Class 6 17 May 2026

Last Sunday Mark Leather's 70th Birthday Handicap (Div I)

Mark Leather's 70th Birthday Handicap (Div I) · 6f

948-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Simba's Pride Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Simba's Pride
Age 3 · 9-12
4-571
69
65
3
9-12
7/4 31/19 7/4

SR 69 suggests ability but 7/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Pivotal Terms
Age 3 · 9-7
-87614
64
68
3
9-7
7/1 10/1 7/1
Got off the mark at the ninth time of asking when leading late in a 6f handicap at Newcastle five weeks ago; inconvenienced by dropping to 5f at Musselburgh next time but ran well enough to think she was still in form; not handicapped out of things.

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Gunalt Wavelength
Age 3 · 9-7
4229-2
64
63
3
9-7
6/1 7/1 6/1
Ten-race maiden but she has finished second on four occasions, including her seasonal return four weeks ago (6f, good to firm; handles soft); runs off the same mark and holds each-way claims once again.

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Ellie's de Vega
Age 3 · 9-5
045-33
69
65
3
9-5
4/1 10/3 7/2
Front-runner; two solid third-place finishes in 6f handicaps this spring, shaping second best behind Simba's Pride at Hamilton a fortnight ago (bit short of room and lost second close home); 3lb turnaround in the weights may be insufficient.

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Peggy Boo
Age 3 · 9-4
593-78
45
68
3
9-4
50/1 66/1 33/1
Signs of ability in three 2yo runs but she has finished last in her two sprint handicap runs this year (6f, AW and 5f, good); dropping down the weights but she has a point to prove.

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

6
Vega's Virtue
Age 3 · 9-4
758-7
51
59
3
9-4
14/1 10/1 12/1
No immediate improvement for the switch to handicaps when seventh of nine, beaten just over 4l, in a 7f event at Doncaster a fortnight ago; still has time to do better but Hares Bredth may prove the stable's main hope.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

7
Hares Bredth
Age 3 · 9-3
775-43
66
63
3
9-3
4/1 4/1 7/2
Ran his best race to date when keeping on for third in a 0-55 handicap at Redcar ten days ago (6f, good), racing further away from the stands' rail than the pair to beat him; still has some potential in minor sprint handicaps and he is more appealing than many.

SR 66 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Tenor's Inn
Age 3 · 8-12
3430-0
39
59
3
8-12
100/1 80/1 66/1
Ran well at Beverley (5f, good to firm) last August, beaten under one length into fourth in a nursery off an 8lb higher mark than today's; no progress since and he needs to leave his reappearance effort well behind him.

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

9
What A Tahoo
Age 3 · 8-9
7-9474
50
59
3
8-9
25/1 14/1 22/1

SR 50 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Simba's Pride 7/4 7/4 7/4 15/8 open 2.75 7/4 open 2.63 15/8 William Hill
2 Pivotal Terms 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 Bet365
3 Gunalt Wavelength 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 Bet365
4 Ellie's de Vega 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
5 Peggy Boo 50/1 open 81.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 50/1 Bet365
6 Vega's Virtue 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Hares Bredth 4/1 4/1 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 Bet365
8 Tenor's Inn 100/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 66/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365
9 What A Tahoo 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Simba's Pride

Speculative

Simba's Pride owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Michael Dods Mark Winn
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Gunalt Wavelength

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Michael & David Easterby
✓ Value Signal

What A Tahoo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Simba's Pride
49.9 7/4
2 3. Gunalt Wavelength
48.8 6/1
3 7. Hares Bredth
48.7 4/1
4 4. Ellie's de Vega
48.3 4/1
5 2. Pivotal Terms
45.0 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Simba's Pride
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-12
7/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 7/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-5
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-3
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Simba's Pride
Confidence: Medium

Simba's Pride leads the field with SR 69 and is trading at 7/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-12 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Simba's Pride, Ellie's de Vega, Hares Bredth, Pivotal Terms, Gunalt Wavelength
Each-way: Ellie's de Vega Danger: Hares Bredth

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade