Class 4 17 May 2026

Last Sunday Happy 32nd Birthday Lottie Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Happy 32nd Birthday Lottie Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m213y

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Cawthorne Cracker Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Captain Cool
Age 6 · 12-0
34U22-
104
6
12-0
9/4 9/4 2/1

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Whatyouwaitingfor
Age 5 · 11-13
21223-
107
109
5
11-13
5/1 11/2 9/2
Remote when second of three on stable/chase debut but ran well for a long way before weakening into third at Chepstow (2m, good to soft) last month and could be better suited by the forecast dryer ground here.

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Alba Crus silks
Alba Crus
Age 5 · 11-12
1734-9
5
11-12
SP
3
Definite Dream
Age 8 · 11-5
F2/45-
96
8
11-5
11/1 12/1 10/1
0-9 in points (completed only three times) and has same strike-rate over hurdles; gave a fairly good account when fifth of 15 at Worcester (2m, good) last July but this chasing debut comes after a 314-day absence.

SR 96 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Intenzo
Age 5 · 11-5
4425-4
108
114
5
11-5
5/1 9/2 5/1
Below form on last two appearances and his tendency to race too freely remains a worry but he made a promising chase/handicap debut when clear second at Sedgefield (2m, good) in March and that form has been well advertised by the winner since; good claims if back at that level.

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Miss Denver
Age 6 · 10-7
/P49-3
110
6
10-7
7/1 9/2 7/1

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Cawthorne Cracker
Age 7 · 10-3
52F53-
120
117
7
10-3
5/2 5/2 9/4
Course winner over hurdles; returned from a break with respectable third in Market Rasen chase (2m1f, good) last month but is 0-5 over fences now and others in this line-up probably have more potential.

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Captain Cool 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 9/4 9/4 2/1 open 3.25 9/4 Bet365
2 Whatyouwaitingfor 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
2 Alba Crus
3 Definite Dream 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
4 Intenzo 5/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 William Hill
6 Miss Denver 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 Bet365
7 Cawthorne Cracker 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 5/2 5/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Cawthorne Cracker

Live signal

Cawthorne Cracker owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Toby Wynne
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Captain Cool

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Jennie Candlish
✓ Value Signal

Definite Dream

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/1 · Denis Coakley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Cawthorne Cracker
64.4 5/2
2 1. Captain Cool
61.7 9/4
3 4. Intenzo
59.5 5/1
4 6. Miss Denver
59.1 7/1
5 2. Whatyouwaitingfor
55.5 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cawthorne Cracker
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 12-0
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 7 · 10-3
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 120 🐾

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-13
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 11-5
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 10-7
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cawthorne Cracker
Confidence: Medium

Cawthorne Cracker leads the field with SR 120 and is trading at 11/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-3 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Cawthorne Cracker, Miss Denver, Intenzo, Whatyouwaitingfor, Captain Cool
Each-way: Miss Denver Danger: Intenzo

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m213y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Stratford Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade