Brighton 18:45 RESULTED
Class 5 1 Sep 2026

Tuesday 1 September Streamline Supports The Martlets Hospice Handicap Stakes

Streamline Supports The Martlets Hospice Handicap Stakes · 0m6f210y

Official Result

Streamline Supports The Martlets Hospice Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tattie Bogle (GB) Marco Ghiani · Charlie Johnston
    9/4
  2. 2/1F
  3. 100/30
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Serenity Dream silks
Serenity Dream
Age 5 · 10-0
856211
74
81
79
5
10-0
4/1 18/13 3/1
Serenity Dream arrives in fine fettle, winning two of his last three starts with a second thrown in for good measure, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions. Drawn in stall three and carrying 140 lb, his recent form makes him our selection.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dion Baker silks
Dion Baker
Age 7 · 9-13
113829
73
67
73
7
9-13
5/1 7/2 5/1
Dion Baker returns quickly on nine days' rest and has experience of both today's trip and going, with a win and a second in his last six starts highlighting his ability to compete at this level; the concern is that ninth last time out leaves him needing to bounce back sharply.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Tattie Bogle silks
Tattie Bogle
Age 4 · 9-13
127228
73
77
79
4
9-13
13/8 7/2 3/2
Tattie Bogle has shown consistent placing ability in recent starts, with a second two starts back and a winner six starts back, and he arrives here on a retrieval mission after his eighth last time out, with distance and going experience in his favour — the main risk is reproducing that poor latest effort.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Shaw Park silks
Shaw Park
Age 7 · 9-7
-83084
67
72
75
7
9-7
11/4 5/1 5/2
Shaw Park shaped with encouragement when third four starts back and returns here after just 14 days, with experience over today's trip and going an asset at a rating of 75; the worry is a trainer without a win in 20 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Station Bar silks
Station Bar
Age 3 · 9-2
468154
66
60
64
3
9-2
14/1 9/2 12/1
Station Bar has finished fourth and fifth in his last two starts, and while his one win in six recent outings came three starts back, our figures rank him fifth of six in this field, making him hard to fancy at these weights.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Fai Fai silks
Fai Fai
Age 7 · 8-9
33-073
47
41
60
7
8-9
50/1 7/1 33/1
Fai Fai has been winless in his last five starts and, ranked last on our figures, is a tough one to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going before and showed placed efforts four and five starts back.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Serenity Dream 4/1 open 2.75 4/1 open 2.38 3/1 open 2.63 3/1 open 2.63 4/1 open 2.63 4/1 open 2.63 4/1 Bet365
2 Dion Baker 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
3 Tattie Bogle 13/8 open 6.50 6/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.50 13/8 Bet365
4 Shaw Park 11/4 open 8.00 11/4 open 7.00 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.50 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 Bet365
5 Station Bar 14/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 5.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 6.50 14/1 Bet365
6 Fai Fai 50/1 open 8.00 50/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tattie Bogle

Speculative

Tattie Bogle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Charlie Johnston Marco Ghiani
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Shaw Park

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Scott Dixon
✓ Value Signal

Fai Fai

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Daniel Steele
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Tattie Bogle
54.7 13/8
2 4. Shaw Park
52.7 11/4
3 1. Serenity Dream
52.3 4/1
4 2. Dion Baker
48.7 5/1
5 5. Station Bar
41.4 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tattie Bogle
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-13
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 9-7
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 9-13
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tattie Bogle
Confidence: Speculative

Tattie Bogle (SR 77, 11/4) combines the second-highest SR in the field with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — the only runner with that credential — and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) into a competitive but winnable Class 5. The market has backed this view emphatically, shortening 31% from the opening price, which is a significant steamer in a six-runner field and suggests strong stable confidence. Marco Ghiani (14% strike rate, 917 career rides) is a booking that upgrades confidence, and at 9-13 the weight is manageable. The MarkMv:+5 is a mild concern but offset by the class drop and the going advantage that no other runner in the field can match. Each-way alternative: Shaw Park. Main danger: Serenity Dream — Serenity Dream (SR 81, 7/4) holds the highest SR in the field by four points and has strong recent form (856211 — two consecutive wins) with course form (W1P1 at Brighton), and while GoingFit:- and the 5% drift are concerns, raw ability and course familiarity make it the most dangerous rival.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Serenity Dream (SR:81, 7/4) holds a 4-point SR advantage and recent form 856211 shows two consecutive wins — significantly sharper form profile heading into today.
  • Course record is poor: W0P1 at Brighton suggests Tattie Bogle has not translated ability to this unique undulating track, while Dion Baker has W3P5 course form.
  • Form string 127228 shows no win in last four starts, with the latest effort an '8' — a deteriorating trend that the class drop may not fully mask.
  • MarkMv:+5 means the handicapper has raised the rating; combined with no Brighton win, this pick faces a higher mark on a track it hasn't conquered.
Shortlist Tattie Bogle, Serenity Dream, Shaw Park
Each-way: Shaw Park Danger: Serenity Dream

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f210y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Brighton Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade