Class 4 10 May 2026

Sunday 10 May Welsh Guards Association Handicap Hurdle

Welsh Guards Association Handicap Hurdle · 1m7f169y

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Welsh Guards Association Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Pergamon (FR) William Shanahan · Jennie Candlish
    6/5F
  2. Second Zucayan (FR)
    11/2
  3. 8/1
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Race Explorer BETA
Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hooper
Age 10 · 12-0
3/49P/
Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell(7)
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
80
10
12-0
16/1
Fairly useful for Nicky Henderson until form went awry; hasn't raced since December 2024 and was sold for £3,500 last May; on a five-year losing spell; best watched unless the market speaks positively.

SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Pergamon
Age 5 · 11-13
14561-
William Shanahan(5)
Jennie Candlish
92
114
5
11-13
9/4

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
The Tide Turns
Age 8 · 11-12
0/PP9-
Lewis Stones(3)
Stephen Allen
78
8
11-12
80/1
Gained sole hurdles success over four years ago when trained in Ireland; has dismal form for current yard and can be dismissed unless the betting suggests a resurgence is likely.

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Soleil d'Arizona
Age 6 · 11-12
1085P-
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton
82
111
6
11-12
11/4
Skelton mare who had excuses (faced stiff task, bled from nose) in notable handicap returned to favoured good ground last time; quite progressive last spring to autumn and looks interesting off a workable mark back down in class.

SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Zucayan
Age 9 · 11-5
/1552-
Nick Slatter(3)
Fergal O'Brien
95
111
9
11-5
5/1
Suited by good ground; proved resurgent when last seen five months ago, enhancing a strong C&D record that also features wins (off 2lb lower) in this race in 2023 and 2025 (faller in 2024); very solid claims kept to this scenario.

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ufouria
Age 8 · 11-1
47640-
Jonathan Burke
Alastair Ralph
91
112
8
11-1
4/1
Bumper winner in Ireland; inconsistent results for current stable, taking hurdles record to 0-8; not particularly solid but her reduced mark is attractive judged on peak efforts.

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Lord Cauvelliere
Age 5 · 10-11
12577-
Callum Pritchard
Sheila Lewis
86
102
5
10-11
11/2
Good-ground bumper scorer last May, comfortably beating a rival who currently has a mark of 115; failed to transfer the form to hurdles in the autumn but may improve now handicapping off just 93; interesting.

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Zucayan

Speculative

Zucayan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Fergal O'Brien Nick Slatter(3)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pergamon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Jennie Candlish
✓ Value Signal

The Tide Turns

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Stephen Allen
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Zucayan
58.3 5/1
2 2. Pergamon
55.3 9/4
3 6. Ufouria
54.8 4/1
4 7. Lord Cauvelliere
52.6 11/2
5 4. Soleil d'Arizona
51.9 11/4
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Zucayan
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 11-13
9/4
J: William Shanahan(5)
T: Jennie Candlish
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 11-12
11/4
J: Harry Skelton
T: Dan Skelton
★☆☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 8 · 11-1
4/1
J: Jonathan Burke
T: Alastair Ralph
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 9 · 11-5
5/1
J: Nick Slatter(3)
T: Fergal O'Brien
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 10-11
11/2
J: Callum Pritchard
T: Sheila Lewis
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 10 · 12-0
16/1
J: Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell(7)
T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
★☆☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Zucayan
Confidence: Medium

Zucayan leads the field with SR 95 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-5 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Zucayan, Pergamon, Ufouria, Lord Cauvelliere, Soleil d'Arizona
Each-way: Pergamon Danger: Ufouria

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m7f169y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Ludlow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade