Class 6 20 May 2026

Yesterday Download The At The Races App Handicap

Download The At The Races App Handicap · 1m3y

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

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Confirmed
  1. Winner Tilani (IRE) Jack Dace · Ian Williams
    85/40
  2. Second Kamaway (GB)
    2/1F
  3. 15/2
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Ayr

13:42–17:15 · 8 races

Warwick

14:30–17:00 · 6 races

Ffos Las

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Gowran Park

17:10–20:20 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

17:30–21:00 · 8 races

Yarmouth

17:35–20:10 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 21 hours, 41 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Timely Affair silks
Timely Affair
Age 4 · 9-9
-15221
61
72
4
9-9
11/1 7/2 11/1
Steady progress since handicapping and he took his form to a new level with his ready defeat of Ribston Pippin at Southwell three weeks ago (1m, AW; cheekpieces first time); up 6lb but open to further progress and he should go well if the ground is suitable (smart half-sister Royal Velvet happiest on good or faster).

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Emery Down silks
Emery Down
Age 4 · 9-9
45-785
52
67
4
9-9
12/1 7/1 12/1
Of interest on her best AW efforts for John Butler and her second run for this yard was better than her first; needs another step forward if she is to come out on top and still has a bit to prove on the grass.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Poke The Bear silks
Poke The Bear
Age 4 · 9-8
172560
57
70
4
9-8
25/1 20/1 22/1
Three wins at Lingfield (7f-1m) over the winter; his form has cooled more recently and he returns to turf (well held in one attempt) with a point to prove; can blow the start.

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Havana Tobouggaloo silks
Havana Tobouggaloo
Age 4 · 9-6
7380-2
57
72
4
9-6
17/2 17/2 8/1
Placed on a couple of occasions last season and she ran to a higher level on her seasonal return, going down narrowly in a 1m handicap at Bath last month (1m, good to soft); the winner there has followed up since and the pair were well clear of the third so a 3lb rise looks justified; solid contender.

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ribston Pippin silks
Ribston Pippin
Age 4 · 9-6
541-62
60
72
4
9-6
16/1 8/1 16/1
C&D winner last summer (good to firm) and he added to his haul with a ready win at Southwell (1m, AW) in December; chased home Timely Affair back at Southwell three weeks ago (1m) but while he is 4lb better off today, he wouldn't be sure to reverse the placings (raced awkwardly under pressure).

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Lastchancezouloon silks
Lastchancezouloon
Age 4 · 9-3
63908-
59
69
4
9-3
80/1 40/1 66/1
Bits of form for Richard Fahey but she finished down the field in two runs for Jack Channon in late 2025; sold for 1,000gns in January; upped in trip and tried in a hood on her stable debut.

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Charming Fellow silks
Charming Fellow
Age 4 · 8-13
26-996
62
73
4
8-13
50/1 40/1 50/1
Won a Pontefract nursery for Peter Chapple-Hyam in October 2024 (1m, soft); in good form last autumn too but he has been sent off at big prices and finished down the field in three runs for his new stable this year; could prove a different proposition back on turf, especially if the going remains on the slow side, and cheekpieces return today; check betting.

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Cezarro silks
Cezarro
Age 4 · 8-13
0-8244
59
73
4
8-13
16/1 12/1 16/1
0-12 but he has shown winning potential since joining Ross Burdon, including a second of nine at Kempton in March; each-way shout now back on turf with cheekpieces returning.

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
2 Timely Affair 11/1 open 5.00 11/1 open 4.50 11/1 open 4.50 11/1 open 5.00 11/1 open 4.50 11/1 Bet365
3 Emery Down 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Poke The Bear 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Havana Tobouggaloo 17/2 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 Bet365
7 Ribston Pippin 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Lastchancezouloon 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
9 Charming Fellow 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
10 Cezarro 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Havana Tobouggaloo

Low conviction

Havana Tobouggaloo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (61). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

17/2 Zoe Hawkins Billy Loughnane
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Timely Affair

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/1 · William Knight
✓ Value Signal

Lastchancezouloon

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Clare Hobson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +13.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
27 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Havana Tobouggaloo
43.7 17/2
2 2. Timely Affair
42.5 11/1
3 7. Ribston Pippin
40.9 16/1
4 3. Emery Down
39.6 12/1
5 10. Cezarro
37.8 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Charming Fellow
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 9-6
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 4 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 4 · 9-6
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 8-13
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Charming Fellow
Confidence: Medium

Charming Fellow leads the field with SR 62 and is trading at 50/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-13 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Charming Fellow, Timely Affair, Ribston Pippin, Lastchancezouloon, Cezarro
Each-way: Timely Affair Danger: Ribston Pippin

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m3y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Yarmouth Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade