17 May 2026

Last Sunday Twydil/Clovelly Irish EBF Fillies Maiden

Twydil/Clovelly Irish EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Guardian Of Realm Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Elmakaya
Age 3 · 9-3
7
98
94
3
9-3
9/4 5/2 2/1
Wootton Bassett filly sent off at 7-1 on debut at Leopardstown (1m, gd-yld) last month and could only manage a 5.75l seventh; however, she was a step slow away from a wide draw and made some pleasing late gains and this Irish Oaks entry isn't one to write off here.

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Guardian Of Realm
Age 3 · 9-3
322-
101
91
3
9-3
7/2 5/2 7/2

Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Mai Dahlia
Age 3 · 9-3
87
3
9-3
6/1 FCST 5/1
Too Darn Hot filly; half-sister to winners Ameerat Jumaira (Group-placed 10.6f-1m4f inc AW; RPR 99) and Jujubella (1m2f-12.4f inc AW; 78); dam unraced half-sister to UAE 1m2f Group 1 winner North America; appealing pedigree, yard in form and worth a market check; tongue tied.

SR 87 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Rebel Wave
Age 3 · 9-3
81
3
9-3
9/1 11/1 17/2
New Bay filly's price rose from 110,000gns as a yearling to E280,000 as a foal; half-sister to winners Spanish Phoenix (5f 2yo; RPR 100) and Confident Star (5.5f-7f inc 2yo/Spain; 95); dam US 7f dirt winner, half-sister to smart 7f-1m1f winner Bell Rock; could go well on debut; market can guide.

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Solana Beach
Age 3 · 9-3
2
99
94
3
9-3
10/3 FCST 11/4
No Nay Never filly sent off at 14-1 on debut at Gowran (7f, soft) last month but outran those odds; short of room, ran green but stayed on very nicely once the penny dropped for a 4l second; pedigree suggests quicker ground will suit, as should this longer trip; interesting.

Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Sydney Dollars
Age 3 · 9-3
65
3
9-3
50/1 50/1 40/1
Mehmas filly; E31,000 foal, E40,000 yearling; half-sister to winners Orglandes (French/US 1m1f-12.5f inc Grade 3; RPR 98) and Pittsford (10.6f AW; 83); dam 6.7f-7.5f winner (inc 2yo/AW; 92), out of 7f 2yo Group 2 winner; market check advised.

SR 65 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Totally Puzzled
Age 3 · 9-3
6-0
48
69
3
9-3
50/1 40/1 50/1
Sea The Moon filly; showed ability when midfield on debut last October at Navan (1m, yielding); tailed off on seasonal return over 1m2f (sft-hvy) at the Curragh; drops back in trip and hooded; best watched.

SR 48 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Elmakaya 9/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 9/4 Bet365
2 Guardian Of Realm 7/2 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 4/1 Coral
3 Mai Dahlia 6/1 open 7.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Rebel Wave 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Solana Beach 10/3 open 4.00 11/4 11/4 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 open 3.75 10/3 Bet365
6 Sydney Dollars 50/1 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Totally Puzzled 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Guardian Of Realm

Speculative

Guardian Of Realm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 G M Lyons Colin Keane
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Solana Beach

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · J A Stack
✓ Value Signal

Sydney Dollars

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Joseph G Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Guardian Of Realm
58.8 7/2
2 5. Solana Beach
58.0 10/3
3 1. Elmakaya
55.7 9/4
4 3. Mai Dahlia
53.6 6/1
5 4. Rebel Wave
52.0 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Guardian Of Realm
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-3
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-3
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 99 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-3
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 101 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 3 · 9-3
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-3
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Guardian Of Realm
Confidence: Medium

Guardian Of Realm leads the field with SR 101 and is trading at 5/2. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-3 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Guardian Of Realm, Solana Beach, Elmakaya, Mai Dahlia, Rebel Wave
Each-way: Solana Beach Danger: Elmakaya

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting