Cartmel 17:30 RESULTED
Class 4 18 Jul 2026

Last Saturday Charnley's Home & Garden Centre Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Charnley's Home & Garden Centre Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m5f34y

Official Result

Charnley's Home & Garden Centre Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sean Og (IRE) Sean Quinlan · Dianne Sayer
    9/4
  2. 18/1
  3. 4/1
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13:10–17:45 · 9 races

Market Rasen

13:35–17:15 · 7 races

Newbury

13:55–17:20 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:00–17:30 · 7 races

Ripon

14:05–17:35 · 7 races

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14:30–17:25 · 6 races

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17:40–21:00 · 7 races

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17:55–20:43 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Red Happy silks
Red Happy
Age 9 · 12-0
1/R-RP
117
81
117OR
9
12-0
33/1 25/1 28/1
Red Happy won at the fourth attempt back in this sequence and has run over today's trip and ground before, the claims of the highest-rated runner in this field. Two refusals and a pulled-up effort have followed since, so jumping cleanly again is the obvious key.
AI verdict

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Lermoos Legend silks
Lermoos Legend
Age 11 · 11-11
1462-7
114
110
114OR
11
11-11
5/1 4/1 5/1
Lermoos Legend was runner-up two starts back and opened his account five starts back, with our figures rating him above his official mark. But a below-par seventh last time out and a 57-day absence since are the risks to weigh up.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Passengerontheship silks
Passengerontheship
Age 7 · 11-7
P11111
110
124
110OR
7
11-7
4/5 11/10 8/11
Passengerontheship has won his last five starts in a row, an eye-catching sequence that followed a pulled-up run further back. But our figures rate him well below his official mark, leaving him bottom of this field on that reckoning despite his experience over today's trip and ground.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Got Grey silks
Got Grey
Age 7 · 11-6
426-35
109
106
109OR
7
11-6
7/1 FCST 6/1
Got Grey has been vying for places without getting his head in front, with a third and a second among his last five, and our figures rate him well above his official mark. He's yet to win, though, and a below-par fifth last time out is the query.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Sean Og silks
Sean Og
Age 8 · 11-4
674-14
107
112
107OR
8
11-4
7/2 FCST 3/1
Sean Og won two starts back but has otherwise managed only a fourth, a seventh and a sixth in this five-race sample, including a fourth last time out. He has run over today's trip and ground before, though ranks fifth of six on our figures - others do more.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Moodofthemoment silks
Moodofthemoment
Age 9 · 10-13
P-643P
102
78
102OR
9
10-13
20/1 12/1 16/1
Moodofthemoment carries a notable edge over his official mark on our figures, having been third and fourth in the middle of this run, and he's fresh into action just 16 days on. He pulled up last time out, though, and that is the obvious worry against making the frame again.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Red Happy 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
2 Lermoos Legend 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 William Hill
3 Passengerontheship 4/5 open 2.10 8/11 open 2.10 8/11 open 2.10 8/11 open 2.10 8/11 open 2.10 4/5 Bet365
4 Got Grey 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 7/1 Bet365
5 Sean Og 7/2 open 4.00 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 3/1 7/2 Bet365
6 Moodofthemoment 20/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Passengerontheship

Live signal

Passengerontheship owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Sam England Jonathan England
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sean Og

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Dianne Sayer
✓ Value Signal

Red Happy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · George Bewley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Passengerontheship
65.9 4/5
2 5. Sean Og
61.0 7/2
3 2. Lermoos Legend
60.1 5/1
4 4. Got Grey
58.1 7/1
5 6. Moodofthemoment
43.6 20/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Passengerontheship
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 7 · 11-7
4/5
★★★☆☆ SR 124 🐾

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 8 · 11-4
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 112 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 11 · 11-11
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-6
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 9 · 10-13
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Passengerontheship
Confidence: High

Passengerontheship (SR 124, 4/5) is the clear standout in this field. The form string P11111 tells the story — five consecutive wins after the pulled-up reboot, and the trainer Sam England (15% strike rate) and jockey Jonathan England (19% strike rate) are a sharp combination at the head of the market. The 17% market steam to 4/5 confirms strong bookmaker and punter confidence, and GoingFit:+ on today's good ground further validates the selection. Despite the MarkMv:+5 meaning the handicapper has reacted, the SR of 124 is comfortably superior to every rival in this six-runner field, and the Course:W1P1 record at Cartmel shows familiarity with this tricky track. Each-way alternative: Sean Og. Main danger: Sean Og — Sean Og (SR 112, 7/2) drops two classes and has proven course form (W1P1 at Cartmel), and Sean Quinlan is a reliable pilot who can exploit any race-day errors from the odds-on favourite — the 14 latest win last time out shows the horse is in form.

Shortlist Passengerontheship, Sean Og, Lermoos Legend
Each-way: Sean Og Danger: Sean Og

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m5f34y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade