Epsom 15:22 RESULTED
Class 4 27 Sep 2026

Last Sunday Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)

Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f6y

Official Result

Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zarakerjack (FR) Freddie Mitchell · Gary & Josh Moore
    12/1
  2. 6/1
  3. 40/1
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Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

Ffos Las

13:19–17:19 · 8 races

Curragh

13:25–17:30 · 8 races

Epsom

13:37–17:07 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Marnier silks
Marnier
Age 4 · 11-11
263166
86
82
90
4
11-11
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 11/1 5/1
Marnier landed a win three starts back but was only sixth on each of his latest two outings, bringing distance-and-going experience to the table off a 28-day break; the main concern is his trainer's cold recent strike-rate of just 5%.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Tiger silks
Tiger
Age 4 · 11-9
642128
84
84
87
4
11-9
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 5/1 13/2
Tiger showed smart form two starts back with a second, and was a winner three starts back, giving him clear recent class at this level; the concern is that an eighth last time out leaves fitness questions after 28 days off carrying 163 lb.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Gordon Grey silks
Gordon Grey
Age 6 · 11-8
939064
83
71
91
6
11-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 11/1
Winless in his last six starts, Gordon Grey nonetheless catches the eye on fitness after just 17 days off, has experience of today's trip and going, and our rating of 90 marks him as a genuine threat here; the worry is he must overcome a patchy recent record that includes a fourth last time out but little else to shout about.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

4
Oneforthegutter silks
Oneforthegutter
Age 7 · 11-7
788757
82
72
91
7
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 12/1 10/1
Winless in his last six starts, Oneforthegutter nevertheless just heads the ratings here, and having run over today's trip and going he is at least equipped for the conditions, though the consistent back-half finishes make improvement a necessity.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Fox Avatar silks
Fox Avatar
Age 5 · 11-6
1-6734
81
80
86
5
11-6
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 3/1 11/2
Fox Avatar showed well enough to grab a third two starts back, and the win came five starts back, so recent form has been patchy; distance and going experience help, but 160 lb is a stern ask for a horse rated 81 officially.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Hengest silks
Hengest
Age 4 · 11-4
189037
79
50
82
4
11-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 16/1 20/1
Third two starts back offers a recent bright spot, but Hengest has also finished out of the money on four occasions in his last six, including seventh last time out just eight days ago; the quick return and a 158 lb burden are the obvious questions here.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Nibras Gold silks
Nibras Gold
Age 8 · 11-4
52-121
79
84
79
8
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 4/1 6/1
Nibras Gold arrives in decent nick having won two of his last five starts, including a victory last time out, and has experience of today's trip and going, but ranked ninth of thirteen on our figures he faces a stiff task at the top of the weights on 158 lb.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Flash Man silks
Flash Man
Age 4 · 11-3
24350-
78
60
78OR
4
11-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 25/1 33/1
Flash Man is unexposed and open to improvement, yet to win in his last five starts with a third three starts back the most encouraging recent sign; returning after 126 days off and carrying 157 lb, he remains one to watch as his profile fills out.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Damascus Steel silks
Damascus Steel
Age 6 · 11-2
611856
77
66
79
6
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 10/1
Damascus Steel has managed only two wins in his last six starts, with finishes of eighth, fifth and sixth in his three most recent outings making him hard to fancy, and our rating ranks him tenth of thirteen in this field; has run over today's trip, at least, and 15 days since his last run leaves him fit enough to go.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Seeking Charles silks
Seeking Charles
Age 5 · 11-0
30-321
75
88
83
5
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 7/2
Seeking Charles arrives on the back of three consecutive placed efforts, most recently a winner last time out, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions — yet he carries 154 lb and ranks seventh of thirteen on ratings, making him a solid each-way type rather than an obvious winner.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Taritino silks
Taritino
Age 6 · 11-0
114464
75
70
83
6
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 17/2 11/1
Taritino won twice in his last six starts, with back-to-back victories five and six starts back lending encouragement, though four subsequent finishes of fourth or sixth suggest he has found winning harder of late; has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 83 gives him a squeak.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Zarakerjack silks
Zarakerjack
Age 4 · 10-9
2543-4
70
69
79
4
10-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 11/1 10/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, Zarakerjack faces a stiff ask under 149 lb, with the trainer in poor current form at 5% over the past 14 days; experience over today's trip and going and a third two starts back offer slim crumbs of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Oasis Sunrise silks
Oasis Sunrise
Age 4 · 10-7
433495
68
59
77
4
10-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 16/1 22/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Oasis Sunrise faces a stiff ask under 147 lb, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a handy 19-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Marnier 13/2 open 12.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 13/2 Bet365
2 Tiger 7/1 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 15/2 Coral
3 Gordon Grey 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Oneforthegutter 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 Coral
5 Fox Avatar 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 Coral
6 Hengest 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 Coral
7 Nibras Gold 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 Betfred
8 Flash Man 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Damascus Steel 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Seeking Charles 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Coral
11 Taritino 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
12 Zarakerjack 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 Coral
13 Oasis Sunrise 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nibras Gold

Speculative

Nibras Gold owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 James Owen Jonathan Burke
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Seeking Charles

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Mark Usher
✓ Value Signal

Flash Man

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Toby Lawes
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Nibras Gold
54.1 13/2
2 10. Seeking Charles
52.5 7/2
3 1. Marnier
52.0 13/2
4 2. Tiger
50.5 7/1
5 3. Gordon Grey
48.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Seeking Charles
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 5 · 11-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 11-6
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 11-11
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 11-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 11-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 11-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 10-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

9
Age 6 · 11-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 11-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 11-4
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Seeking Charles
Confidence: Speculative

Seeking Charles carries the joint-lightest competitive weight (11-0) with the field's highest SR of 88, giving a meaningful ability edge over every rival. The form string 30-321 shows a last-time-out win and consistent placing, and a 11% market shortening signals stable confidence. Course:W1P1 at Epsom is a concrete positive on this tricky track where course craft matters. The only caveat is GoingFit:- (poor record on good ground specifically), but the weight advantage and SR lead are sufficient to override that concern in a moderate Class 4 heat. Each-way alternative: Nibras Gold. Main danger: Marnier — Marnier has steamed in 30% in the market — the strongest mover in the field — drops a class, has GoingFit:+ confirmed, and Gary & Josh Moore's use of Caoilin Quinn (17% strike rate) over Zarakerjack's jockey suggests this is the yard's intended runner, making the market move hard to dismiss despite a career-high mark.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- is a flagged concrete weakness on today's good ground — the analyst acknowledges it but dismisses it; at Epsom's undulating track, going suitability is amplified and could materially blunt…
  • Jockey James Davies has only an 8% strike rate (270 rides) — notably the weakest among fancied-horse riders today, and Epsom's tricky camber/bends demand a high-quality pilot.
  • Trainer Mark Usher runs at just 11% (652 runners) with no visible market support beyond a modest 11% move in; Fox Avatar (Roger Varian, 20% SR) and Nibras Gold (James Owen, 19% SR) represent signific…
  • The form string 30-321 contains a mid-sequence pull-up/blank (the dash) and a '3' and '0', suggesting inconsistency; the last-time-out win may have come in softer company than today's Class 4 heat fe…
Shortlist Seeking Charles, Nibras Gold, Marnier, Fox Avatar
Each-way: Nibras Gold Danger: Marnier

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m4f6y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Epsom Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade