Class 5 20 May 2026

Yesterday Birra Poretti Handicap (Div I)

Birra Poretti Handicap (Div I) · 7f50y

948-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Birra Poretti Handicap (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Roaring Ralph (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods
    9/2
  2. Second Novak (GB)
    11/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 21 hours, 41 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Roaring Ralph silks
Roaring Ralph
Age 6 · 9-9
221112
72
83
6
9-9
9/2 10/3 9/2
Won three in a row at Southwell (1m, AW) earlier this year and solid second there (1m) a fortnight ago; he won here in 2024 and holds strong claims if transferring his fine recent form back to turf.

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Kelpie Grey silks
Kelpie Grey
Age 6 · 9-8
5705-6
55
89
6
9-8
13/8 2/1 31/19
Went off the boil towards the end of last season and also below his best on last month's reappearance at Musselburgh, taking his losing sequence to 15; however, this two-time C&D winner may have needed that latest outing and he's well handicapped on last year's best course form; not ruled out.

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Mr Cool silks
Mr Cool
Age 4 · 9-8
064725
61
80
4
9-8
14/1 9/1 14/1
Inconsistent and soundly beaten back on turf at Doncaster this month; however, this two-time turf winner was runner-up at Kempton (7f, AW) two starts ago and is not discounted off a dangerous mark.

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Al Muqdad silks
Al Muqdad
Age 6 · 9-7
673606
64
85
6
9-7
5/1 7/2 5/1
His form has been patchy since an easy win at Wolverhampton (7f, AW) last November but he's 2lb below that last winning mark and his form figures at Ayr read 3112, so it will be no surprise if he's in the mix.

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Elizabeth Bay silks
Elizabeth Bay
Age 4 · 9-6
32438-
66
78
4
9-6
80/1 33/1 66/1
4yo who has shown ability and has edged down the weights, but she wasn't at the top of her game on her final three runs last season and remains a maiden after ten starts; others are more compelling.

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Valentine Catcher silks
Valentine Catcher
Age 5 · 9-3
57-926
65
81
5
9-3
11/2 7/1 11/2
Inconsistent sort who was soundly beaten at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) last time and his losing run continues; however, he kept on well for second at Pontefract (6f, good) two starts ago and is not written off.

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Novak silks
Novak
Age 7 · 9-3
246585
65
84
7
9-3
10/1 17/2 9/1
Beaten 13 times since last win at Newcastle (7f, AW) last September but close fifth of seven at Ayr (1m, good to firm) recently and he may appreciate the return to 7f; his mark continues to fall and he might not be far away.

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Maui Breeze silks
Maui Breeze
Age 4 · 9-1
52-907
70
83
4
9-1
40/1 FCST 33/1
Runner-up at Newcastle (1m, AW) in December on second stable start and she's also effective on turf; however, she was down the field at Newcastle (1m/1m2f, AW) on her last three starts and returns from a break today.

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Royal Blaze silks
Royal Blaze
Age 5 · 8-12
023-44
68
83
5
8-12
10/1 13/2 9/1
His two wins last August/September (including here) came over 1m2f but he travelled well when fourth over 1m1f here (good to firm) on his recent return to action, when short of room close home, and he may have versatility in terms of trip; interesting contender.

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Roaring Ralph 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 Betfred
2 Kelpie Grey 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 Betfred
3 Mr Cool 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Al Muqdad 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
5 Elizabeth Bay 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 Bet365
6 Valentine Catcher 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 Bet365
7 Novak 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
8 Maui Breeze 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Royal Blaze 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Al Muqdad

Speculative

Al Muqdad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 David O'Meara David Nolan
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Roaring Ralph

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Michael Dods
✓ Value Signal

Elizabeth Bay

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Katie Scott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Al Muqdad
49.4 5/1
2 1. Roaring Ralph
48.9 9/2
3 2. Kelpie Grey
48.7 13/8
4 9. Royal Blaze
46.1 10/1
5 6. Valentine Catcher
46.0 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Roaring Ralph
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 9-8
13/8
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 6 · 9-9
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-3
11/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 7 · 9-3
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 8-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-8
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Roaring Ralph
Confidence: Medium

Roaring Ralph leads the field with SR 72 and is trading at 7/2. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Roaring Ralph, Maui Breeze, Royal Blaze, Elizabeth Bay, Valentine Catcher
Each-way: Maui Breeze Danger: Royal Blaze

🗺 The Course Class 5

7f50y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade