Class 4 17 May 2026

Last Sunday Ladies Day On Sunday 19th July Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Ladies Day On Sunday 19th July Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m6f125y

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
AI rates Tapley Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Diplomatic Ash Non-Runner
Age 7 · 11-2
F2442-
126
7
11-2
SP
Finished weakly when well-held fourth at Kempton (3m, good) in March and was also below best at Ascot (2m5f, good; refitted cheekpieces) later that month, where he plugged on from a long way off the pace to take a modest second; current mark is workable but others appeal more.
1
King Roly
Age 7 · 12-2
12146-
126
128
7
12-2
15/8 5/2 32/17
Won three small-field chases in early part of last season (2m3f-2m4f, good) and ran better than eventual 18l defeat suggests at Perth (2m4f, good; hampered by final-fence faller) last month, after a layoff; will be fine over today's longer trip and goes on the shortlist.

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tapley
Age 9 · 12-0
42313-
130
127
9
12-0
15/8 32/17 31/19

SR 130 backed by market confidence at 9/4 — a genuine contender.

4
Bagheera Ginge
Age 8 · 11-13
7231P-
117
124
8
11-13
7/1

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Okavango Delta
Age 10 · 11-3
14526-
117
123
10
11-3
13/2 15/2 13/2
Absent since below-par run in December but returned from break with creditable second at Musselburgh (2m, good to soft; stays much further) in November and won when fresh last spring; has travelled from Northumberland for this race and Sean Bowen is booked; interesting.

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Arrycan
Age 12 · 10-13
9205-5
122
126
12
10-13
13/2 7/1 13/2
Ex-Irish veteran who was safely held on first two starts for new stable this spring (both 3m, good); needs good boost from new cheekpieces here.

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Grillon De Monty
Age 11 · 10-10
15140-
109
124
11
10-10
25/1 18/1 25/1
Dual chase winner at Worcester (2m7f, good) last summer; absent since heavy defeat over hurdles in November, though, and resumes on fairly tough mark; hooded for first time.

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Diplomatic Ash
1 King Roly 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.50 15/8 Bet365
3 Tapley 15/8 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
4 Bagheera Ginge 7/1 15/2 15/2 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 8/1 William Hill
5 Okavango Delta 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 Bet365
7 Arrycan 13/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 William Hill
8 Grillon De Monty 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tapley

Live signal

Tapley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Suzy Smith Isabelle Ryder(5)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

King Roly

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Mickey Bowen
✓ Value Signal

Grillon De Monty

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Stephen Allen
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Tapley
68.6 15/8
2 1. King Roly
66.0 15/8
3 7. Arrycan
64.8 13/2
4 4. Bagheera Ginge
60.9 7/1
5 5. Okavango Delta
60.8 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tapley
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 12-2
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 126 🐾

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 12-0
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 130 🐾

SR 130 backed by market confidence at 9/4 — a genuine contender.

5
Age 10 · 11-3
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 12 · 10-13
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 122 🐾

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-13
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tapley
Confidence: Medium

Tapley leads the field with SR 130 and is trading at 9/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 12-0 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Tapley, King Roly, Arrycan, Bagheera Ginge, Okavango Delta
Each-way: King Roly Danger: Arrycan

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m6f125y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Stratford Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade