Lingfield (AW) 16:20 RESULTED
Class 5 1 Sep 2026

Tuesday 1 September Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes · 1m5f

Official Result

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hope Rising (IRE) Rob Hornby · Jamie Snowden
    11/4
  2. 18/1
  3. 4/5F
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hope Rising silks
Hope Rising
Age 5 · 9-12
0/4111
70
83
74
5
9-12
5/2 Evs 9/4
Hope Rising arrives in fine fettle, winning three of her last five starts including her most recent two in a row, and 14 days between runs suggests she is trained to the minute; she has run over today's trip before, and 138 lb is the one query.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Percy Jones silks
Percy Jones
Age 7 · 9-12
-83644
70
64
77
7
9-12
14/1 7/1 12/1
Percy Jones is winless in his last five starts but shapes as the clear pick on ratings here, and has run over today's trip and going — the risk is that he has yet to convert that experience into a telling finish.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
La Peregrina silks
La Peregrina
Age 3 · 9-7
550221
73
88
72
3
9-7
6/5 3/2 11/10
Ranked last on our figures and carrying 133 lb, La Peregrina faces a stiff ask here, though he arrives in fair nick with a win and two seconds in his last three starts and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Celestarak silks
Celestarak
Age 3 · 9-5
80-915
71
76
74
3
9-5
10/1 9/2 7/1
Celestarak won two starts back and has run over today's trip, with our rating suggesting he holds more than his official mark of 71 implies; the concern is a 54-day absence and that fifth last time out leaves his current form open to question.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
St Hilda silks
St Hilda
Age 3 · 9-4
4-2263
70
82
76
3
9-4
9/2 7/1 4/1
Twice a runner-up and third last time out, St Hilda arrives on a retrieval 13 days later with strong placed form in recent starts and has run over today's going before — our rating of 76 marks her as a leading threat, though she remains yet to score and that elusive breakthrough is the key risk.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hope Rising 5/2 open 2.10 9/4 open 2.00 9/4 open 2.50 9/4 open 2.50 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.50 5/2 Bet365
2 Percy Jones 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 Bet365
3 La Peregrina 6/5 open 3.75 6/5 open 2.75 11/10 open 2.50 11/10 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 11/10 open 2.50 5/4 William Hill
4 Celestarak 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 6.00 10/1 Bet365
5 St Hilda 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.50 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

La Peregrina

Speculative

La Peregrina owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/5 Ed Walker Tom Marquand
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

St Hilda

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Marcus Tregoning
✓ Value Signal

Percy Jones

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Mark Loughnane
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. La Peregrina
56.1 6/5
2 5. St Hilda
54.6 9/2
3 1. Hope Rising
53.3 5/2
4 4. Celestarak
45.8 10/1
5 2. Percy Jones
45.6 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
La Peregrina
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-7
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-5
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 9-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
La Peregrina
Confidence: Speculative

La Peregrina (SR 88, 13/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has shown a clear progressive form sequence — 550221 — culminating in a win last time out at the same class, carrying just 9-7 against a field where the top two weights are both on 9-12. Tom Marquand is a quality booking (13% strike rate over 1,184 runners), and the market has shortened 8% since opening, suggesting informed money. DistFit:+ confirms she handles this 1m5f trip, and while GoingFit is only moderate (~), Lingfield AW good is a benign surface for a horse with form at the distance. The 5lb weight advantage over Hope Rising and Percy Jones is meaningful, and her SR edge over the entire field is clear. Each-way alternative: St Hilda. Main danger: Hope Rising — Despite the drift and class rise, Hope Rising's recent 4111 form sequence shows genuine momentum and Jamie Snowden runs at a 25% strike rate, meaning if the market move is noise rather than information, this horse has the recent winning habit to reverse the verdict.

Case against 4 clamped
  • La Peregrina is a 3yo stepping up against older horses including Hope Rising (SR:83, 4-111 recent form), who has won 3 straight and is only 5lb worse off — that weight pull is far from decisive at th…
  • 31 days since last run is the longest freshen-up in the field; while not extreme, it contrasts with Hope Rising (14 days) and St Hilda (13 days) who are both in sharper recent rhythm.
  • Hope Rising's trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% strike rate (412 runners) — considerably stronger than Ed Walker's 15% — and Hope Rising has drifted out only 21% versus Percy Jones's 34%, suggesting ma…
  • GoingFit is only moderate (~) for La Peregrina on Lingfield AW; St Hilda has a course win or place (W0P1) here, giving her a surface edge that the primary pick lacks.
Shortlist La Peregrina, Hope Rising, St Hilda
Each-way: St Hilda Danger: Hope Rising

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade