Class 4 20 May 2026

Yesterday Happy 1st Birthday Donnacha Fenelon Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Happy 1st Birthday Donnacha Fenelon Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m7f182y

448-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Happy 1st Birthday Donnacha Fenelon Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Flaggy Shore (IRE) David Noonan · Ben Clarke
    6/4
  2. 4/1
  3. EvensF
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 21 hours, 41 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Fiskardo silks
Fiskardo
Age 6 · 11-2
32/1-
138
6
11-2
10/3 5/2 3/1
Back from a long absence to edge home in a good-ground bumper at Perth last month (first run in a tongue-tie); others in here did have superior form in that scene.

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
One Knight silks
One Knight
Age 6 · 11-2
/1/10-
139
6
11-2
13/8 Evs 31/19
Won his first two bumpers for this yard under Cameron Johnstone-Baker (good to soft/good) before disappointing in a Grade 2 at the Grand National meeting; could easily be up to this on his hurdling debut.

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Brenda Lady silks
Brenda Lady
Age 6 · 10-9
133
6
10-9
66/1 50/1 40/1
Eleventh foal; sister to bumper/2m5f hurdle winner Far Sight, half-sister to five winners including Dare To Endeavour (useful 2m4f-3m chase), Holly James (bumper/2m hurdle) and Grand Enterprise (2m2f/3m hurdle); dam 2m-2m5f hurdle winner; appealing pedigree but this is a belated racecourse debut.

SR 133 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
The Flaggy Shore silks
The Flaggy Shore
Age 5 · 10-9
1126-
145
5
10-9
5/4 7/4 6/5
Point winner who won a Warwick bumper by 7l and contested two Listed races since then, finishing second on the first occasion; promising recruit to hurdling.

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Fiskardo 10/3 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 Bet365
3 One Knight 13/8 open 2.20 13/8 open 2.00 13/8 open 2.00 7/4 open 2.00 13/8 open 2.00 7/4 William Hill
4 Brenda Lady 66/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
5 The Flaggy Shore 5/4 open 2.88 6/5 open 2.75 6/5 open 2.75 5/4 open 2.88 5/4 open 2.75 5/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

The Flaggy Shore

High conviction

The Flaggy Shore owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (81) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 Ben Clarke David Noonan
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

One Knight

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · Emma Lavelle
✓ Value Signal

Brenda Lady

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · David Rees
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
81 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +30.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. The Flaggy Shore
72.1 5/4
2 3. One Knight
70.8 13/8
3 1. Fiskardo
67.3 10/3
4 4. Brenda Lady
52.0 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
The Flaggy Shore
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 5 · 10-9
5/4
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-2
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 139 🐾

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 11-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 138 🐾

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
The Flaggy Shore
Confidence: Medium

The Flaggy Shore leads the field with SR 145 and is trading at 15/8. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist The Flaggy Shore, One Knight, Fiskardo, Brenda Lady
Each-way: One Knight Danger: Fiskardo

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m7f182y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Ffos Las Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade