Garden Oasis has been consistently knocking at the door, finishing third, third, and second in his last three starts, and our rating of 80 puts him among the very best in this field; the risk is that he remains winless and may again find one too good.
Form last 6854233
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR80RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Donna Nook shaped with promise when third last time out and is a winner in her last six starts, with experience over today's trip and a fitness edge at just 18 days since her latest run; her rating of 81 marks her as the one to beat here.
Form last 6414443
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR81RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Catton Lady arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her solid claims here, and she carries 139 lb from stall nine as the main threat to her chances.
Form last 682-521
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR73RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kiss Me My Love has placed third last time out and has experience over today's trip and going, but an unplaced effort three starts back tempers confidence; carrying 137 lb from stall 3, she holds claims without being certain to improve on a mixed recent profile.
Form last 6193013
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR73RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bellasio showed ability when winning two starts back, but his latest run was unplaced and, ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, he faces a stiff task at 134 lb, though he does have experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6655210
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR66RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Thornaby Annie showed plenty when a second two starts back, but a seventh last time out clouds her chance here; she has run over today's trip and a 34-day break leaves fitness mildly in question, though she carries 133 lb from stall 13 with a rating edge over her mark.
Form last 6221727
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR73RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Hopeful Joy has been out of the frame in three of her four most recent outings, and 57 days off the track adds a fitness query; experience over today's trip is about the best that can be said for her.
Form last 623-795
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR64RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Milford Grange has experience of today's trip and going, and his rating of 74 puts him ahead of his official mark — a solid case that he retains untapped ability, though he has been winless in his last six starts and must bounce back from a fourth last time out.
Form last 6222684
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR74RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Paroda Diva won three starts back but was sixth last time out, leaving her form difficult to assess heading here; she has run over today's trip and returns after 22 days, though her speed rating of 64 may leave her with ground to make up from stall 11.
Form last 6746126
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR69RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Zermatt Star does at least return after a 26-day break with experience over today's trip in her favour, though a fourth two starts back represents her best recent effort and she faces a stiff task from draw seven carrying 130 lb.
Form last 65-0040
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR68RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, G'Emmethegreenlite faces a stiff ask here; a ninth last time out does little to inspire confidence, though he has run over today's trip and returns on a quick turnaround of 13 days.
Form last 6447-09
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR65RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Gunalt Wavelength won two of her last five starts, with a fourth and sixth in more recent outings suggesting she may need things to fall right, though she has experience over today's trip and going, and 38 days between runs keeps fitness under scrutiny.
Form last 6-21146
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Penny Ghent faces a stiff ask here, though she does arrive with two wins in her last six starts and has run over today's trip and going before, offering some small crumbs of comfort from stall two off 34 days.
Form last 6011383
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR57RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Donna Nook owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2David O'MearaDaniel Tudhope
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Bellasio
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Grant Tuer✓ Value Signal
Thornaby Annie
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Adrian Nicholls◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Donna Nook (SR:75, 7/2) is the second-highest rated runner in the field and carries a manageable 10-0, yet benefits from Daniel Tudhope (16% career strike rate) in the saddle — comfortably the highest-calibre jockey booking in this Class 5 contest. The form string 414443 shows consistent placing and no blowouts; running off the same mark as her last win with ClassMv:= and MarkMv:= means connections have not been punished upward. Her GoingFit:? reflects an insufficient sample on soft rather than a proven dislike, and at 4 years old she has every chance of handling the conditions. The market at 7/2 makes her the clear favourite and Tudhope's presence at that price suggests confidence from connections.
Each-way alternative: Garden Oasis.
Main danger: Milford Grange — Milford Grange (SR:74, 11/2) has steamed in 31% in the market — the single sharpest move in the field — and while DistFit:- is a concern at a mile, the Easterby yard clearly fancies this 3-year-old today and that money cannot be ignored.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Garden Oasis is top-rated (SR:78) and carries the same weight (10-0) — Donna Nook is not the best horse in the field on ratings and must beat a superior rival who has W7P18 at this track, a massive c…
Milford Grange has steamed in 31% in the market and rates only 1lb below Donna Nook (SR:74) on 3lb less weight — as a lightly-raced 3yo that market move signals strong stable confidence and an improv…
GoingFit:? on what is likely soft ground at Ripon in September is a genuine unknown, not just a thin sample — her HG:tv (turf/variety) suggests connections have deliberately avoided soft, raising a r…
Form string 414443 shows Donna Nook has not won since her last victorious run and has been placed but not won in her last five starts, suggesting she may be a hold-up horse that finds one or two too…