Class 1 17 May 2026

Last Sunday Owenstown Stud Stakes (Listed Race)

Owenstown Stud Stakes (Listed Race) · 7f

1048-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Native Warrior Medium Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
East Hampton
Age 4 · 9-11
5260-2
107
115
4
9-11
SP 10/1 11/1
Sole win last season came in the C&D Madrid handicap; ran a career best when a close second in the Curragh Group 2 Minstrel Stakes (7f, good to yielding) behind subsequent Group 1 winner Diego Velazquez; highly encouraging second in a Curragh Listed contest on return (7f, soft to heavy); however, he runs well fresh so there might not be boundless improvement to come.

SR 107 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
King Cuan
Age 5 · 9-11
320-34
W J Lee 15%
P Twomey 28%
112
115
5
9-11
SP 5/1 9/2
Four-time winner at 6f-7f; won just once last season when landing a three-runner auction race at Fairyhouse (6f, good); subsequently placed in Listed and Group 3 company; built on decent Cork return when running on well for fourth over 5f here last time, from disadvantageous side of the track; this trip suits better and not ruled out.

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Native Warrior
Age 5 · 9-11
3115-2
127
118
5
9-11
6/4 32/17 5/4
British raider rediscovered his best when a visor was added last June, winning three handicaps from five starts, the last being the valuable Challenge Cup (7f, soft) at Ascot; ran right up to form on his stakes debut in a Saint-Cloud Group 3 (1m, soft) for seasonal return when a close runner-up; entitled to improve for that and top rated.

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Rahmi
Age 7 · 9-11
/416-9
91
117
7
9-11
18/1 28/1 16/1
Three-time h'cap winner, including over C&D in final 2024 start; ran just three times last season; produced a smart display to win a 7f premier handicap at the Irish Champions meeting; towards rear throughout on comeback in a 7f Curragh Listed contest (soft to heavy); may be better suited by this ground but Tashakour looks like the yard's main hope.

SR 91 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Carolina Jetstream
Age 4 · 9-6
2-1140
91
108
4
9-6
SP FCST 50/1

SR 91 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Chantez
Age 4 · 9-6
/7638-
80
105
4
9-6
18/1 40/1 18/1
Listed winner at Leopardstown as a 2yo; best of four Group 3 runs last season was when third at Leopardstown in July (7f, good to firm); drops in grade but this looks hard all the same.

SR 80 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Greydreambeliever
Age 4 · 9-6
533-22
75
93
4
9-6
22/1 40/1 22/1
Some useful form in Britain for Karl Burke before being bought by current connections for 30,000gns; made a good stable debut when a runner-up in a Gowran handicap and improved when filling the same spot dropped to 7f back there next time; those runs were on soft, while her British form is on good, so could improve, but this is a tall task; Greek Mythology is stable first-string.

SR 75 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Wannabe Royal
Age 4 · 9-6
734-58
80
105
4
9-6
66/1
Maiden winner over 7f for Joseph O'Brien on soft; ran well over that trip at the Curragh on seasonal/stable debut; poor over 6f at Cork last time; others more likely, especially on this ground.

SR 80 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Greek Mythology
Age 3 · 9-0
1-2
106
106
3
9-0
10/1 11/1 10/1
Won a 7f Dundalk median auction race on debut in December; 3.25l second in a four-runner Gowran rated race on his return (7f, soft) last month; could step forward on this quicker ground.

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Tashakour
Age 3 · 9-0
67-21
99
103
3
9-0
15/2 12/1 7/1
Good second in a Navan maiden on seasonal return (1m, heavy); showed the benefit of that run when successful at Cork last time (1m, good to yielding); a bit to find in this company.

SR 99 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 East Hampton 11/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 12.00 16/1 Coral
3 King Cuan 11/2 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 11/2 Bet365
4 Native Warrior 6/4 open 3.25 5/4 open 2.88 5/4 open 2.88 6/4 open 3.25 5/4 open 2.88 6/4 Bet365
5 Rahmi 18/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365
6 Carolina Jetstream 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
7 Chantez 18/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 41.00 20/1 William Hill
8 Greydreambeliever 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 25/1 William Hill
9 Wannabe Royal 66/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 Coral
10 Greek Mythology 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 William Hill
11 Tashakour 15/2 open 15.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Native Warrior

Live signal

Native Warrior owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 K R Burke Jamie Spencer
81% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

King Cuan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

- · P Twomey
✓ Value Signal

Greydreambeliever

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Native Warrior
66.2 6/4
2 3. King Cuan
59.0 -
3 1. East Hampton
56.2 -
4 10. Greek Mythology
53.2 10/1
5 11. Tashakour
53.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Native Warrior
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 9-11
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 127 🐾

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 9-0
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-0
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-11
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-6
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Native Warrior
Confidence: Medium

Native Warrior leads the field with SR 127 and is trading at 9/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-11 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Native Warrior, King Cuan, East Hampton, Greek Mythology, Tashakour
Each-way: King Cuan Danger: East Hampton

🗺 The Course Class 1

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade