10 May 2026

Sunday 10 May Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Maiden Hurdle

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Maiden Hurdle · 2m1f65y

1548-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Maiden Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Arouet (FR) Daniel King · P Twomey
    4/6F
  2. Second Karlynn (FR)
    11/2
  3. Third Sestini (GB)
    33/1
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Race Explorer BETA
Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 2 NR
Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Gregwell Non-Runner
Age 4 · 11-7
NON-RUNNER
P J Rothwell
4
11-7
SP
Non-runner.
?
Betterluckthistime Non-Runner
Age 4 · 11-7
0-
NON-RUNNER
P J Rothwell
68
4
11-7
SP
Non-runner.
3
Feel Like Ash
Age 4 · 11-7
3-
Sean Flanagan
Paul Nolan
71
4
11-7
33/1
Feel Like Dancing gelding was last of three finishers in four-runner point in March; first start for Paul Nolan.

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Granlahan
Age 4 · 11-7
060-
Danny Gilligan
Adrian McGuinness
52
71
4
11-7
100/1
Big odds and never involved in three maiden hurdle outings.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Arouet silks
Arouet
Age 4 · 9-7
212-
W J Lee 15%
P Twomey 28%
101
86
105
4
9-7
3/1

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ivebeenkewadesert
Age 4 · 11-7
9-
Kevin A Murphy(7)
Declan Queally
38
55
4
11-7
50/1
Was 25-1 for Limerick maiden in March, never a factor and finished tailed off.

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Karlynn
Age 4 · 11-7
645-
E Walsh
John M Burke
94
116
4
11-7
12/1
Showed promise at Clonmel in March and again when beaten little more than 10l there last time, not quite seeing out 2m4f.

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Laligurash
Age 4 · 11-7
UU-
Alan O'Sullivan(7)
Michael C Griffin
63
4
11-7
66/1
Half-brother to winners Sirobbie (2m7f-3m2f hurdle), Breezy Kin (2m6f chase) and Dubhain (point); dam well held in bumper and 2m2f/2m4f hurdles, half-sister to smart 2m4f-3m3f hurdle/chase winner Ballycassidy; failed to complete in two points.

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Maestro Des Pins
Age 4 · 11-7
1-
Paul Townend
W P Mullins
74
4
11-7
8/11
It's Gino gelding out of twice-raced half-sister to 11.5f AQPS Flat and useful 2m7f hurdle/chase winner Alto Des Mottes; won 1m4f AQPS race on very soft ground in November.

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Manoir De Mirande
Age 4 · 11-7
02323-
Josh Williamson(5)
Gordon Elliott
108
123
4
11-7
7/2
French bumper winner was in the lead when falling at the last over C&D in December; placed in four of his five starts since and rating has come down from an initial perch of 124; not progressive but form of penultimate second at Limerick has worked out well; races prominently and maybe good ground will help.

SR 108 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Sestini
Age 4 · 11-7
James Smith(5)
Brian M McMahon
69
4
11-7
40/1
Territories gelding with nice page; dam 1m6f winner (RPR 79), closely related to winners Shantaram (1m5f Group 3), Forever Now (1m6f Listed) and Gan Amhras (1m 2yo/2,000 Guineas third), out of 1m winner; did a good bit of Flat racing in France, winning on debut over 1m4f (heavy).

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Dromana Mist
Age 4 · 10-13
U-7
69
110
4
10-13
80/1
Unseated at the first on debut at Tramore but the RPR she posted at Cork (2m2f, good) when seventh of 14 last week puts her firmly in the mix with her age allowance.

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Square Jasmin
Age 4 · 11-7
Conor Stone-Walsh
James William Hannon
69
4
11-7
33/1
Hunter's Light gelding; E17,000 Y, E23,000 3yo; first foal; dam unraced half-sister to winners Manipura (German 1m Listed) and Lance Les Des (2m hurdle), out of sister to German 1m Listed winner Madresal.

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Take The Free
Age 4 · 11-7
8-
Aidan Kelly(3)
E Bolger
46
64
4
11-7
50/1
Brother to point/2m3f hurdle winner That's Nice; dam multiple AQPS Flat and useful 2m/2m2f hurdle winner; 33s, tailed off over slightly shorter trip here last month.

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

15
Inchidaly Rua
Age 4 · 11-0
8-
Luke Burke Ott(7)
Alexander Ott
71
88
4
11-0
66/1
For an 80-1 chance, ran fine when beaten 15l in maiden at Tramore.

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

16
My Girl Robyn
Age 4 · 11-0
Cian Quirke
Andrew Slattery
72
4
11-0
80/1
Modest Flat maiden; didn't stay 1m4f latest; hurdling debut.

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
On A Diamond
Age 4 · 11-0
7-
Phillip Enright
Michael G Kennedy
72
4
11-0
50/1
Tailed off in 2m4f bumper last month.

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Manoir De Mirande

Live signal

Manoir De Mirande owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (60) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Gordon Elliott Josh Williamson(5)
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Maestro Des Pins

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/11 · W P Mullins
✓ Value Signal

Square Jasmin

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · James William Hannon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Manoir De Mirande
62.1 7/2
2 9. Maestro Des Pins
55.6 8/11
3 6. Arouet
53.5 3/1
4 7. Karlynn
52.9 12/1
5 12. Square Jasmin
41.4 33/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Manoir De Mirande
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 4 · 11-7
8/11
J: Paul Townend
T: W P Mullins
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-7
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 11-7
7/2
J: Josh Williamson(5)
T: Gordon Elliott
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 11-7
12/1
J: E Walsh
T: John M Burke
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Manoir De Mirande
Confidence: Medium

Manoir De Mirande leads the field with SR 108 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Manoir De Mirande, Karlynn, Arouet, Maestro Des Pins, My Girl Robyn
Each-way: Karlynn Danger: Arouet

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f65y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Cork Track and setting