Follow Matchbook On X Handicap Stakes · 1m3f198y
SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gretna Dreams | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Bug Boy | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Foinix | 17/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Highland Harvey | 9/4 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 15/8 open 4.50 | 15/8 open 4.50 | 85/40 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Clipsham Noble | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 La Trinite | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 7 Fitzmaurice | 15/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Winston's Oath | 14/1 open 5.50 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 8.00 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Highland Harvey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Highland Harvey leads the field on SR (68) by a clear margin — 9 points above the next-best Clipsham Noble (SR 59) — and carries a competitive 9-6. The 20% market steam (Mkt:in20%) is the most significant move in the race, suggesting stable confidence, and his DistFit:+ confirms genuine stamina for this 1m3f198y trip. The GoingFit:- is the one concern, but his recent 521333 form shows consistent engagement at this class level, and the MarkMv:+6 is manageable given the SR headroom. Trainer Gihan Arnolda hits at 17% strike rate from a compact operation of 36 runners, signalling genuine quality runners rather than volume entries. Each-way alternative: Gretna Dreams. Main danger: Gretna Dreams — Gretna Dreams (SR 56, 4/1) is the second-best price in the field, has a genuine course record (W1P1), GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's conditions, and the MarkMv:-6 drop in mark is the most favourable weight-to-ability shift in the race.