Class 4 20 May 2026

Yesterday Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m3f

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rebel Tribesman (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden
    1/3F
  2. 9/2
  3. Third Bathara (FR)
    15/2
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Ayr

13:42–17:15 · 8 races

Warwick

14:30–17:00 · 6 races

Ffos Las

14:50–17:22 · 6 races

Gowran Park

17:10–20:20 · 7 races

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17:30–21:00 · 8 races

Yarmouth

17:35–20:10 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 21 hours, 40 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Alex The Great silks
Alex The Great
Age 6 · 11-4
9-4
59
78
6
11-4
150/1 40/1 100/1
Three-time AW winner at a modest level on Flat; beaten long way in two similar events over 2m at Hereford recently; steps up in trip but easy to dismiss.

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Bathara silks
Bathara
Age 5 · 11-4
/12P4-
77
93
5
11-4
8/1 8/1 7/1
Landed bumper around here last October but has cut little ice in his two starts over hurdles; this looks easier but he needs to start producing.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Mr Rafiki silks
Mr Rafiki
Age 5 · 11-4
44-
93
114
5
11-4
10/1 6/1 9/1
Last of four in a Ludlow bumper in October; had wind surgery subsequently and stayed on well when fourth of ten finishers in a Ffos Las maiden (2m4f, good to soft) last month on hurdles debut; that was a step in the right direction but more is required here.

SR 93 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Royal Rocket silks
Royal Rocket
Age 5 · 11-4
653-
86
106
5
11-4
5/1 4/1 9/2
Stepped up on his hurdles debut at Chepstow to finish third of seven in a Taunton novice (2m3f, good) last month; is going the right way and holds claims, but his best chance of success will be in handicaps.

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
The Craftymaster silks
The Craftymaster
Age 6 · 11-4
3
78
97
6
11-4
22/1 15/2 16/1
A nine-time Flat winner over 1m6f-2m, he made a pleasing hurdles debut when third of five finishers (with stablemate Alex The Great 27l back) in a Hereford maiden (2m, good) 15 days ago; steps up in trip and holds place claims.

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Blue's Secret Gem silks
Blue's Secret Gem
Age 5 · 10-11
43-7
72
86
5
10-11
40/1 40/1 28/1
Showed ability when in the frame in a couple of bumpers but finished last of seven on hurdles debut at Fakenham (2m4f, good) 16 days ago; may not come into her own until she is qualified for handicaps.

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Madmoiselle Moss silks
Madmoiselle Moss
Age 6 · 10-11
987-
50
64
6
10-11
300/1 125/1 150/1
Tailed off in a couple of bumpers and on hurdles debut last month.

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Alex The Great 150/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 41.00 150/1 Bet365
2 Bathara 8/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 8/1 Bet365
3 Mr Rafiki 10/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 Betfred
5 Royal Rocket 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 Betfred
6 The Craftymaster 22/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 8.50 22/1 Bet365
7 Blue's Secret Gem 40/1 open 51.00 28/1 open 51.00 28/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 51.00 40/1 40/1 Bet365
8 Madmoiselle Moss 300/1 open 151.00 150/1 150/1 250/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 126.00 300/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Royal Rocket

Speculative

Royal Rocket owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Emma Lavelle Ben Jones
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mr Rafiki

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/1 · Jonjo & A J O'Neill
✓ Value Signal

The Craftymaster

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Tony Carroll
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Royal Rocket
53.1 5/1
2 3. Mr Rafiki
50.6 10/1
3 2. Bathara
48.8 8/1
4 6. The Craftymaster
39.6 22/1
5 7. Blue's Secret Gem
37.9 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Mr Rafiki
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 5 · 11-4
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-4
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 11-4
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mr Rafiki
Confidence: Medium

Mr Rafiki leads the field with SR 93 and is trading at 6/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-4 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Mr Rafiki, Royal Rocket, The Craftymaster, Bathara, Blue's Secret Gem
Each-way: Royal Rocket Danger: The Craftymaster

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m3f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Warwick Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade