Class 4 20 May 2026

Yesterday Tennent's Lager Handicap

Tennent's Lager Handicap · 1m

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Tennent's Lager Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Geo (IRE) Lauren Young · Jim Goldie
    12/1
  2. 15/8F
  3. 16/1
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Ayr

13:42–17:15 · 8 races

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14:30–17:00 · 6 races

Ffos Las

14:50–17:22 · 6 races

Gowran Park

17:10–20:20 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

17:30–21:00 · 8 races

Yarmouth

17:35–20:10 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 21 hours, 41 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kaleido silks
Kaleido
Age 4 · 9-10
3319-6
71
89
4
9-10
10/1 15/2 10/1
Ran five times for the Gosdens, winning a maiden at Yarmouth (7f, good) last July; no threat when sixth of ten at 9-1 on last month's stable and seasonal debut at Epsom (8.5f, good) but this well-bred 4yo may have needed that run and is just the type his new trainer does very well with; a possible.

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Return To Unit silks
Return To Unit
Age 4 · 9-9
721-
68
92
4
9-9
5/2 31/19 9/4
Made debut last September and improved with each of his first three runs, winning at Nottingham (8.3f, good) in October when last seen; Newmarket trainer Roger Varian has a very healthy 29% strike-rate here and this well-bred 4yo has considerable potential off his opening mark.

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Sir Paul Ramsey silks
Sir Paul Ramsey
Age 4 · 9-8
-37406
71
99
4
9-8
SP 15/2 17/2
Showed some spark on AW earlier this spring and he's 3lb lower than when winning at Haydock (1m, good) last August; not written off but he's been below par on turf on his last two starts and has to raise his game.

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Priapos silks
Priapos
Age 4 · 9-8
5112-7
78
90
4
9-8
28/1 16/1 28/1
Rejuvenated on AW late last year, winning two in a row at Newcastle (1m); it's possible he'll improve for last month's outing at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm; seventh of ten), which was his first of the year, but he needs to prove he can transfer his AW resurgence back to turf.

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Mr Mistoffelees silks
Mr Mistoffelees
Age 6 · 9-5
126-87
69
89
6
9-5
10/1 16/1 10/1
Often ran well last year, including on turf, and won at Newcastle (1m, AW) in October; however, he's finished down the field on both outings this season; he may be of greater interest when the blinkers return.

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Redarna silks
Redarna
Age 12 · 9-3
814-00
77
93
12
9-3
33/1 25/1 28/1
18 visits to Ayr have yielded nine wins, the latest last September; the return to Ayr could be the catalyst for a big run but he's struggled at Musselburgh and Thirsk this year and a major turnaround is needed from this 12yo.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Penelope's Sister silks
Penelope's Sister
Age 6 · 8-10
6316-7
79
90
6
8-10
33/1 18/1 33/1
Three C&D wins last year (various ground) and she's just 1lb above her last winning mark; soundly beaten over C&D a fortnight ago but she may have needed that reappearance outing and is not discounted.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Geo silks
Geo
Age 4 · 8-8
64-869
74
91
4
8-8
12/1 18/1 12/1
With a new yard this year; her mark continues to slide and Jim Goldie should find the key at some stage, but she needs to produce more than she's managed on her first three starts for the stable.

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kaleido 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
2 Return To Unit 5/2 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 Bet365
3 Sir Paul Ramsey 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
4 Priapos 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Mr Mistoffelees 10/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 Coral
10 Redarna 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
11 Penelope's Sister 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Geo 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Return To Unit

Speculative

Return To Unit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Roger Varian P J McDonald
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Geo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

12/1 · Jim Goldie
✓ Value Signal

Priapos

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Phillip Makin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Return To Unit
49.5 5/2
2 12. Geo
49.0 12/1
3 3. Sir Paul Ramsey
47.5 -
4 1. Kaleido
45.0 10/1
5 7. Mr Mistoffelees
45.0 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Penelope's Sister
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-9
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-5
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Geo
Age 4 · 8-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Penelope's Sister
Confidence: Medium

Penelope's Sister leads the field with SR 79 and is trading at 22/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-10 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Penelope's Sister, Priapos, Redarna, Geo, Kaleido
Each-way: Priapos Danger: Redarna

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade