age 4 · 11-5
4781-
Philip Byrnes
C Byrnes
102
121
4
11-5
7/2
Dual AW winner in Britain; money arrived for him on handicap debut at Clonmel (2m, soft) and he scored by a length under a hand ride; up 10lb.

SR 102 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Moon Mission
Age 5 · 11-3
36430-
Tiernan Power Roche
P J Rothwell
99
120
5
11-3
9/1
Twice third in bumpers, including when 3l off runner-up Le Roi Du Livet at Tramore; ran okay a couple of times in maiden hurdles; third of 15 on handicap debut at Punchestown (2m5f, soft to heavy) in January; beaten a lot farther by same winner when mid-field in recent festival handicap at same venue; drops back in trip.

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Thisain'tthat
Age 6 · 11-0
5562-
Daniel King
M A Molloy
103
123
6
11-0
13/2
Half-brother to four winners and most of them handled good ground and improved for going up in trip; showed promise more than once in maidens and went through the race well when second on handicap debut at Clonmel, (2m4f, yielding), just unable to peg back a front-runner.

SR 103 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Big Dispute
Age 7 · 10-13
0/233-
Sean Flanagan
Kevin Thomas Coleman
106
121
7
10-13
13/2
Two previous trainers; struggled after winning a bumper on debut; staged a revival last summer when placed in three maiden hurdles (including over 2m4f here), setting the pace each time; ran well in decent Flat maiden here last month on first start for Kevin Coleman and won't mind good ground; 1lb wrong.

SR 106 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Crohan Lady
Age 8 · 10-13
93891-
Michael Kenneally(5)
Miss Elizabeth Anne Lalor
113
127
8
10-13
10/1
Won a point and placed in a bumper; third on handicap debut at Thurles in February and bounced back to form in first-time cheekpieces when prominent throughout in winning ordinary mares' maiden at Tramore (2m, soft); got 5lb for that; has bits of form on good ground.

SR 113 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Shirzan
Age 4 · 10-10
731-
Cian Cullinan(7)
P G Fahey
110
123
4
10-10
5/1
Two runs over 2m on soft in March; placed in Leopardstown bumper and 5-2, won ordinary Limerick maiden hurdle in good style; connections feel she'll go on summer ground.

SR 110 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Big Dispute

Live signal

Big Dispute owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Kevin Thomas Coleman Sean Flanagan
63% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Blue Train

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · C Byrnes
✓ Value Signal

Crohan Lady

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Miss Elizabeth Anne Lalor
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Big Dispute
59.8 13/2
2 3. Blue Train
59.6 7/2
3 5. Thisain'tthat
57.5 13/2
4 8. Shirzan
57.0 5/1
5 2. Le Roi Du Livet
56.1 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Royal Soldier
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 11-5
7/2
J: Philip Byrnes
T: C Byrnes
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 10-10
5/1
J: Cian Cullinan(7)
T: P G Fahey
★★☆☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 11-0
13/2
J: Daniel King
T: M A Molloy
★★☆☆☆ SR 103 🐾

SR 103 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 10-13
13/2
J: Sean Flanagan
T: Kevin Thomas Coleman
★★☆☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-8
17/2
J: Brian Hayes
T: Philip Fenton
★★☆☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 11-3
9/1
J: Tiernan Power Roche
T: P J Rothwell
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 10-13
10/1
J: Michael Kenneally(5)
T: Miss Elizabeth Anne Lalor
★★☆☆☆ SR 113 🐾

SR 113 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Royal Soldier
Confidence: Medium

Royal Soldier leads the field with SR 113 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-3 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Royal Soldier, Crohan Lady, Shirzan, Big Dispute, Le Roi Du Livet
Each-way: Crohan Lady Danger: Shirzan

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f65y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Cork Track and setting