Class 1 10 May 2026

Sunday 10 May Porsche In Support Of Breast Cancer Ireland Amethyst Stakes (Listed Race)

Porsche In Support Of Breast Cancer Ireland Amethyst Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Porsche In Support Of Breast Cancer Ireland Amethyst Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Catalina Delcarpio (IRE) W J Lee · P Twomey
    100/30
  2. 11/2
  3. 11/4F
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Alcantor
Age 5 · 9-9
14446-
Dylan Browne McMonagle
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
100
121
5
9-9
5/2

SR 100 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Excellent Believe
Age 4 · 9-9
6122-3
Tom Marquand
Jack Channon
107
117
4
9-9
3/1
Three-time winner signed off last season with excellent placed efforts in a Haydock Group 3 (1m, good) and a Listed event at Craon (1m, very soft); not disgraced behind Docklands in Listed Doncaster Mile on seasonal return; sharper for that and this British raider is respected.

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Lord Massusus
Age 6 · 9-9
29-863
Seamie Heffernan
Joseph G Murphy
97
115
6
9-9
28/1
Confirmed his liking for this venue when winning a Listed race here last season (Mutasarref a neck behind), his second C&D win; improving for each outing this season and should run his race but a rating of 99 leaves him with a fair amount to find with a few of these rivals.

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Mississippi River
Age 4 · 9-2
451-57
95
115
4
9-2
17/2
No slouch but he has never raced above Listed level and looks like being a possible pacemaker for stablemate The Lion In Winter in this first Group attempt; clear bottom of this pack on handicap marks and should be swallowed up once his rivals get roaring.

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Mutasarref
Age 8 · 9-9
3424-9
Gary Carroll
G M Lyons
99
118
8
9-9
12/1
Has won ten of his 30 starts, including four times at this venue at 7f-1m; most recent success came at Cork in October 2024 (1m, yielding) but ran some fine races last season, including when third in this; well behind a couple of these on seasonal return here last month but better expected now with that run under his belt; place chance.

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Omni Man
Age 4 · 9-9
5163-9
J M Sheridan
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
95
108
4
9-9
28/1
Two wins last season including a Goodwood handicap off 93 (1m4f, good); signed off with a Listed third at Dundalk (10.5f); slowly away and never involved on return at the Curragh (1m2f, soft); this ground much more his bag but not certain that the drop back to 1m will suit and overlooked by McMonagle.

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tokenomics
Age 5 · 9-9
221-34
Luke McAteer
David Marnane
98
109
5
9-9
9/1
Course handicap winner at 1m1f; cracking effort when 2.5l fourth in Listed Heritage Stakes over C&D (yld-sft) last month when he had three of these behind despite not getting the clearest of runs; acts on good ground and seems to be improving; a bit to find on the figures, but could go very well.

SR 98 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Catalina Delcarpio
Age 4 · 9-6
123-4
W J Lee
P Twomey
101
110
4
9-6
11/4
Won 1m2f filles' maiden here on debut (good); subsequently placed in Navan Group 3 (1m2f, soft) and in Group 2 Ribblesdale Stakes at Ascot (1m4f, gd-fm) when the 2-1 favourite; testing ground may not have suited on seasonal return in the Park Express at the Curragh (1m, sft-hvy); should improve for that and yard red-hot, but needs to prove effectiveness for this trip.

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Excellent Believe

Live signal

Excellent Believe owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Jack Channon Tom Marquand
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Catalina Delcarpio

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · P Twomey
✓ Value Signal

Lord Massusus

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Joseph G Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Excellent Believe
61.5 3/1
2 8. Catalina Delcarpio
60.5 11/4
3 1. Alcantor
59.5 5/2
4 5. Mississippi River
54.4 17/2
5 7. Tokenomics
54.1 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Excellent Believe
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 9-9
5/2
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-6
11/4
J: W J Lee
T: P Twomey
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
3/1
J: Tom Marquand
T: Jack Channon
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-9
9/1
J: Luke McAteer
T: David Marnane
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 9-9
12/1
J: Gary Carroll
T: G M Lyons
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Excellent Believe
Confidence: Medium

Excellent Believe leads the field with SR 107 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Excellent Believe, Catalina Delcarpio, Alcantor, Mutasarref, Tokenomics
Each-way: Catalina Delcarpio Danger: Alcantor

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade