Class 4 17 May 2026

Last Sunday On-Course Bookmakers Welcome You To Ripon Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

On-Course Bookmakers Welcome You To Ripon Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Zen Diva Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sweet Desire
Age 4 · 9-11
0
5
27
4
9-11
100/1 80/1 66/1
50-1 when dropping away to finish last of ten on her Nottingham debut last month (6f, good); looks a longer-term prospect.

SR 5 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

2
Black Orchid
Age 3 · 9-2
55
3
9-2
2/1 3/2 31/19
420,000gns yearling; fifth foal; half-sister to winners Motorious (5f-7f including US turf Grade 2; RPR 123), Matters Most (5f/6f including Hong Kong; 102), Topwarrior (6f; 98) and Haymaker (5f-7f; 97); dam Group-placed 6f AW 2yo winner (103); she doesn't have a daunting standard to aim at on debut and needs a close market check.

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Elemma
Age 3 · 9-2
4
40
38
3
9-2
15/2 7/1 6/1
Weak in the betting when finishing a well-beaten last of four on her Pontefract debut (6f, good) last month; she will need to leave that well behind her to feature; stable also runs Black Orchid.

SR 40 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Kyrenia
Age 3 · 9-2
38
3
9-2
22/1 12/1 18/1
Fifth foal; half-sister to winners Kynren (7f/1m; RPR 112) and Gentle Ellen (6f; 78); dam unplaced 7f-1m6f (45); only of interest if attracting market support.

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Lady Grey
Age 3 · 9-2
7
27
3
9-2
50/1 50/1 33/1
Always in rear when beaten 24l on her Doncaster debut three weeks ago (5f, good to firm); attracted some support at big prices on that occasion but she is not easily recommended here.

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

7
Zen Diva
Age 3 · 9-2
423-
84
72
3
9-2
4/5 FCST 8/11
Expensive to follow as a 2yo, beaten favourite in both runs following her promising Newbury debut (6f, good); sets a clear form standard on her return from a 227-day absence; cheekpieces now reached for.

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Ziggy Bay
Age 3 · 9-2
35
3
9-2
22/1 16/1 18/1
Fifth foal; half-sister to 1m4f winner Ricardo Phillips (RPR 60); dam 1m2f winner (52), half-sister to Stewards' Cup winner Gift Horse and 6f-7f winner Peggy Spencer (dam of Nunthorpe winner La Cucaracha); tongue tied for debut; won't have to be a star to be involved so worth a market check.

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sweet Desire 100/1 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 80/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 100/1 Bet365
2 Black Orchid 2/1 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 Bet365
3 Elemma 15/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Kyrenia 22/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
5 Lady Grey 50/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 51.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Zen Diva 4/5 8/11 8/11 4/5 8/11 4/5 Bet365
8 Ziggy Bay 22/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Zen Diva

Speculative

Zen Diva owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Ralph Beckett Hector Crouch
83% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Black Orchid

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Lady Grey

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Zen Diva
55.3 4/5
2 2. Black Orchid
47.4 2/1
3 3. Elemma
38.8 15/2
4 4. Kyrenia
34.7 22/1
5 5. Lady Grey
34.4 50/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Zen Diva
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 3 · 9-2
4/5
★★★★☆ SR 84 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-2
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-2
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Zen Diva
Confidence: Medium

Zen Diva leads the field with SR 84 and is trading at 4/5. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Zen Diva, Black Orchid, Elemma, Kyrenia, Ziggy Bay
Each-way: Black Orchid Danger: Elemma

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade